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The Swamp

  • #106,081
  • Jan 6, 2023 8:40am Jan 6, 2023 8:40am
The push looks to be stalling atm. Short term there is some s at 0513.. and still 0511/08.. bears want the day to close below 0508.. The same as earlier post with 0548+ and bulls.

I gotta run.. left that pending s at 0547..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,082
  • Jan 6, 2023 8:49am Jan 6, 2023 8:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I left a pending short at 0547.. The bastard missed, up to 0545. Equities are about to get some volume. It could push it again.
Yeah the way it snapped back like this... I just gotta wait and stick to the plan... still half short, Ill add under 0445... other than that its all noise for me... especially on the jobs report
  • #106,083
  • Jan 6, 2023 10:58am Jan 6, 2023 10:58am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} well, dodged that one... damn thing corrected to 1.0543(stops at 1.0544 plus spread) I reduced the position to 50% at 1.0488 with the number coming up today.... sell stops to reengage under 1.0445.... figure its worth risking 43 ticks in order to not get rekt if we rally back to 1.0635 Dxy 105.68 is a daily... 106.25 opens to door to 108.08 again....
Figured this was probable... Gaining great alpha off this move.... Watching dxy at 103 88... Might be time to cover my entire short position early and use 1.0635 as the number to begin scaling in long
  • #106,084
  • Jan 6, 2023 5:12pm Jan 6, 2023 5:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
The push looks to be stalling atm. Short term there is some s at 0513.. and still 0511/08.. bears want the day to close below 0508.. The same as earlier post with 0548+ and bulls. I gotta run.. left that pending s at 0547..
stole 10 more pips from me. Pa was unable to close below 1.0508 + it closed above 1.0548. That is a bear rejection to me. Either one of those may be a long on a drop. The next larger r to me is 1.0694/.07 . Plus pa never reached 1.0805. That algo or 1.1186 still has merit to me at some point. It would need to pass 1.07 to get there. Either of those plus some slip may be the better position short trade.
For the bears, this week did close below 1.07. The month is still young. I think the real short will start after 1.08 or 1.1186. This dont mean 1.07 wont cause a large drop before. The largest Algo i have is 1.1186/slip. This one is the better one for a new LL. The thing is, it may not reach it. +1.1186/ to about + 50 pips looks like a trade with a potential to reach 0.93xx
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,085
  • Jan 7, 2023 12:05am Jan 7, 2023 12:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Round 7,8, 9,10 and 11 looks like a KM loss. If KM wins, shutdowns in funding government looks like it will happen. Whoever takes KM place will probably have to follow agreements KM made. Probably in late summer we may see that shutdown. The unlikely wildcard is if moderate leaning GOP, make a deal with Dems. It would just take a handful.
15 tries the charm. KM takes the majority after some horse trading. Late in the summer, that debt ceiling threat, may force rates higher. That could lead to a world economic down turn. I got a secret behind the scenes video. Of the horse trading.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,086
  • Jan 7, 2023 12:15am Jan 7, 2023 12:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} stole 10 more pips from me. Pa was unable to close below 1.0508 + it closed above 1.0548. That is a bear rejection to me. Either one of those may be a long on a drop. The next larger r to me is 1.0694/.07 . Plus pa never reached 1.0805. That algo or 1.1186 still has merit to me at some point. It would need to pass 1.07 to get there. Either of those plus some slip may be the better position short trade. For the bears, this week did close below 1.07. The month is still young. I think the real short will start after 1.08 or 1.1186. This dont...
You can see where the support is on the chart. You can see why I focused on 1.0694 and 1.0700. 1.0694/34 has reason to provide R. I cant rule out 1.0805. But cant say it will happen either. Without bias here is what's there. Month 1.070/1.0694 can be meaningful s/r.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,087
  • Jan 7, 2023 12:11pm Jan 7, 2023 12:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
I got a secret behind the scenes video.
Nice. Btw I love this movie.
Muni loves you all!
  • #106,088
  • Jan 7, 2023 3:33pm Jan 7, 2023 3:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 tries the charm. KM takes the majority after some horse trading. Late in the summer, that debt ceiling threat, may force rates higher. That could lead to a world economic down turn. I got a secret behind the scenes video. Of the horse trading. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBHN7aJGogY
...Gator the best for you and you family this year...

...Unrelated and dumb question here...

..those this news will have any impact or repatriation of funds here on the USA...perhaps the US30 will reach the 35000 level mark...again?

Bloomberg) -- Jack Ma is giving up controlling rights of Ant Group Co., as the billionaire further retreats from his online empire following the country’s unprecedented tech crackdown.
The company is offering 10 individuals, including the founder, management and staff, voting rights independently, effectively removing Ma’s control of Ant, according to an announcement on Saturday. The adjustment will not change economic interests of any shareholders.
Ma has mostly disappeared from public view since giving a speech that criticized regulators on the eve of the scuttled Ant listing in 2020. Many of his peers have relinquished their formal corporate roles and increased donations to charity to align with President Xi Jinping’s vision of achieving “common prosperity.”
Ant has since focused on overhauling its business operations to appease regulators. It’s ramping up its capital base for its consumer loan affiliate, moved to build firewalls in an ecosystem that once allowed it to direct traffic from payment platform Alipay, with a billion users, to services like wealth management and consumer lending.
The change of control could mean that Ant will have to wait longer for a much anticipated resumption of its initial public offering. Companies can’t list domestically on the country’s so-called A-share market if they have had a controller change in the past three years — or in the past two years, if listing on Shanghai’s STAR market. For Hong Kong’s stock exchange, this waiting period is one year.
Ma’s fintech giant was poised to conduct the world’s biggest listing in 2020, challenging the nation’s biggest state lenders, before it was scuttled as regulators launched a crackdown on the industry.
Ma will still hold voting rights and economic interests in the company following the change. In a filing in July, affiliate Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. reiterated that Ma “intends to reduce and thereafter limit his direct and indirect economic interest in Ant Group over time” to a percentage that doesn’t exceed 8.8%.
Ma will have about 6.2% of the voting rights after the adjustment, based on Bloomberg calculations.
Ant’s board will be made up of a majority of independent directors after the company introduces a fifth one, according to the statement.
The Chinese government’s multi-year crackdown has reined in breakneck growth for the entire internet sector, and left global investors feeling the shockwaves. It’s changed the playbook for the nation’s tech champions who once prioritized growth at all costs, introducing a new paradigm for the country’s private sector.
Ant’s consumer lending affiliate recently received regulatory approval for a capital injection of 10.5 billion yuan ($1.5 billion), signaling progress in its restructuring and removing a hurdle as it seeks to obtain a financial holding license. The company could issue about 400 billion yuan to 500 billion yuan of loans after the changes, based on Bloomberg calculations.
(Updates with details about independent directors from seventh paaragraph.)
2023 Bloomberg L.P.


thanks and sorry for the intrusion..
The Chonchy
  • #106,089
  • Jan 8, 2023 11:42am Jan 8, 2023 11:42am
North Carolina woman wins $2M lottery prize two months after $1M jackpot...
https://www.upi.com/Odd_News/2023/01...4731673034961/
I am who I am
  • #106,090
  • Jan 8, 2023 8:07pm Jan 8, 2023 8:07pm
Quoting chonchy
{quote} ...Gator the best for you and you family this year... ...Unrelated and dumb question here... ..those this news will have any impact or repatriation of funds here on the USA...perhaps the US30 will reach the 35000 level mark...again? Bloomberg) -- Jack Ma is giving up controlling rights of Ant Group Co., as the billionaire further retreats from his online empire following the country’s unprecedented tech crackdown. The company is offering 10 individuals, including the founder, management and staff, voting rights independently, effectively...
I dont want to get too far ahead of my skis. Its all possible. ATM I'm seeing pa touched 0672.. It needs to break that. I think it will, but before it goes to 1.0694/07 or more. it needs to break 0673. So it may retrace before 0673. I will try to get it a eu long then.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,091
  • Jan 8, 2023 8:15pm Jan 8, 2023 8:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont want to get too far ahead of my skis. Its all possible. ATM I'm seeing pa touched 0672.. It needs to break that. I think it will, but before it goes to 1.0694/07 or more. it needs to break 0673. So it may retrace before 0673. I will try to get it a eu long then. {image}
It broke 0673, so that is voided.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,092
  • Jan 9, 2023 9:10am Jan 9, 2023 9:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You can see where the support is on the chart. You can see why I focused on 1.0694 and 1.0700. 1.0694/34 has reason to provide R. I cant rule out 1.0805. But cant say it will happen either. Without bias here is what's there. Month 1.070/1.0694 can be meaningful s/r. {image} {image} {image}
Pa is at a key spot. Atm it is above 1.0700/1.0694. The bullish side atm. 1.0805 has a shot this week. It did close last week below 1.0694. If and when it starts doing it again. It will likely turn bearish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,093
  • Edited 10:40am Jan 9, 2023 10:00am | Edited 10:40am
PA may find 1.0694/1.07 supportive. My 5 min 1.0720/13
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,094
  • Jan 9, 2023 11:04am Jan 9, 2023 11:04am
PA is within 50 pips of 1.0805, I think its going there. There is a small algo at 1.0699.. So pa mas a chance to return to 1.07.. Not a short call, just a possible chance to long if it does, But also if it closes below 1.0694/1.07. It can turn bearish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,095
  • Jan 9, 2023 3:29pm Jan 9, 2023 3:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
PA is within 50 pips of 1.0805, I think its going there. There is a small algo at 1.0699.. So pa mas a chance to return to 1.07.. Not a short call, just a possible chance to long if it does, But also if it closes below 1.0694/1.07. It can turn bearish.
My shorts got stopped out… still cant complain since I took half off at 1.0488…
Major closes under 1.0735 are key for me to re-initiate the short. But as of now im just sitting on my core long position…

Dxy sealed down through a pretty major level…. If she cant short squeeze from here we could see 99.80 and fast…
  • #106,096
  • Jan 9, 2023 4:45pm Jan 9, 2023 4:45pm
1
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  • #106,097
  • Jan 9, 2023 5:15pm Jan 9, 2023 5:15pm
obvious FU in options here. But where? 1.07 to me could support. Is 1.6, meant to be 1.06?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,098
  • Jan 9, 2023 6:20pm Jan 9, 2023 6:20pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} My shorts got stopped out… still cant complain since I took half off at 1.0488… Major closes under 1.0735 are key for me to re-initiate the short. But as of now im just sitting on my core long position… Dxy sealed down through a pretty major level…. If she cant short squeeze from here we could see 99.80 and fast…
I got and algo at 0699/slip.. another 0648/slip.. 1.0694/1.07 is the first close support. I hope to watch here some if around. 1.0699comes up twice as a potential retrace.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,099
  • Jan 9, 2023 9:27pm Jan 9, 2023 9:27pm
It may start gradually happening before late Summer early Fall. The new rules enacted by the house. Is favorable to higher U.S. rates. Its also favorable to sink the economy. At least till they blink. Big business will not like this. Somebody is looking to cut off the hand feeding them. Unless some adults step in. The inmates are controlling the asylum. https://www.crfb.org/blogs/upcoming-...licy-deadlines

The gestation period for a Bull is about 9 months.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,100
  • Jan 10, 2023 12:39am Jan 10, 2023 12:39am
Quoting gatorinla
It may start gradually happening before late Summer early Fall. The new rules enacted by the house. Is favorable to higher U.S. rates. Its also favorable to sink the economy. At least till they blink. Big business will not like this. Somebody is looking to cut off the hand feeding them. Unless some adults step in. The inmates are controlling the asylum. https://www.crfb.org/blogs/upcoming-...licy-deadlines The gestation period for a Bull is about 9 months. {image}

Stupid politics. Unfortunately, the inmates plan is to throw wrenches into the system to foul things up, then claim that they're the good guys.
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Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
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