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The Swamp

  • #107,341
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:00am Mar 7, 2023 10:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you won again...
I smell new bills.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,342
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:02am Mar 7, 2023 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I smell new bills.
omg...
... I will short bounce again...
  • #107,343
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:07am Mar 7, 2023 10:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got a breech into 12h. Just a 30 min close. I dont have a 6h target yet. I will post after next h close. It looks to be a decent one. {image}
6H 1x target 1.0498, 2x target 1.0417. S/L +1.0694
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,344
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:09am Mar 7, 2023 10:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} omg... ... I will short bounce again...
Find a short signal. Maybe on the 1 min
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,345
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:17am Mar 7, 2023 10:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Find a short signal. Maybe on the 1 min
= just short no matter what

(disclaimer: caution advised)
  • #107,346
  • Mar 7, 2023 10:20am Mar 7, 2023 10:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 6H 1x target 1.0498, 2x target 1.0417. S/L +1.0694
There may be support at 1.0574.9, 1.0554 1.0515. The targets are below these. The 6h target is smaller than the 1.0515 1.0554 support. But the larger ma are pushing against these. PA may bounce some before breaking supports. It may be best to allow a bounce to R before entering.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,347
  • Edited 11:29am Mar 7, 2023 11:05am | Edited 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} We dont put out ill advisory's here. Not on purpose anyway. If you have some analysis. We would like to hear it.
wasn't meant that way, rather in support of your post cause PA kept pointing further down. always appreciate your thread and posts and never waste my time with negativity here...

as for TA, resistance levels would be expected aournd 1.057, 1.053 and 1.051 and then we are nearing fib 38.2 at 1.046 (from sep22 low and jan23 high)
  • #107,348
  • Mar 7, 2023 11:53am Mar 7, 2023 11:53am
Well well well. Leave for an afternoon and the trend changes! And to think just yesterday I was dreaming of snowballs over 1.07...
Never say never.
  • #107,349
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:01pm Mar 7, 2023 12:01pm
Quoting Boulder
H4 uptrend stop. currently at 1.0579 {image}
H4 reversed to downtrend per sys I,, more drop to come
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  • #107,350
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:03pm Mar 7, 2023 12:03pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} H4 reversed to downtrend per sys I,, more drop to come {image}
System II H4 reversed as well.. better to short bounce next a few days
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  • #107,351
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:07pm Mar 7, 2023 12:07pm
Change 1.0554 to 1.0552
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,352
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:09pm Mar 7, 2023 12:09pm
4H close below 1.0574.9
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,353
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:18pm Mar 7, 2023 12:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls road lead through 1.07.. I have a few shorts for the R/R. But not because it looks bearish. It looks bullish on the week, and day. Bullish into a year close, with the month + above bearish. If the bears show up, w/o any evidence atm. May close tomorrow below 1.0574. Its a fantacy, I know. Its just 1.0694/1.07 turns pa sometimes in historical charts. In historical charts this second time here is sometimes the last time. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,354
  • Mar 7, 2023 12:21pm Mar 7, 2023 12:21pm
Ahhh was so close to rescuing my longs at 1.0710! Ffs
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #107,355
  • Mar 7, 2023 1:20pm Mar 7, 2023 1:20pm
A week close below here (1.0552) and 1.0515 is not bullish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,356
  • Edited 3:22pm Mar 7, 2023 3:08pm | Edited 3:22pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} System II H4 reversed as well.. better to short bounce next a few days {image}
1.0574.9 should retain some R value later. It may be a place to short a bounce later.

Need the sma to line up red, white, blue, to start. In a day or 2 red, green, white, purple, blue, yellow. need the Red below purple next week. They will drop today at close. Lets see how much.. ATM nothing but pa is below the purple
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,357
  • Mar 7, 2023 3:23pm Mar 7, 2023 3:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0574.9 should retain some R value later. It may be a place to short a bounce later. Need the sma to line up red, white, blue, to start. In a day or 2 red, green, white, purple, blue, yellow. need the Red below purple next week. They will drop today at close. Lets see how much.. ATM nothing but pa is below the purple {image}
PA needs to to get below 1.0515 and run to move the red and green..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,358
  • Mar 7, 2023 3:37pm Mar 7, 2023 3:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Large levels dont give up so easily. Trends can change many times on a small chart before a large move. Frog in a blender. The day and week were about 140 pips apart Friday. ATM there less than 100 pips. {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
Pulse
pa may end the day below all times. from 1 min, to year.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,359
  • Mar 7, 2023 4:04pm Mar 7, 2023 4:04pm
Still holding long.

It's tough, if your bearish the dollar, to stomach a day like today, but it is what it is.

I have no play until 1.0520 is decided. Too much of a no man's land for me around this big quarterly zone. Could send us down as far as 1.0088 again....
My if-then scenario includes the market staying heavy to through tmmrw and Thursday, with a jobs report induced rally on Friday.

So the game plan is to stay long and ride it out.
  • #107,360
  • Mar 7, 2023 4:05pm Mar 7, 2023 4:05pm
1.0835 has been the midpoint for pa since inception. The month 20 sma for the first time since 2003, is below 1.0835.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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