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  • #106,201
  • Jan 15, 2023 4:10pm Jan 15, 2023 4:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1m + is bullish. Anyone wanting to long has no argument with me. Against shorting I can win. I agree all on the surface is, and looks bullish. The week closed above 1.07, 10732.8. TL, all the 200 up to day are bullish. Most trending indicators are bullish. What bulls didnt do was close above 1.0835. PA might open above it Tuesday. To me, the inability to close above is a small bear sign. Nothing to stop someone with a strong bullish belief, to be long. Friday missed a algo at 1.0776. PA was so close to it. Yet bulls pulled it back, before...
All bullish,, The open is below 1.0835.. First thing bulls need to do is take it back.. However so little, this is where a bear would want to open -1.0835. I said Tuesday thinking markets would be closed. Ignore it.
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  • #106,202
  • Jan 15, 2023 4:59pm Jan 15, 2023 4:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} All bullish,, The open is below 1.0835.. First thing bulls need to do is take it back.. However so little, this is where a bear would want to open -1.0835. I said Tuesday thinking markets would be closed. Ignore it. {image}
agree Gator, still bullish.

from here to 1.1186, is there any level in between might mean a thing to you?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #106,203
  • Edited 11:00pm Jan 15, 2023 5:11pm | Edited 11:00pm
Quoting johncen
{quote}agree Gator, still bullish. from here to 1.1186, is there any level in between might mean a thing to you?
I say bullish because bears have done little to change that. But this is where and how it could look if they did. This is a pivotal spot. All surface things look bullish including HH HL.. R/R wise I'm short. Its not just a spot for bears, the bulls pushed it here. Those bulls have a spot to tp. Reaching 1.0805.5 may have satisfied them. Its a long closing area to me.
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  • #106,204
  • Jan 15, 2023 6:53pm Jan 15, 2023 6:53pm
Hello!
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  • #106,205
  • Jan 15, 2023 10:55pm Jan 15, 2023 10:55pm
Quoting SnailFX
Hello! {image}
It looks that way.
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  • #106,206
  • Jan 16, 2023 3:59am Jan 16, 2023 3:59am
The dog chain is pivoting a little higher than 1.0835. Lower than 1.0795 could pop the chain. That could open the algo at 0776... All speculation into what a bear sneaking needs to do. The chain may jerk the dog back a few times. Since the trend is up, some fake bears is normal 1.0732 has support value for tomorrow's close. Closing tomorrow below 1.07/1.0694. is a strong statement.
St attraction to 1.0865 stopped, to go below 1.0795 first. Is a possible sneaker.
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  • #106,207
  • Jan 16, 2023 5:15am Jan 16, 2023 5:15am
1.0835 is important to me from inception/historically. Not to say it wont break. On the 30m you can see the genuflecting. A normal st generic retrace should reach 1.0837/38+. That week close/open below 1.0835 has me curious. Yes, yes, its bullish yada yada.
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  • #106,208
  • Jan 16, 2023 5:50am Jan 16, 2023 5:50am
She me be in the squeezer.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,209
  • Jan 16, 2023 2:15pm Jan 16, 2023 2:15pm
The 2 largest algos at .7991 and 1.1186. PA is gone to one or the other next, I have others on the chart that pa may bounce around. The red are larger. In order red, white and blue. The one at 1.0699/slip (see chart) is within 1.0694/1.070 support. That could be a sweet long spot. If pa starts closing above 1.07. 1.070 may be support enough for 1.1186 or those closer others. Reaching the others + slip may cause some retrace. After it may proceed to 1.1186/slip. The debt ceiling threat is getting closer. A default should/could weaken the USD. Equities should dive then. Just depending on sentiment of reaching a deal. Sentiment dont seem so good to me. The nutz could push this over the edge. This may go down to the wire mid summer. It may start affecting this months before as sentiment of threats evolve. The threats of default would help 1.1186/slip. It may push it above the average slip.

1.0677 could be a better long. Its below 1.0699.. I may use it for a Long stop area. Later hold if the close is above 1.07
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  • #106,210
  • Jan 17, 2023 4:15am Jan 17, 2023 4:15am
Quoting gatorinla
The 2 largest algos at .7991 and 1.1186. PA is gone to one or the other next, I have others on the chart that pa may bounce around. The red are larger. In order red, white and blue. The one at 1.0699/slip (see chart) is within 1.0694/1.070 support. That could be a sweet long spot. If pa starts closing above 1.07. 1.070 may be support enough for 1.1186 or those closer others. Reaching the others + slip may cause some retrace. After it may proceed to 1.1186/slip. The debt ceiling threat is getting closer. A default should/could weaken the USD. Equities...
All long bets above, are off. If pa starts closing below 1.07 after. Large closes above 1.0835 are bullish. PA is still in that pivotal area below 1.0835. Today a close below 1.07/1.0694 is a statement. Today closing above 1.0835 is better than below 1.0835 for bulls. PA is between 2 large points. The squeezer, where it can turn around,
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  • #106,211
  • Edited 5:35am Jan 17, 2023 5:21am | Edited 5:35am
15 min is testing atm. It turns below 1.08.. Within 1.066x and now has a lot of ma support. If it cant break 1.0835 again. The algo at 1.0776/slip sits. A larger at 1.0710/slip. and 1.009xx. This is a tough area. After it reached 1.0835/slip is where I thought it a had a chance to turn. Anything can happen in this 1.07/1.0835 area. Pa needs to make the choice in closing +-. A volatile reaction after a head fake can go either way. 0.799 or 1.1186 are the largest. But pa can go the 1.0776, 1.0699 or 1.009x before 1.1186. Pa dont have to go to 1.1186 at all. Its rung the bell at 1.0805/slip. It can make the like size run to 0.93xx.

I cant say for sure pa will reach 1.1186/slip. That is the largest algo above here. The lower one of equal size was 0.9596. 0.9596 took 20 years to reach. 1.1186 could do the same. 1.0835 is 15 years old. 1.0805/ is a large spot. It came here despite the FED raising rates. That takes a lot of doing. The rubber band screeched to get here. That could stop it from rising to 1.1186. Bulls have to get above 1.0835 and 1.07. Bulls have to hold large closes above these 1.07 and 1.0835. If not, that stretch can pull her down. Just like she was able to rise. 1.0876 is the closet and weakest, 1.0699 is more like one that has a 50/50 shot this week, 1.009x being 700 pips away. It had a 50/50 shot when January opened. To run back before Feb. That's 750 pip run to 1.009x.. That dont seem likely 2 weeks out. Plus the things happening in congress concerning the debt ceiling. But it can keep it from rising in a range. It may hang between 1.07/1.0835 ish for a while. It can be plus and minus these some. Close wise will count. ATM price has closed a week above 1.07, but below 1.0835. The week is the largest time frame atm. Another thing to note is pa did not close the year above 1.0835. To me this could mean 1.069/1.0835 +- range. Large closes probably a month or more needed to set the break.
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  • #106,212
  • Jan 17, 2023 5:45am Jan 17, 2023 5:45am
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  • #106,213
  • Jan 17, 2023 8:13am Jan 17, 2023 8:13am
eu atm above 1.0835 with 2 1h closes above. Watching equities today. Dow 33702 +- close has my attention. The congress debt ceiling wildcard. Can hurt USD and world equities. Anyone with a 401k/equites should be cautious, now until its settled.
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  • #106,214
  • Jan 17, 2023 8:17am Jan 17, 2023 8:17am
All my shorts stopped for 4 pips.
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  • #106,215
  • Jan 17, 2023 9:18am Jan 17, 2023 9:18am
Watching 1.0821/17/13… shorts at b.e

May be opp to long….

USD 102.4x 103.0xx

Quoting Don96
Watching 1.0821/17/13… shorts at b.e May be opp to long…. USD 102.4x 103.0xx
took long at 1.0816, stop at 1.0810 which I do not like… my short will cover the long loss of stopped
  • #106,216
  • Jan 17, 2023 10:13am Jan 17, 2023 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
All my shorts stopped for 4 pips.
I had a ea stop.. +4 on all trades.. I didnt have large trade.. But sorry I didnt keep the 1.0885 s/l.. Damned if you do,, damned if your dont.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,217
  • Jan 17, 2023 10:16am Jan 17, 2023 10:16am
Quoting Don96
Watching 1.0821/17/13… shorts at b.e May be opp to long…. USD 102.4x 103.0xx {quote} took long at 1.0816, stop at 1.0810 which I do not like… my short will cover the long loss of stopped
Also 1.0794, 13 gave a small bounce, my long was stopped my short is stilll in play, some people may get burned
  • #106,218
  • Jan 17, 2023 10:42am Jan 17, 2023 10:42am
The first small sign of bull weakness was the inability to close above 1.0835 Friday. Second would be closing today below 1.0732. Stronger would be closing below 1.0699/1.07 today. -1.0694 safer. That same spot 1.0694/1.07 can be support. Closing above it, after testing can be bullish. There is a algo at 1.0710, its above 1.07..That area is the best chance for a bull. But a close below is not bullish

This is how a reversal would start.
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  • #106,219
  • Jan 17, 2023 10:58am Jan 17, 2023 10:58am
Quoting gatorinla
The 2 largest algos at .7991 and 1.1186. PA is gone to one or the other next, I have others on the chart that pa may bounce around. The red are larger. In order red, white and blue. The one at 1.0699/slip (see chart) is within 1.0694/1.070 support. That could be a sweet long spot. If pa starts closing above 1.07. 1.070 may be support enough for 1.1186 or those closer others. Reaching the others + slip may cause some retrace. After it may proceed to 1.1186/slip. The debt ceiling threat is getting closer. A default should/could weaken the USD. Equities...
Since It needs to close above 1.07 for bulls. There is a little support at 1.0677.... 1.07 is all that matters for the large closes here. Bulls need 1.07+ and 1.0835.. Bears at -1.07 have all that's needed. Since 1.0710 has an algo. It can head fake on this drop. It can bounce 1.0710/slip -1.0700. Its important to get the close.

Next algo 1.0776, 1.0710, 1.0093. That debt ceiling with the food fight can trigger a weaker usd. That always has a chance to run to 1.1186. The inability to close 1.08035 places 1.07 in the scope. Losing 1.07 can put 1.0093 in the scope.
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  • #106,220
  • Jan 17, 2023 11:39am Jan 17, 2023 11:39am
inflation dropping in the u.s. Lower U.S. inflation. =inflation drop in Europe. Aided with a weaker usd the last quarter. Aided further by a mild winter. Has caused cheaper EZ energy than expected. Decreases ECB rate raise amount. Comparably the Fed has less inflation to worry about. The eu has room to retrace if 1.07 dont hold support.

The debt limit food fight is a wildcard.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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