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The Swamp

5 min recovered
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Finnish researchers develop device to reduce risk of cancer recurrence...
https://english.news.cn/europe/20230...e5e4c15/c.html
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Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I can see this color better. So if pa ends up back below 1.0835 to close the month next week. See if those RSI numbers are dropping too. I showed the month and the week -50. The smaller time frames will start first, or not at all. The auto fib one changes color. It has a built in ma cross. When red, its supposed to be bearish on the set timeframe. Day and below is green. Week and month is red {image}
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Will 1.0835 support or not..
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[quote=gatorinla;14372435]{quote}{image} Will 1.0835 support or n[quote=gatorinla;14369448]
Quoting gatorinla
Often in a pump before FOMC levels like 1.0732 are broken. Then 3 days later it breaks the newly formed levels. If this be that same situation. 1.0508 may break next week. No, I'm not saying its bearish now. I'm saying if tomorrow closes below 1.0765, and 1.0694. It may be bearish. There is still lots of levels to beat for bears. The latest bias is still bullish. PA is bullish until it shows different.
Remains true. Plus a large R fib and month average range. If it makes its way below the month 20sma. It may be able to close below 1.0835. If below 1.0765, it may freefall below 1.0694.
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Quoting gatorinla
PA is above these 20 sma's. the bullish side of them That's a double edged sword. Pa likes to run back to the same sma's. The largest one sits about 1.0823. A little below 1.0835 atm. Last week all those ma's were aligned in a bear formation. That's how fast things can change at a fib. {image}
Things in the background.
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pa never takes the easy route.. The close below 1.0835, but above month 200 sma.
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Credit default swaps blowing out on deutsche bank… Fear……..

Moves markets

edit: might be why we see Yen buying & Aussie selling. Although this might also be the Asia shake out, time will tell.
Quoting gatorinla
PA is above these 20 sma's. the bullish side of them That's a double edged sword. Pa likes to run back to the same sma's. The largest one sits about 1.0823. A little below 1.0835 atm. Last week all those ma's were aligned in a bear formation. That's how fast things can change at a fib. {image}
pa is back below 1.0835. Bulls want to hold 1.0813x, and 1.0765. If not...

PA has been bullish. This 1.08xx area is where it may bounce. Its also a place they could loose foothold.
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Month 1.0813, week 1.0634, day 1.0668, 12h 1.0721, 8h 1.0724, 6h 1.0763, 4h 1.0808 *3h 1.0827, 2h 1.0858, 1h 1.0866
*Testing
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Quoting gatorinla
Month 1.0813, week 1.0634, day 1.0668, 12h 1.0721, 8h 1.0724, 6h 1.0763, 4h 1.0808 *3h 1.0827, 2h 1.0858, 1h 1.0866 *Testing
Now its had the 3h close below. It may continue to drill down. But here is the thing. The 3h is now at 1.0830. That may cause a flag.
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[quote=gatorinla;14372437][quote=gatorinla;14372435]{quote}{image} Will 1.0835 support or n
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Remains true. Plus a large R fib and month average range. If it makes its way below the month 20sma. It may be able to close below 1.0835. If below 1.0765, it may freefall below 1.0694. {image}
Close to 1.0765 atm.
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Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Now its had the 3h close below. It may continue to drill down. But here is the thing. The 3h is now at 1.0830. That may cause a flag.
1.0765 may support, but if lost expect a nice drop. To me there is no support if 1.0765 is lost. 1.0694 would have a bullseye on it. Goal wise, closing below 1.0694 is where a week bear wants to be. Since 1.0765 is there, it may flag some there too. But it dont have too.

The 4h is about 1.0740. The week about 1.0630. I dont know about a 200 pip candle today. But if it closes below 1.0694. It may gap open below the week.
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Check your panties at the door.
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1 min flagging some. Its not impressive for bulls so far. But it hasn't hit 1.0765 yet. After FOMC, when this ground is lost. It is usually the direction. Often in 3 days it may be testing the lows.
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Quoting gatorinla
Month 1.0813, week 1.0634, day 1.0668, 12h 1.0721, 8h 1.0724, 6h 1.0763, 4h 1.0808 *3h 1.0827, 2h 1.0858, 1h 1.0866 *Testing
The 6h is testing now at 1.0776.x. One never knows how these things go. I lean bearish, so i think it will break 1.0765. I may be wrong. Anyway it may still be bearish if the outside chance runs to 1.0824 first. 1.0824/slip. I dont think bears will let it, but there is a algo there.
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Quoting gatorinla
1 min flagging some. Its not impressive for bulls so far. But it hasn't hit 1.0765 yet. After FOMC, when this ground is lost. It is usually the direction. Often in 3 days it may be testing the lows. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G9br_YFcAjk {image}
1.0765 opened the gate
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bulls hope they can defend the trend with H4 1.0702 uptrend stop atm
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FX option expiries for Mar 24 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0675-80 627m
  2. 1.0700-10 1.4b
  3. 1.0800 1.6b
  4. 1.0850 539m
  5. 1.0875 509m
  6. 1.0890-10 656m

Quoting gatorinla;14372597[COLOR=Red
]Month 1.0813[/color], week 1.0634, day 1.0668, *12h 1.0721, *8h 1.0724, 6h 1.0763, 4h 1.0808 *3h 1.0827, 2h 1.0858, 1h 1.0866 *Testing
*12h now 1.0723.5 *8h 1.0733.4
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