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The Swamp

  • #106,441
  • Jan 30, 2023 4:41am Jan 30, 2023 4:41am
Quoting imwim
{quote} Bad news today for EURUSD bulls... German economy unexpectedly shrinks in Q4, reviving spectre of recession... https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...q4-2023-01-30/
FF screwed me.. no Monday red/orange news.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,442
  • Jan 30, 2023 4:46am Jan 30, 2023 4:46am
Quoting Don96
Short at 1.0911, tight stop, long at B.E
Out for +10, longs also out.
  • #106,443
  • Jan 30, 2023 4:47am Jan 30, 2023 4:47am
Quoting imwim
{quote} Bad news today for EURUSD bulls... German economy unexpectedly shrinks in Q4, reviving spectre of recession... https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...q4-2023-01-30/
not too bad here. lots positive
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,444
  • Jan 30, 2023 5:18am Jan 30, 2023 5:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To drop eu 1000 pips.. usdx would probably need to close above 1.06. (1.05.91)
The reason why USDCHF is far away from the bottom 0.90846...usdx have to close above 1.06 with SNB support...

Swiss National Bank posts record $143 billion loss in 2022...
https://www.reuters.com/business/fin...22-2023-01-09/
I am who I am
  • #106,445
  • Edited 8:03am Jan 30, 2023 5:24am | Edited 8:03am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Out for +10, longs also out.
will continue to look for shorts at 1.0910/1.0920/26

1.0865/1.0855 for longs.

PA will change these

Also - pretty sure this is higher than all of last week..

Closed another short +15. took a smaller long on cable. will look for more 1.2335/15

closing the short from 1.0910 may have been wrong. i closed a long from 1.0840 on Friday prematurely +20 so i wasnt holding into the weekend.

Quoting Don96
{quote} will continue to look for shorts at 1.0910/1.0920/26 1.0865/1.0855 for longs. PA will change these Also - pretty sure this is higher than all of last week.. Closed another short +15. took a smaller long on cable. will look for more 1.2335/15 closing the short from 1.0910 may have been wrong. i closed a long from 1.0840 on Friday prematurely +20 so i wasnt holding into the weekend. {image}
I shorted the EG at 0.88, stops B.E +1

i dont know if those TL's hold. the RR was better at 0.88 for a short.

Edit - Out +20
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  • #106,446
  • Jan 30, 2023 7:59am Jan 30, 2023 7:59am
Quoting gatorinla
My s/l was hit on eg +30..
Yeah, its not looking great, but Im just going to hold it… figure aggregate entry at .8874 with stops over .8895 is a solid risk:reward to get to .8625 still
  • #106,447
  • Jan 30, 2023 9:41am Jan 30, 2023 9:41am
Quoting Don96
{quote} will continue to look for shorts at 1.0910/1.0920/26 1.0865/1.0855 for longs. PA will change these Also - pretty sure this is higher than all of last week.. Closed another short +15. took a smaller long on cable. will look for more 1.2335/15 closing the short from 1.0910 may have been wrong. i closed a long from 1.0840 on Friday prematurely +20 so i wasnt holding into the weekend. {quote} I shorted the EG at 0.88, stops B.E +1 i dont know if those TL's hold. the RR was better at 0.88 for a short. Edit - Out +20 {image} {image}...
daily looking to close lower after rejection at 1.0910 ish, Daily seems bearish into support...

I was.

took a long, stop is tight. stops at B.E if +10, its late in the day. Monthly close tomorrow.

the dailys on the clean chart aren't too dissimilar...
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  • #106,448
  • Jan 30, 2023 11:03am Jan 30, 2023 11:03am
first long s/o 0884+ 15. Just took one at 0853 s/l 0830
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,449
  • Jan 30, 2023 11:16am Jan 30, 2023 11:16am
Quoting imwim
{quote} The reason why USDCHF is far away from the bottom 0.90846...usdx have to close above 1.06 with SNB support... Swiss National Bank posts record $143 billion loss in 2022... https://www.reuters.com/business/fin...22-2023-01-09/
It chf could be leaving for a big run.. The eu is still above the numbers I need to short. Usd below some i need to long usd. So I dont trust the chf. The chf may be right, but its just not in agreement with eu. One will be wrong. The eu is close to testing 1.0835 again.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,450
  • Jan 30, 2023 11:21am Jan 30, 2023 11:21am
eu 1.0835 is the large support I count on. Above it at 0838/40 is one on a small time frame.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,451
  • Jan 30, 2023 11:26am Jan 30, 2023 11:26am
Quoting gatorinla
eu 1.0835 is the large support I count on. Above it at 0838/40 is one on a small time frame.
if we close below enable 0700 by month end

lets break it!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #106,452
  • Jan 30, 2023 1:05pm Jan 30, 2023 1:05pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} will continue to look for shorts at 1.0910/1.0920/26 1.0865/1.0855 for longs. PA will change these Also - pretty sure this is higher than all of last week.. Closed another short +15. took a smaller long on cable. will look for more 1.2335/15 closing the short from 1.0910 may have been wrong. i closed a long from 1.0840 on Friday prematurely +20 so i wasnt holding into the weekend. {quote} I shorted the EG at 0.88, stops B.E +1 i dont know if those TL's hold. the RR was better at 0.88 for a short. Edit - Out +20 {image} {image}
it looks bearish on the closes… I had another long at 40…

those retail commitment can easily change on a big move… shorts turn to longs
  • #106,453
  • Jan 30, 2023 3:12pm Jan 30, 2023 3:12pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} it looks bearish on the closes… I had another long at 40… those retail commitment can easily change on a big move… shorts turn to longs
I got my first 1h short signal a couple of hs ago at 1.0853 close. My s/l would be just above 1.0858. I couldn't do it so close to 1.0835. 2h to day are still trending bullish. If this sucker was to breakout lower, I missed a good entry.
S/l above 1.0858 would of triggered at rollover spread.
This area 1.0835 +15- 150 is all those time frames 2h-12h.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,454
  • Edited 11:42pm Jan 30, 2023 10:53pm | Edited 11:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got my first 1h short signal a couple of hs ago at 1.0853 close. My s/l would be just above 1.0858. I couldn't do it so close to 1.0835. 2h to day are still trending bullish. If this sucker was to breakout lower, I missed a good entry. S/l above 1.0858 would of triggered at rollover spread. This area 1.0835 +15- 150 is all those time frames 2h-12h.
long at 40 was stopped b.e, have another off the rejection of 3x with a stop below the low…

Quoting Don96
{quote} will continue to look for shorts at 1.0910/1.0920/26 1.0865/1.0855 for longs. PA will change these Also - pretty sure this is higher than all of last week.. Closed another short +15. took a smaller long on cable. will look for more 1.2335/15 closing the short from 1.0910 may have been wrong. i closed a long from 1.0840 on Friday prematurely +20 so i wasnt holding into the weekend. {quote} I shorted the EG at 0.88, stops B.E +1 i dont know if those TL's hold. the RR was better at 0.88 for a short. Edit - Out +20 {image}...
i didnt take the long on GU, i wasn't awake early enough.


20k positions added long on EU, almost 20k taken off shorts. 57% still short.
  • #106,455
  • Jan 30, 2023 11:52pm Jan 30, 2023 11:52pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} long at 40 was stopped b.e, have another off the rejection of 3x with a stop below the low… {quote} i didnt take the long on GU, i wasn't awake early enough. 20k positions added long on EU, almost 20k taken off shorts. 57% still short.
cable short around 1.2390 EU 1.0864 weekly open
  • #106,456
  • Jan 31, 2023 1:06am Jan 31, 2023 1:06am
Intermediate trend termination trigger for me on fibre. Seal down from 1.0850-1.0860 was the confirmation.

Breakout short 1.0799 SL 1.0835 TG 1.0275
  • #106,457
  • Jan 31, 2023 1:40am Jan 31, 2023 1:40am
Quoting Don96
{quote} long at 40 was stopped b.e, have another off the rejection of 3x with a stop below the low… {quote} i didnt take the long on GU, i wasn't awake early enough. 20k positions added long on EU, almost 20k taken off shorts. 57% still short.
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  • #106,458
  • Jan 31, 2023 2:11am Jan 31, 2023 2:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got my first 1h short signal a couple of hs ago at 1.0853 close. My s/l would be just above 1.0858. I couldn't do it so close to 1.0835. 2h to day are still trending bullish. If this sucker was to breakout lower, I missed a good entry. S/l above 1.0858 would of triggered at rollover spread. This area 1.0835 +15- 150 is all those time frames 2h-12h.
1h seems have been correct.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,459
  • Jan 31, 2023 5:49am Jan 31, 2023 5:49am
I got a sell stop -1.0843. Its looking like its not going to hit. Not hitting it should rise. s/l .0866, tp 0801
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,460
  • Jan 31, 2023 5:51am Jan 31, 2023 5:51am
Quoting gatorinla
I got a sell stop -1.0843. Its looking like its not going to hit. Not hitting it should rise.
Decent snap back

Leaving my B/O short at 1.0799

Figured this week would be a meatgrinder
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