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The Swamp

  • #107,821
  • Mar 27, 2023 9:11am Mar 27, 2023 9:11am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Mar 27 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0785 700m 1.0800 1.0b
I got the 12 R and support like this (see picture). Straddling 1.0735.. with 1.0732 and 1.0801.9. 1.0801.9 R is popular with the 6h and 8h also.
Its testing the 30 min at 1.0797. If it runs to 1.0801.9, but cant close above it. Or 1.0797. It may be forced down again. It opened the day and closed the 12h above 1.0765. That was not bearish to me. At 1.0801.9 the 12h bear may be. The 30 min one is close. The close above 1.0765 may force it to 1.0801x to test
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,822
  • Mar 27, 2023 9:31am Mar 27, 2023 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got the 12 R and support like this (see picture). Straddling 1.0735.. with 1.0732 and 1.0801.9. 1.0801.9 R is popular with the 6h and 8h also. Its testing the 30 min at 1.0797. If it runs to 1.0801.9, but cant close above it. Or 1.0797. It may be forced down again. It opened the day and closed the 12h above 1.0765. That was not bearish to me. At 1.0801.9 the 12h bear may be. The 30 min one is close. The close above 1.0765 may force it to 1.0801x to test {image}
PA is still above 1.0694 and 1.0735. That should force a test of 1.0801x. It being a 12h trend R may make it a sweet spot. The 30 min 1.0797 is also a trend break above 1.0797 at close. The 12h is showing 2 signals. The weaker 12 is bullish at 0732. This can mean range. The day is showing range or no trend also. Take some profits. Because it will likely evaporate.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,823
  • Mar 27, 2023 9:52am Mar 27, 2023 9:52am
1.0835/1.0694=1.0764.5
1.0835/1.0764.5=*1.0799.5
*Very close to 1.0801.9
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,824
  • Mar 27, 2023 10:28am Mar 27, 2023 10:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Just woke up and saw these longs go nowhere .. bulls can't break H1 downtrend ..I move my stop loss up to 1.0737 {image}
Sys I shows bullish almost cross board.... sysII still has H1 and then H4 challenge.. my stop loss moves up to 1.0750...
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  • #107,825
  • Mar 27, 2023 1:29pm Mar 27, 2023 1:29pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat one long here at this bounce {image}
I flat 2nd long here 1.0795 as well... no more longs... sideline for now..
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  • #107,826
  • Mar 27, 2023 4:18pm Mar 27, 2023 4:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
1.0835/1.0694=1.0764.5 1.0835/1.0764.5=*1.0799.5 *Very close to 1.0801.9 {image}
Here is how she looks now. I would like to call this 12h 1.0801.9 a top. But cant, its in a perfect place to top 1.0818/1.0799. But the last 2 12h closes were north of 1.0765, and today above 1.0765m too.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,827
  • Mar 27, 2023 4:20pm Mar 27, 2023 4:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} PA is still above 1.0694 and 1.0735. That should force a test of 1.0801x. It being a 12h trend R may make it a sweet spot. The 30 min 1.0797 is also a trend break above 1.0797 at close. The 12h is showing 2 signals. The weaker 12 is bullish at 0732. This can mean range. The day is showing range or no trend also. Take some profits. Because it will likely evaporate.
Close enough for now. But wont be surprised to see it test 1.0801.9.x again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,828
  • Mar 27, 2023 9:42pm Mar 27, 2023 9:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Close enough for now. But wont be surprised to see it test 1.0801.9.x again
1.0821 and/or 1.0834/35 could stiffen. It closed bullish the last 2 12h closes and the day (above 1.0765). But 1.0835 is where 1.0765 originates. Look hard at the reaction 1.0821 and or 1.0834/35. One can see what has happened at 1.0835, 1.0765, 1.0801 and 1.0817 +- a few. Or any other place pa spent time between 1.0694/1.0835.

Tomorrow pa may close below 1.0765. But not because pa is bearish now. If it does close below 1.0765 tomorrow, its because it bearish overall. Friday 1.0694 is another spot for a close watch. Bullish is likely if these dont happen. Tomorrow 1.0765 is a time thing. But there is another reason the time went there. Time wise 1.0765 was an equal spot. So pa spends more time in equalization areas.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,829
  • Mar 28, 2023 3:59am Mar 28, 2023 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0821 and/or 1.0834/35 could stiffen. It closed bullish the last 2 12h closes and the day (above 1.0765). But 1.0835 is where 1.0765 originates. Look hard at the reaction 1.0821 and or 1.0834/35. One can see what has happened at 1.0835, 1.0765, 1.0801 and 1.0817 +- a few. Or any other place pa spent time between 1.0694/1.0835. Tomorrow pa may close below 1.0765. But not because pa is bearish now. If it does close below 1.0765 tomorrow, its because it bearish overall. Friday 1.0694 is another spot for a close watch. Bullish is likely if...
I found this in the trap this morning.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,830
  • Mar 28, 2023 4:12am Mar 28, 2023 4:12am
Three 12hs and 1 day closed above 1.0765. The bullish side of 1.0765. But the bearish side of 1.0835. The bearish side of 1.0821.4. So if today closes below 1.0765. This may attempt 1.0712 1.0694 again. If it falls the chart marks ladder rungs. There is not enough room to put 1.0821.4 or 1.0712. But they count too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,831
  • Mar 28, 2023 4:40am Mar 28, 2023 4:40am
Quoting gatorinla
Three 12hs and 1 day closed above 1.0765. The bullish side of 1.0765. But the bearish side of 1.0835. The bearish side of 1.0821.4. So if today closes below 1.0765. This may attempt 1.0712 1.0694 again. If it falls the chart marks ladder rungs. There is not enough room to put 1.0821.4 or 1.0712. But they count too.
I placed them in magenta anyway. The light blue above 1.0765. at 1.0773 added. PA was/is bullish above 1.0694 and 1.0765. But against 1.0835 is unknown ??. Its now closed 1 12h below 1.0821. My short needs a close below 1.0765. For the next 12h/day close. At least for a good sign. Another sign could be -1.0773. Since it did close below 1.0835 1.0821 and 1.0817. The next rung at 1.0799.7. It could just run to 1.0773/65 and rise.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,832
  • Mar 28, 2023 5:23am Mar 28, 2023 5:23am
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  • #107,833
  • Mar 28, 2023 5:26am Mar 28, 2023 5:26am
FX option expiries for Mar 28 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0880 1.1b
  2. 1.0945 1.8b

  • #107,834
  • Mar 28, 2023 5:31am Mar 28, 2023 5:31am
eur bullish per sys I... watch 1.0863 H4 per system II .. let see bulls can reverse the trend... my m15 ea is still trading long atm with stop loss around 1.08
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  • #107,835
  • Mar 28, 2023 10:15am Mar 28, 2023 10:15am
Month end fixing goin on I think. After 10 am ET dollar was sold
Month-end fixing model points to USD selling across the board Eex-EUR - Citi
  • #107,836
  • Mar 28, 2023 11:26am Mar 28, 2023 11:26am
S/0 the 1.0834 trade. PA is still bullish. The ea had a long signal at 0774, average tp 1.0835. The same place as that 1.0835 level. Another random line up with 1.0835 with another method.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,837
  • Mar 28, 2023 11:37am Mar 28, 2023 11:37am
Quoting gatorinla
S/0 the 1.0834 trade. PA is still bullish. The ea had a long signal at 0774, average tp 1.0835. The same place as that 1.0835 level. Another random line up with 1.0835 with another method.
I get a sell signal if the 15 min closes below 1.0817.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,838
  • Mar 28, 2023 12:14pm Mar 28, 2023 12:14pm
Quoting Boulder
eur bullish per sys I... watch 1.0863 H4 per system II .. let see bulls can reverse the trend... my m15 ea is still trading long atm with stop loss around 1.08 {image}
I know your waiting for 1.0808 for a signal.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,839
  • Mar 28, 2023 2:22pm Mar 28, 2023 2:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I get a sell signal if the 15 min closes below 1.0817.
Its bullish, its unlikely to drop to close today below 1.0765. With that said. If the 15 min has a close below 1.0827 now/soon, before the day closes. Its possible. Bulls want to remain above 1.0835. This week expect crazy moves.
Bullish wise 1.0835 may start supporting
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,840
  • Mar 28, 2023 2:42pm Mar 28, 2023 2:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its bullish, its unlikely to drop to close today below 1.0765. With that said. If the 15 min has a close below 1.0827 now/soon, before the day closes. Its possible. Bulls want to remain above 1.0835. This week expect crazy moves. Bullish wise 1.0835 may start supporting
Hi Gator it is really looking bullish with not much retracement. The longer we stayed above 0835 making 0850 0865 meaningless to me
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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