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The Swamp

  • #107,321
  • Mar 7, 2023 6:31am Mar 7, 2023 6:31am
30 min got a close below.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,322
  • Mar 7, 2023 6:33am Mar 7, 2023 6:33am
H4 uptrend stop. currently at 1.0579


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  • #107,323
  • Mar 7, 2023 6:56am Mar 7, 2023 6:56am
Quoting gatorinla
A possible L 1.0633/35/38. {image}
Closing a 4h 6h 8h (8h 0622) below 0635 may be less bouncy. More so below with a day close below 0612. Next h is a 4/8h
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,324
  • Mar 7, 2023 7:25am Mar 7, 2023 7:25am
FX option expiries for Mar 7 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0570 1.3b
  2. 1.0620 1b
  3. 1.0670 922m
  4. 1.0710 938m
  5. 1.0740 1b

  • #107,325
  • Mar 7, 2023 8:55am Mar 7, 2023 8:55am
The algo is/was 1.0638/slip. Being NFP week, once there. It can bounce, but its tricky if it starts closing below 0635 0620 0612. PA is now below the day sma already. So pa can go to 1.0574.9 and close below it. If that was to happen before close. Thats the way its usaully done for bears to test 1.0574.9
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,326
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:00am Mar 7, 2023 9:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls road lead through 1.07.. I have a few shorts for the R/R. But not because it looks bearish. It looks bullish on the week, and day. Bullish into a year close, with the month + above bearish. If the bears show up, w/o any evidence atm. May close tomorrow below 1.0574. Its a fantacy, I know. Its just 1.0694/1.07 turns pa sometimes in historical charts. In historical charts this second time here is sometimes the last time. {image}
Against the year close this would not be so hard. Because at some point 1.0694/1.07 can close the door. All that's left is 1.0574.9 and the week 1.0554/0515to stop it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,327
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:05am Mar 7, 2023 9:05am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Mar 7 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0570 1.3b 1.0620 1b 1.0670 922m 1.0710 938m 1.0740 1b
Start closing below 0574.9, That puts 1.0554 is reach. There may be some support at either. 1.0515 too. But since pa it leaving 1.0694, It may be a trend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,328
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:09am Mar 7, 2023 9:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Thanks. I didn't close my shorts at 1.0638 since I see there is no volatility..... either bears or bulls have any strength ..... just a ranging market... my shorts average around 1.0615.. I see I can make some later...
lol...made it into profit..
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  • #107,329
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:11am Mar 7, 2023 9:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Start closing below 0574.9, That puts 1.0554 is reach. There may be some support at either. 1.0515 too. But since pa it leaving 1.0694, It may be a trend.
I am sideline atm.. wait to short the bounce...
  • #107,330
  • Edited 9:27am Mar 7, 2023 9:16am | Edited 9:27am
Quoting gatorinla
Bulls are kicking butt. If today closes below 1.0536. My system says look for a short, with the high as a stop. Numbers could change some. I will post later. A day close above 1.0722 is my long signal I think a close above 1.07 is bullish. It just dont fit my system criteria. 4h 6h 8h 12h Have short triggers with closes ranging from 1.0605/25. All is bullish. PA looks to want 1.07.. If it slips and closes a day below these. It may be a trap for buys closing below these. The same for sells above...
New day. If bears are here. they will take 1.0574.9 and close the day below it. If not, its a support. Don't get stuck in a trap. The year close can start a trend, pa may not look back. Especially with a week close below 0554 and 1.0515. Range wise w/o a close below these.. A bounce may be tradeable.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,331
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:28am Mar 7, 2023 9:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...made it into profit.. {image}
You did, but lost opertunity has a price.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,332
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:29am Mar 7, 2023 9:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You did, but lost opertunity has a price.
I started to short on this bounce to 1.0609
  • #107,333
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:45am Mar 7, 2023 9:45am
sys II is test H4 uptrend stop atm.. let see bears can hold it below 1.0612 at H4 close, 2 hours 15 mins to go..
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  • #107,334
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:46am Mar 7, 2023 9:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I started to short on this bounce to 1.0609
If bears are serious, they will take 1.0574.9 today. The meter is running.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,335
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:49am Mar 7, 2023 9:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If bears are serious, they will take 1.0574.9 today. The meter is running.
day range low has reached at 1.0608..
  • #107,336
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:52am Mar 7, 2023 9:52am
Quoting Boulder
sys II is test H4 uptrend stop atm.. let see bears can hold it below 1.0612 at H4 close, 2 hours 15 mins to go.. {image}
I got a breech into 12h. Just a 30 min close. I dont have a 6h target yet. I will post after next h close. It looks to be a decent one.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,337
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:53am Mar 7, 2023 9:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} day range low has reached at 1.0608..
That dont work with 0574
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,338
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:54am Mar 7, 2023 9:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I started to short on this bounce to 1.0609
booked this little money.. I have no patience...lol... tp hit less a min later
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  • #107,339
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:56am Mar 7, 2023 9:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That dont work with 0574 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmqRx3ypWwU
you won again...
  • #107,340
  • Mar 7, 2023 9:57am Mar 7, 2023 9:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} day range low has reached at 1.0608..
Now will it bounce, or close below..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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