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The Swamp

  • #107,041
  • Feb 22, 2023 10:04am Feb 22, 2023 10:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 6h is testing 0635 again
6h went to bearish trend
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,042
  • Feb 22, 2023 10:36am Feb 22, 2023 10:36am
My plan is to sell. The window to 1.07/1.0694 may have closed..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,043
  • Feb 22, 2023 11:41am Feb 22, 2023 11:41am
I left pending sells 1.0670+. The 6h turned. The 8h 12 and day are left. The 6h has been bullish since 0.9654. It just ended at 1.0635. 967 pip cycle. At the high add 375 more pips. It only came back to 0.9654 one time. It had a shallow breach into the 0.954 support. That R now, like support then, is 1.0914/93. In this case getting a month close below 1.07/1.0694 may seal it off. That would make 1.1186 hard to do.
Closing a 6h above 1.0993 reverses the 6h again.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,044
  • Feb 22, 2023 11:51am Feb 22, 2023 11:51am
Hi Gator

Please may i request any insights on NZD and datapoints

Thanks buddy
We cannot direct the winds but we can adjust our sail.
  • #107,045
  • Feb 22, 2023 12:00pm Feb 22, 2023 12:00pm
I still see the chance for a bounce to 1.0670/slip. Or 1.0835. I'm Leaving 1.0835 and 1.1186 out because there above 1.07. If pa runs above 1.07.. XWarningX dont think it wont run to 1.0835. Those are the runs that retreat little. 1.07 is a good place to make R. Institutions know 1.07 is there. At some point it often dont let things pass. Its came close a few times already.. You cant play every "IF" your account is not big enough. One has to chose their battles with good management. One has to walk away on his own terms.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,046
  • Feb 22, 2023 12:09pm Feb 22, 2023 12:09pm
Quoting posterboy
Hi Gator Please may i request any insights on NZD and datapoints Thanks buddy
Do you have the year close marked on your chart? If not, do it. Do every past year and see if you see something. Each broker varries some with the exact close level. But it should be close. I haven't opened a kiwi chart yet. Closes matter to a particulia time frame.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,047
  • Feb 22, 2023 12:16pm Feb 22, 2023 12:16pm
Quoting posterboy
Hi Gator Please may i request any insights on NZD and datapoints Thanks buddy
6h is 6195 it didnt break.. It came close last Friday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,048
  • Feb 22, 2023 12:27pm Feb 22, 2023 12:27pm
A usdx close 104.48+ looks bullish. The usd is already above last years close. The eu below 1.07/.0694.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,049
  • Feb 22, 2023 1:30pm Feb 22, 2023 1:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
A usdx close 104.48+ looks bullish. The usd is already above last years close. The eu below 1.07/.0694.
its testing now.. It could open more doors.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,050
  • Feb 22, 2023 1:49pm Feb 22, 2023 1:49pm
1.0646 may be a R now. A open algo is at 1.0670/slip. The Fed deemed to be hawkish. If some crazy stuff happens, and it retraces back above 1.0646, to 1.0670.
Then falls back below 0646 to close a timeframe you use. That may insure more drop. It has given chances to short 1.07ish several times. At some point she may not be back. That may have already be done. The algo at 1.0670 was not filled. I have pendings there in case it does. There is still the 8h trend support at 1.0573 bears need to beat. Some possible bounce there. I dont know if it makes the 100 pip rise to 1.0670 off the 8h. PA is in the shadow of 8h support. The 12h starts where the 8h ends, near it anyway.. 1.0576.. PA looks very bearish.. Those bounces give chances to short higher. Those bounces fill algos.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,051
  • Feb 22, 2023 1:59pm Feb 22, 2023 1:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
1.0646 may be a R now. A open algo is at 1.0670/slip. The Fed deemed to be hawkish. If some crazy stuff happens, and it retraces back above 1.0646, to 1.0670. Then falls back below 0646 to close a timeframe you use. That may insure more drop. It has given chances to short 1.07ish several times. At some point she may not be back. That may have already be done. The algo at 1.0670 was not filled. I have pendings there in case it does. There is still the 8h trend support at 1.0573 bears need to beat. Some possible bounce there. I dont know if it makes...
1.0536/slip has a algo. A chance to bounce there too,,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,052
  • Feb 22, 2023 2:09pm Feb 22, 2023 2:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To get some of that bounce, an algo at 0648/32/slip possible bounce. TP on the day on the chart. The algo at 1.0093 may attract. Some support possible 1.0031ish. See chart. If the drop is correct. Either 1.0093, or 1.1186 looks like next. Lets say the tp works out.. Pa drops to 1.05x/1.04xx. If it later, closed the week above 1.0610. I would look to long back to 1.07R. ..1.07 being the year close it may not be able to take it +. The week target could be tp1 1.0810ish, tp2 1.1010. If it could get past 1.07. Bears may fight. To stop a week...
day tp 1 in the distance, its getting closer.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,053
  • Feb 22, 2023 3:05pm Feb 22, 2023 3:05pm
If you have never watched this video, its very interesting. We see what we focus on-


Inserted Video




Ive had so many sell signals on the 4 hour but I was so focused on dollar dropping I didnt even consider that we might not be just correcting. Well, shit happens.

And no I didnt see him (you will understand after you watch the video, you may have to plug it into your browser
Never say never.
  • #107,054
  • Feb 22, 2023 6:21pm Feb 22, 2023 6:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
A usdx close 104.48+ looks bullish. The usd is already above last years close. The eu below 1.07/.0694.
USDX closed above 1.04.48
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,055
  • Feb 22, 2023 8:23pm Feb 22, 2023 8:23pm
options look to far.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,056
  • Feb 22, 2023 8:40pm Feb 22, 2023 8:40pm
I was shooting for 1.0670. Another place could be after 1.0637.. It is below 1.0646. Bulls are looking sluggish. 1.0646 can sometimes be a R into next week.. It may hit the 50% at 0650, then settle below 1.0646. 1.0637, and/or 1.0650 may attract pa.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,057
  • Feb 22, 2023 8:53pm Feb 22, 2023 8:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
I still see the chance for a bounce to 1.0670/slip. Or 1.0835. I'm Leaving 1.0835 and 1.1186 out because there above 1.07. If pa runs above 1.07.. XWarningX dont think it wont run to 1.0835. Those are the runs that retreat little. 1.07 is a good place to make R. Institutions know 1.07 is there. At some point it often dont let things pass. Its came close a few times already.. You cant play every "IF" your account is not big enough. One has to chose their battles with good management. One has to walk away on his own terms.
Took my stops battling it out.
An orgy of evidence points to continued bearishness across the board.
1.0635 reached it's end limit of slip (+- 45 pts) for a weekly number... But it held.
The only thing Bullish Fibre right now, is that nothing is bullish...

That being said I have no play and no intermediate position...
  • #107,058
  • Feb 23, 2023 4:51am Feb 23, 2023 4:51am
Quoting gatorinla
I was shooting for 1.0670. Another place could be after 1.0637.. It is below 1.0646. Bulls are looking sluggish. 1.0646 can sometimes be a R into next week.. It may hit the 50% at 0650, then settle below 1.0646. 1.0637, and/or 1.0650 may attract pa. {image}
Nothing in either net.. Strong bear/weak bull. I left pendings. Back to sleep
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,059
  • Feb 23, 2023 5:35am Feb 23, 2023 5:35am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Took my stops battling it out. An orgy of evidence points to continued bearishness across the board. 1.0635 reached it's end limit of slip (+- 45 pts) for a weekly number... But it held. The only thing Bullish Fibre right now, is that nothing is bullish... That being said I have no play and no intermediate position...
Closing below first 1.0835, later 1.07 had me looking for drops. 2022 was unable to close above 1.0835. That had my long term outlook bear intact. That algo at 1.1186 was the only thing that had me look much more than 1.0835. I hoped 1.0835 would contain it the first time. Once it past the algo at 1.0805. Live and learn. Its a process in motion. My guiding large algos are 0.77 and 1.1186. With new ones always in the process of forming. Its not looking good for 1.0637 atm. but I'm not long. I'm just looking for the spot a pop fly, "slows, before gravity, pulls it back to earth". That sweet spot. Evidently that was 1.1032 earlier this month. 540 pips ago. To make 1.07 a pp.. pa will likely run below 1.036x. Price closed yesterday below 1.0637. I have 1.0835 as a big historic number.. The 1.1032 high about 197 pips above it. The = distance below 1.0835 is 1.0637. Yesterday closed below 1.0637. That gravity pull toward 1.0835 has lessoned. Blessed with a close. 1.0367 would do the same for 1.07. Plus that usdx close was above the center. 104.48. Once price gets to one side of a year close. It tends to run. Atm it has closed 2 weeks below 1.07.
Pa is into the 8h support. It ends with a 8h close below 1.0573.. Then the 12h has its support. I think I can wait to see if 1.0637 comes again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #107,060
  • Feb 23, 2023 5:48am Feb 23, 2023 5:48am
in less than 2h.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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