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The Swamp

  • #107,661
  • Mar 19, 2023 12:02pm Mar 19, 2023 12:02pm
“UBS also agreed to a softening of a material adverse change clause that would void the deal if its credit default spread(s) jump, they added.

The material adverse change clause applies for the period between the signing and closing of the deal, the people said.”
—————

Notice how It’s still there…. No confidence in the deal, creates fear for the large players.


https://www.ft.com/content/ec4be743-...3-c2fbd7ea9cfd
  • #107,662
  • Mar 19, 2023 12:56pm Mar 19, 2023 12:56pm
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  • #107,663
  • Mar 19, 2023 1:30pm Mar 19, 2023 1:30pm
Gap up open..
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  • #107,664
  • Mar 19, 2023 3:51pm Mar 19, 2023 3:51pm
100,000 newborn babies will have their genomes sequenced in the UK. It could have big implications for child medicine...
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/19/h...ntl/index.html
I am who I am
  • #107,665
  • Mar 19, 2023 3:58pm Mar 19, 2023 3:58pm
Quoting Boulder
Gap up open.. {image}
If we blink in these times those numbers could be the opposite direction. Volatility comes 😉
  • #107,666
  • Mar 19, 2023 8:41pm Mar 19, 2023 8:41pm
Quoting Boulder
{image}
I know it looks good on paper. If you take a few decimals off. Old folks call it "whistling past the grave yard"
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The GDP of Switzerland is about 800 billion. The amount a bailout would cost about 500 billion. (I think verbal source is correct but i cant find 500B in print) I have found smaller amounts. The comparison of GDP to debt is astronomical. Credit Swiss may be "too big to save". If I did the math right. That's 62% of GDP going to save Credit Swiss. That would hurt the Swiss for generations In 2008 the U.S. GDP was about 14.77 trillion. The bailout was 700 billion. For comparison (62%) its 9.157 trillion usd https://www.google.com/search?q=In+2...hrome&ie=UTF-8...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,667
  • Mar 19, 2023 8:56pm Mar 19, 2023 8:56pm
1.0694 is a key area for bulls to break. I have shorts. B.E.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,668
  • Mar 19, 2023 9:11pm Mar 19, 2023 9:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
1.0694 is a key area for bulls to break. I have shorts. B.E. {image}
Closed +5.5
Placed another pending
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,669
  • Mar 20, 2023 5:54am Mar 20, 2023 5:54am
I missed the long at 1.0627.x, and 1.0622. That was my risk entry for 1.0694, 1.0805, or 1.0835. To get to 1.0805 it needs to pass 1.0694/1.07.. 32 etc. I took the short off 1.0694. It is bullish week, day. But its still below 1.0694 and 1.0805, 35. I think and bet its going to 1.0627.x, or 1.0805. Like i said i missed the long. I would have tp 1.0694 (some/all). If it does break. 1.0805 and 1.0835 targets are valid rewards.

If pa is unable to manage a good b/o run past 1.0694+. A range may develop somewhere 1.063 ish 1.0694ish. Some slip is not unusual. Slip would have to set the perimeter to see the range. If it was to range. Although it looking bullish. If the range was to develop. It may run back to a LL. Maybe 1.0622 or 27. That year Close is being tested at 1.0694/1.07
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,670
  • Mar 20, 2023 6:54am Mar 20, 2023 6:54am
pay attention to 1.0725 at H4 and 1.0733 at day
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  • #107,671
  • Mar 20, 2023 6:56am Mar 20, 2023 6:56am
FX option expiries for Mar 20 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0600 706m
  2. 1.0665 825m
  3. 1.0715 1b
  4. 1.0730 107m

  • #107,672
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:03am Mar 20, 2023 7:03am
Quoting gatorinla
I missed the long at 1.0627.x, and 1.0622. That was my risk entry for 1.0694, 1.0805, or 1.0835. To get to 1.0805 it needs to pass 1.0694/1.07.. 32 etc. I took the short off 1.0694. It is bullish week, day. But its still below 1.0694 and 1.0805, 35. I think and bet its going to 1.0627.x, or 1.0805. Like i said i missed the long. I would have tp 1.0694 (some/all). If it does break. 1.0805 and 1.0835 targets are valid rewards. If pa is unable to manage a good b/o run past 1.0694+. A range may develop somewhere 1.063 ish 1.0694ish. Some slip is not...
Its bullish, into 1.0694.07 R area. Levels are dynamic. 1.0694/1.07 is an area. Different brokers have different open and close times. Open time wise. 1.0694.7 I think is the year close.
The stop olive lines are -+ 10, and 20% levels of the range. I put them for a random risk judge, nothing more. 1.0732/33 was an old volume balance marker for the last time here. Sometimes those will turn pa.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,673
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:06am Mar 20, 2023 7:06am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Mar 20 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0600 706m 1.0665 825m 1.0715 1b 1.0730 107m
1.0732 was a past yellow brick road. i dont like pa above 1.0694 for shorts. Bears were unable to reach the attraction to 1.0628/22.. The attraction to 1.0807, can be stronger closing above 1.0732.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,674
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:12am Mar 20, 2023 7:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0732 was a past yellow brick road.
I woke up late.. day range almost reached...at 1.0718.. not sure I still want to manual scalp longs.. ea has been longing since 3am ,,,,I am going to wait ..
  • #107,675
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:20am Mar 20, 2023 7:20am
I moved the levels out toward 1.0807 since pa is above 1.0694x.. The dynamic mid point to 1.0807 from the week 1.0629. Is about 1.0718+. being dynamic higher pa would raise it. It or 0732 may allow some retrace to test 1.0694/1.07ish support strength.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,676
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:22am Mar 20, 2023 7:22am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I woke up late.. day range almost reached...at 1.0718.. not sure I still want to manual scalp longs.. ea has been longing since 3am ,,,,I am going to wait ..
Dynamic mid range week/month is about that same spot. 1.0718
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,677
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:39am Mar 20, 2023 7:39am
This example "0" is not on the chart: I use this to set up r/r trades instead of pulling a number out my ass. If I wanted to long at the 0 line. To tp at the 100 line. I sometimes use a -10 -20 -30% for a stop or entry. If i think its a strong trend. I think its best to have a tp target to set a stop. Or a stop to set a tp. Both ahead of time allows a better plan. Plans dont always work. The chart does show where r/r can be assessed long before entry. I lost the short trade. But was able to place a stop at -10% of the possible reward. That allowed for 10% above 1.0694.7. If that makes sense.

If the trend was down. i could use it to enter at a set %.

The plan was to long when it touched the week or day 20 sma (close short).. that plan didnt work out. The month at 1.0807 ish can setup another plan. To the week attraction. Pulling pa back to 1.0694. It may not work. But the r/r is there
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,678
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:42am Mar 20, 2023 7:42am
Gold bulls start to give up..
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  • #107,679
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:49am Mar 20, 2023 7:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I woke up late.. day range almost reached...at 1.0718.. not sure I still want to manual scalp longs.. ea has been longing since 3am ,,,,I am going to wait ..
I was very quiet.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,680
  • Mar 20, 2023 7:50am Mar 20, 2023 7:50am
Quoting Boulder
Gold bulls start to give up.. {image}
eu is near 0718
Both week and month pull here

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Dynamic mid range week/month is about that same spot. 1.0718
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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