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The Swamp

  • #106,701
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:14am Feb 8, 2023 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0748+ now 5 min close
0746
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,702
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:16am Feb 8, 2023 6:16am
Are we treading on bull or bear the market seems confusing for me today
  • #106,703
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:18am Feb 8, 2023 6:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0746
triggered L 0746, but 0756 has R,, Tp 0771.8, s/l0741
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,704
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:22am Feb 8, 2023 6:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} triggered L 0746, but 0756 has R,, Tp 0771.8, s/l0741
The same trigger with a 15 min has a 1.0737 s/l
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,705
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:32am Feb 8, 2023 6:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The same trigger with a 15 min has a 1.0737 s/l
30 min and 15 triggered, 30 min s/l 1.0730.

5 min for me..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,706
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:41am Feb 8, 2023 6:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 30 min and 15 triggered, 30 min s/l 1.0730. 5 min for me..
s/o..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,707
  • Feb 8, 2023 6:52am Feb 8, 2023 6:52am
above 1.0747 5 min close another triggers.. similar s/l.. Nap time.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,708
  • Feb 8, 2023 7:17am Feb 8, 2023 7:17am
Eu is gonna s to 1.700 after the news
  • #106,709
  • Feb 8, 2023 7:43am Feb 8, 2023 7:43am
Quoting gatorinla
above 1.0747 5 min close another triggers.. similar s/l.. Nap time.
Getting really vague signals

4Hr and 1Hr closes keep happening above the mid of the YTD trading… but the bulk of the trading is happening below it

Risk sure seems better right now playing short, if you choose to use 1.078X as the stop…. Could see a new LOY with less than 50 pips of SL

For me, the 1.0648-1.0629 level is my Maginot line…. Ill take my biggest long position there and reduce the biggest if it is violated.
  • #106,710
  • Feb 8, 2023 8:00am Feb 8, 2023 8:00am
Can you please explain why you are so keen at the 1.0648-1.0629 level for long?
  • #106,711
  • Feb 8, 2023 8:12am Feb 8, 2023 8:12am
Quoting Don96
{quote} im not sure if 1.0741 gives a short opp. if somewhere between 23/27 bounces to 41... i may take it.
this would be it... PA changed.

not shorting, better opps higher up. 46/55
  • #106,712
  • Feb 8, 2023 8:48am Feb 8, 2023 8:48am
Quoting Don96
{quote} im not sure if 1.0741 gives a short opp. if somewhere between 23/27 bounces to 41... i may take it.
don't put your money where your mouth is. both my long and short would be B.E. WOULD being the important word...

Quoting Don96
{quote} don't put your money where your mouth is. both my long and short would be B.E. WOULD being the important word... {image}
i still dont fancy holding longs if day closes below 1.0699/700... 1.0696/89 may be a place to look for some...
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  • #106,713
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:19am Feb 8, 2023 9:19am
Quoting ogbajijoel
Can you please explain why you are so keen at the 1.0648-1.0629 level for long?
Pulled the zones from some weekly data mining, and it's also a macro fib play, so there is some correlation I like

Also, the fact we got within 20 pips or so and exploded 100pips north validates that there are unfilled orders and institutional interest there...

Now there are no guarantees we get back there... Ever


But for the potential reward(700pips) it's worth the risk
  • #106,714
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:21am Feb 8, 2023 9:21am
Quoting Don96
{quote} this would be it... PA changed. not shorting, better opps higher up. 46/55
I got a really nice conservative short at 1.0820-1.0840 pending...
  • #106,715
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:21am Feb 8, 2023 9:21am
Quoting Don96
{quote} don't put your money where your mouth is. both my long and short would be B.E. WOULD being the important word... {quote} i still dont fancy holding longs if day closes below 1.0699/700... 1.0696/89 may be a place to look for some... {image}
i sold at 27 with Stop at 30... closed +1
  • #106,716
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:26am Feb 8, 2023 9:26am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} I got a really nice conservative short at 1.0820-1.0840 pending...
i havent looked that high, back into last weeks range... id imagine 1.079x will hold this week unless that daily provides a bounce...
  • #106,717
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:32am Feb 8, 2023 9:32am
Quoting Don96
{quote} i sold at 27 with Stop at 30... closed +1
oops. maybe im too scared of this game.
  • #106,718
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:36am Feb 8, 2023 9:36am
Quoting Don96
{quote} i havent looked that high, back into last weeks range... id imagine 1.079x will hold this week unless that daily provides a bounce...
My plan is to reduce my longs if we get there before we go to 1.0648-1.0629 first…

If we drop first and the zone holds, then 1.0820-1.0840 likely is just a speed bump to broad new highs
  • #106,719
  • Feb 8, 2023 9:54am Feb 8, 2023 9:54am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Getting really vague signals 4Hr and 1Hr closes keep happening above the mid of the YTD trading… but the bulk of the trading is happening below it Risk sure seems better right now playing short, if you choose to use 1.078X as the stop…. Could see a new LOY with less than 50 pips of SL For me, the 1.0648-1.0629 level is my Maginot line…. Ill take my biggest long position there and reduce the biggest if it is violated.
I had one short setup on the 1h. it said short 0724, s/ 0744. tp 40 pips.. The thing is.. I think it needs to close below 1.0723. By the time it does.. That close candle may be too low for R/R. 1 to 2 R/R.

If the 1h closes 1h below 1.0723. A bounce to it later may be one to pend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,720
  • Feb 8, 2023 10:03am Feb 8, 2023 10:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had one short setup on the 1h. it said short 0724, s/ 0744. tp 40 pips.. The thing is.. I think it needs to close below 1.0723. By the time it does.. That close candle may be too low for R/R. 1 to 2 R/R. If the 1h closes 1h below 1.0723. A bounce to it later may be one to pend.
Once again eu bears suck.. The inability to close yesterday below1.07/1.0694. Now the inability to close an h below 1.0723 after 2 attempts. Bears inability to take and hold basic support with closes below.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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