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The Swamp

  • #105,921
  • Dec 14, 2022 2:55pm Dec 14, 2022 2:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
Powell conference over. If it does fall. I look to long to 1.0805
Do you mean short at 1.0805 gator.

Fomc and Powell was hawkish but still dollar getting sold off

Don't understand what's happening

Euro is making new highs since november reaching 1.07 now..

Seems no sell in euro till December 31st.
  • #105,922
  • Dec 14, 2022 3:52pm Dec 14, 2022 3:52pm
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} Do you mean short at 1.0805 gator. Fomc and Powell was hawkish but still dollar getting sold off Don't understand what's happening Euro is making new highs since november reaching 1.07 now.. Seems no sell in euro till December 31st.
I called for 1.0805 before it reached 0.9595/slip. Once it reached 0.9595/slip it was do for a bounce to 1.0805.5. About 1250 pips or so. I'm not saying short 1.0805.5/slip directly. But once there it can go to 0.93xx. The thing being, the year is about to close. The year may require 1.1186. It and 1.0805.5 is a algo. Its possible to hit 1.080x Followed by a drop to 0.93xx. So you have to find some topping indicated. The old mid is 1.0835. I dont know if that can prevent 1.1186. But its possible. It dont have to reach 1.1186. 0.9595 took 20 years. So it 1.0805/slip holds. The new top could be 1.0805.5/35 ish. If so 1.007x/slip will come. From there it could come back and possible double top 1.08xx. A like move was 1250 pips before the last drop years ago. 1.080x is about the same size.

0.93xx is about the same as 1.1186. Both with pull. Things dont go up forever. 1250 pips is a decent retrace. Large enough to cull the shorts holding parody. It will go to one or the other. Timing is essential. Because it may go to the other once the first is reached. At 1.08 most will be bullish with trend talk. When most have a preconceived direction. PA will screw most. 1.0835 needs to have large closes above for bulls
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  • #105,923
  • Dec 14, 2022 4:10pm Dec 14, 2022 4:10pm
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} Do you mean short at 1.0805 gator. Fomc and Powell was hawkish but still dollar getting sold off Don't understand what's happening Euro is making new highs since november reaching 1.07 now.. Seems no sell in euro till December 31st.
Powell is just one voice. All of these can affect the eu's movement. There is a open algo at 0580.. It can pull. Also if the day or week close below 0632. It will likely pull. Even some news can do it intra day. And it may end up above 0632 the same day.
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  • #105,924
  • Dec 14, 2022 4:38pm Dec 14, 2022 4:38pm
The ez inflation may be set to ease. Oil was lower over the last few months. But mostly the usd verses the euro is down 12%. That may have eased ez inflation outlook some. The rate news is set for tomorrow. Plus she will speak. Less inflation could be less hawkish in the presser. That could cause a retrace.
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  • #105,925
  • Dec 14, 2022 4:50pm Dec 14, 2022 4:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 40 billion on Twitter. Tesla -60% here. Since he started running his mouth. Investors are pissed off. He sells electric cars and pisses off the buyers. After he sucked up and the government welfare. He may be a genius in some things. He is a moron in a glass house on others. He tweeted himself out of 1/2 Trillian plus dollars. Probably the largest loss of money in history. PS my levels have seemed to work. I have some lower. There is a big black space between. The current and lower one. https://www.google.com/search?q=how+...hrome&ie=UTF-8...
Lots of space to 72.51.
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  • #105,926
  • Dec 14, 2022 8:38pm Dec 14, 2022 8:38pm
The GBP is a beast. It may also be ready for a retrace sometimes after 1.2458/slip. Some R 1.2484/1.2506.
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  • #105,927
  • Dec 15, 2022 2:23am Dec 15, 2022 2:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{image}1. 0632 is supportive. Not so much if the day closed below. Bear/Bull. Makers want liquidity. If all went long.. They want your money. {image}
Back to challenge 1.0632
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  • #105,928
  • Dec 15, 2022 2:45am Dec 15, 2022 2:45am
Quoting PipsMaster23
{quote} Have you seen this? https://thedeepdive.ca/zoltan-pozsar...h-russian-oil/
No didnt see it till now.. I dont believe it. Usually someone trying to get the price up.
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  • #105,929
  • Dec 15, 2022 2:47am Dec 15, 2022 2:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} PA never went back to 1.0579/80.. It may need 1.0579/80. The news may have been priced in. Some support 0571
Possible long coming. Choices I'm looking for 1.0580/slip. Or 1.007x, But doubtful about 1.007x until 1.0805/slip tires.
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  • #105,930
  • Dec 15, 2022 2:55am Dec 15, 2022 2:55am
no change for Swiss. Inflation may be easing.
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  • #105,931
  • Dec 15, 2022 3:02am Dec 15, 2022 3:02am
Quoting gatorinla
The ez inflation may be set to ease. Oil was lower over the last few months. But mostly the usd verses the euro is down 12%. That may have eased ez inflation outlook some. The rate news is set for tomorrow. Plus she will speak. Less inflation could be less hawkish in the presser. That could cause a retrace. {image}
The decline in the usd. May erase Europe inflation outlook. That decreases ECB raise chance. Chf and GBP too. That should help get to 1.058. or?
Therefore increasing USD strength by default. Easing inflation in the U.S. with a weaker usd, has amplified easing affect in other places.
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  • #105,932
  • Dec 15, 2022 3:13am Dec 15, 2022 3:13am
Quoting longfellow
{quote} Every 12 hours the news just gets worse. Apparently, he stopped paying rent a few months ago and is trying to stop severance payments. Watching a meltdown in real time. If only this were still a publicly traded stock.
He may be throttling back sky kink internet for the with Ukraine cell numbers.
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  • #105,933
  • Dec 15, 2022 3:15am Dec 15, 2022 3:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Didn't make it intraday. After -1.0580 may be better, Will it retrace that far is not known. If it does some support may be in the 0580 area. More 0558 area. I moved entry to start just above 0580. But it may not be able to get below 1.0600/03 support. If pa runs away South tomorrow with news, 1.0462 0446 area may be support.
1.0603 is a rung.
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  • #105,934
  • Dec 15, 2022 3:18am Dec 15, 2022 3:18am
market makers may be in the -1.0580 area. The 1.0580 algo may provide the bounce to 1.08. That's my guess. 1.0632 may be R some. I dont know if 1.0603 support will hold, it can. I choose to go with the algo. I may be wrong. If right, a bounce somewhere after 1.0580 will break up to 1.0805/slip
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  • #105,935
  • Dec 15, 2022 7:32am Dec 15, 2022 7:32am
Quoting gatorinla
market makers may be in the -1.0580 area. The 1.0580 algo may provide the bounce to 1.08. That's my guess. 1.0632 may be R some. I dont know if 1.0603 support will hold, it can. I choose to go with the algo. I may be wrong. If right, a bounce somewhere after 1.0580 will break up to 1.0805/slip {image}
I went to bed with a alarm set for 0590.. It never went off. My short s/l hit at 0650 a min ago.
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  • #105,936
  • Dec 15, 2022 7:42am Dec 15, 2022 7:42am
ECB Governing Council Press Conference - 15 December 2022
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I am who I am
  • #105,937
  • Dec 15, 2022 7:43am Dec 15, 2022 7:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The decline in the usd. May erase Europe inflation outlook. That decreases ECB raise chance. Chf and GBP too. That should help get to 1.058. or? Therefore increasing USD strength by default. Easing inflation in the U.S. with a weaker usd, has amplified easing affect in other places.
About right. They may start talking about cutting before raising as eu rises.
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  • #105,938
  • Dec 15, 2022 7:51am Dec 15, 2022 7:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} About right. They may start talking about cutting before raising as eu rises. {image}
took another smaller short 0662
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  • #105,939
  • Dec 15, 2022 7:58am Dec 15, 2022 7:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} About right. They may start talking about cutting before raising as eu rises. {image}
Lagarde could really poop in the punchbowl for the euro rally... she sounds super hawkish like usual... but does the market call her bluff before we get to some of ur bigger algo and tech levels higher up?
  • #105,940
  • Dec 15, 2022 8:00am Dec 15, 2022 8:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} took another smaller short 0662 {image}
chickened out +9
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