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Liquidity and Structure

  • #1,181
  • Jan 5, 2023 7:36pm Jan 5, 2023 7:36pm
close. not sure about today
whether price can reach last week high
friday being a reversal day
tuesday being the low of the week
thursday could be the high

action pack will be around news events
eur cpi
ny open red news
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,182
  • Edited 7:58pm Jan 5, 2023 7:43pm | Edited 7:58pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} i get caught during consolidation.
for me if get caught in consolidation either
get out if not sure or
hold on with wider stops for fake moves or break out, if you are confident of your directional bias
the nasdaq short was a fake move above consolidation, being right on directional bias and reasonable target

so what can i say?
it is mostly one's own ability to manage the psychology and emotional part
and where one places the SL and TP

that's why 10 traders using exactly the same method taught to trade
all will have different results
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,183
  • Jan 5, 2023 8:01pm Jan 5, 2023 8:01pm
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} for me if get caught in consolidation either get out if not sure or hold on with wider stops for fake moves or break out, if you are confident of your directional bias the nasdaq short was a fake move above consolidation, being right on directional bias and reasonable target so what can i say? it is mostly one's own ability to manage the psychology and emotions part. 10 traders using exactly the same method taught to trade all will have different results
From the mentorship , he have said ,
if midnight has make a big move , avoid ny morning session, wait for noon, anticipate market take out morning session high or lunch high.
in this case, morning make a huge dump and didnt pullback at equity market start, and straight to the equal low for ssl, and being consolidated until noon session and drop again for morning session low.
i guess the solution for me is , be more patience, if want to get new trade , wait for noon session first cause it already taken out the ssl.
if it didnt take out lunch high or morning high and create set up then skip it and keep morning profit.
my issue, already up but want to get more , greed involve, i know maybe wider stop can help but i stick to set up he teach, where to set stop.
the time reference is really important to trading, if i able to wait for noon, the stop is small and the run is almost right away move.
when i enter near 11 am and after 11 am, the price is consolidation after big run down and tale out ssl.
the time is already pass for big move and in accumulation and manipulation stage again i guess.
all this i take note, why i loss but then reverse.
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,184
  • Jan 5, 2023 8:07pm Jan 5, 2023 8:07pm
Now my plan for nas , is wait for ny mid night candle show opening price, 15m chart had equal high during ny lunch and noon session for bsl.
The target is last week low and previous swing low at weekly. (Look at left)

the power 3, i take midnight as daily open price, when we are bearish, look for price accumulation and manipulate above the midnight open price, if it move during Lo session and already go up mid night and drop below it, then use 8:30 am for ny session to anticipate the swing high (the recent or obvious one at the left 15m chart before 8.30 am ) to enter for target daily Liquidity (old low or equal low)
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PA Return Today: na
  • #1,185
  • Jan 5, 2023 8:13pm Jan 5, 2023 8:13pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
Now my plan for nas , is wait for ny mid night candle show opening price, 15m chart had equal high during ny lunch and noon session for bsl. The target is last week low and previous swing low at weekly. (Look at left) the power 3, i take midnight as daily open price, when we are bearish, look for price accumulation and manipulate above the midnight open price, if it move during Lo session and already go up mid night and drop below it, then use 8:30 am for ny session to anticipate the swing high (the recent or obvious one at the left 15m chart before...
the only reason i can explain for ytd is due to adp data , price used it for pushing for ssl, so not much opportunity during ny morning session after data.
the only way is using smaller tf for enter to target ssl.
but this part i still not familiar with how to follow enter through, so i get caught ytd.
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,186
  • Jan 5, 2023 8:50pm Jan 5, 2023 8:50pm
i try to trade ny am before noon
after that it will be past midnight my local time, sleeping time not so interested

a review on nasdaq after the fact
the directional bias already analysis done earlier and mentioned is to short for the day

if m5 was the entry chart. 2 opportunities for short on the ny mn open
2 winners
depending on one's tp, it could be a loss or BE if keep on holding through london session if looking for more than 20-30 pips profit

during london session no shorting available as there was no break of structure
if m1 was the entry chart, then there might be some losses

during new york session red news
if m1 was the entry chart, a few shorting areas
even 2 or 3 during stock exchange open
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,187
  • Edited 9:35pm Jan 5, 2023 9:10pm | Edited 9:35pm
price pulling to d1 bsl above
however being friday, do not know whether will end up as doji and continue upward next week
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,188
  • Jan 5, 2023 9:13pm Jan 5, 2023 9:13pm
a few possible targets for d1 ssl
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,189
  • Jan 5, 2023 9:19pm Jan 5, 2023 9:19pm
not so clear. now hitting bullish order block
may retrace to yesterday candle premium and drop
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,190
  • Jan 5, 2023 9:56pm Jan 5, 2023 9:56pm
Just example for uj
noon session trade with hindsight.

retrace to 62% from ny killzone (pre ny session) low to high.
lunch low get taken out and create set up for buy at noon session.

nas didnt reach 50% , but maybe i measure wrong impulse move.
i take the pre ny high to low.
but it did take out lunch high and drop.
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PA Return Today: na
  • #1,191
  • Jan 5, 2023 10:51pm Jan 5, 2023 10:51pm
at the moment no interest in trading
until price comes to the mid range from the us red news drop to the low
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,192
  • Jan 5, 2023 11:50pm Jan 5, 2023 11:50pm
Quoting Inthebox
at the moment no interest in trading until price comes to the mid range from the us red news drop to the low
yup
if it can play above midnight for short at LO is a fine but now seem all running
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,193
  • Jan 6, 2023 12:15am Jan 6, 2023 12:15am
Quoting Inthebox
price pulling to d1 bsl above however being friday, do not know whether will end up as doji and continue upward next week {image}
now that price hit yesterday high internal bsl
if it comes down and goes up later for the external bsl
this could very well fit into the scheme of things that the other 2 prices be pushed up to mid range
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,194
  • Jan 6, 2023 1:25am Jan 6, 2023 1:25am
frankfurt open
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,195
  • Jan 6, 2023 1:37am Jan 6, 2023 1:37am
Gu did go back above midnight and dump
just free to check chart
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,196
  • Jan 6, 2023 1:56am Jan 6, 2023 1:56am
Quoting LeongPuiy
Gu did go back above midnight and dump just free to check chart
Looking to Long this LO open with the RTO to m5 OB...
Let see how it goes. First TP daily high then 1.1976

First Bullet here with SL below yesterdays lows, if stopped out will see how PA unfolds below that level of yesterday around 1.18650.
  • #1,197
  • Jan 6, 2023 2:06am Jan 6, 2023 2:06am
Quoting Inthebox
frankfurt open {image}
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,198
  • Jan 6, 2023 2:06am Jan 6, 2023 2:06am
Quoting witowito
{quote} Looking to Long this LO open with the RTO to m5 OB... Let see how it goes. First TP daily high then 1.1976 First Bullet here with SL below yesterdays lows, if stopped out will see how PA unfolds below that level of yesterday around 1.18650.
daily will get sweep imo
cause equal high there
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,199
  • Jan 6, 2023 2:17am Jan 6, 2023 2:17am
Quoting witowito
{quote} Looking to Long this LO open with the RTO to m5 OB... Let see how it goes. First TP daily high then 1.1976 First Bullet here with SL below yesterdays lows, if stopped out will see how PA unfolds below that level of yesterday around 1.18650.
5m dis shifted .
let see will it give you the equal high there
PA Return Today: na
  • #1,200
  • Jan 6, 2023 2:26am Jan 6, 2023 2:26am
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} 5m dis shifted . let see will it give you the equal high there
directional is d1 swing high
gravitate to d1 ssl
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
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