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Time and Price Forecasting

  • #5,121
  • Nov 14, 2022 10:00am Nov 14, 2022 10:00am
Cable trading very predictable today, easy levels to work with and very nice moves....heading to 17000 very soon, will wait now for a retrace and then decide if I want to hold for a longer move south...
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  • #5,122
  • Nov 15, 2022 9:02am Nov 15, 2022 9:02am
Quoting OAPDave
You have to smile The effect of someone else PPI Think you need eyes in the back of your head at times ps Might be better at times to trade with only an Emergency Stop ? {image}
I was in such a nice spot, stop at break even waiting to see how news would effect the trade, then wham...price shot through stop and could only be filled at the next level resulting in a $170.00 loss....not a good start to the day lol. Yes having 20-20 vision front and back would be useful.
  • #5,123
  • Edited 10:00am Nov 15, 2022 9:48am | Edited 10:00am
And now price is back to where I was sitting in the first place It was a bank heist I think..(.150 pip pull back from initial spike)

USDX moving north now, could be a big correction coming.....very volatile situation.
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  • #5,124
  • Nov 15, 2022 1:23pm Nov 15, 2022 1:23pm
And now we are right back where we started the week, except a few dollars lighter lol Unbelievable move the past few days..should be some great opportunities going forward...
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  • #5,125
  • Nov 16, 2022 3:10pm Nov 16, 2022 3:10pm
Managed to recover yesterdays loss
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  • #5,126
  • Edited 4:28pm Nov 16, 2022 3:34pm | Edited 4:28pm
Nice work, I'm floundering ATM, had a nice 30 pip profit but didn't close, resulting in a 10 pip loss...(.stop hit ). Pretty amateur I would say.
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  • #5,127
  • Nov 16, 2022 3:54pm Nov 16, 2022 3:54pm
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy,

Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ??

TIA
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  • #5,128
  • Nov 16, 2022 4:03pm Nov 16, 2022 4:03pm
Quoting Swede
Nice work, I'm floundering ATM, had a nice 30 pip profit but didn't close, resulting in a 10 pip loss...(.stop hit ). Pretty amateur I would say.
Yes cannot say its been easy the last few days
Not sure what to expect tomorrow , seems THEY are waiting for something but everything as allegedly been leaked
Our energy bills are not fun, without the added pain of more taxes that are coming
Even toilet paper is that expensive now, we have to use both sides
  • #5,129
  • Nov 16, 2022 4:09pm Nov 16, 2022 4:09pm
Quoting Steve666
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy, Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ?? TIA {image}
Steve
Sorry that technique is way above my pay grade
I am only a Simple Grid man
But I am sure
Parisboy & Swede will give you their view point
  • #5,130
  • Nov 16, 2022 4:13pm Nov 16, 2022 4:13pm
Thanks OAPDave.

Actually scanning FF reveals some interesting material ... as if I don't have enough rabbit holes to go down !

Cheers,

S.
  • #5,131
  • Nov 16, 2022 4:36pm Nov 16, 2022 4:36pm
Quoting Steve666
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy, Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ?? TIA {image}
I'm clueless Steve.( for confirmation see my last trade)..Parisboy will able to elaborate I think!
  • #5,132
  • Nov 16, 2022 4:41pm Nov 16, 2022 4:41pm
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Yes cannot say its been easy the last few days Not sure what to expect tomorrow , seems THEY are waiting for something but everything as allegedly been leaked Our energy bills are not fun, without the added pain of more taxes that are coming Even toilet paper is that expensive now, we have to use both sides
Once you have used both sides you may have to gather up all the leaf's that fell in the fall...haaaaaaa
  • #5,133
  • Edited 6:03am Nov 17, 2022 3:59am | Edited 6:03am
Quoting Steve666
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy, Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ?? TIA {image}
Steve you remember me when I was a beginner.

If ellipses etc are stimulating for the brain, I will label them as "non-persistent" description item.

a) you cannot describe ALL the market moves with Ellipses.

b) IMHO you can not use Ellipses to trade persistently whatever the time frame and whatever the market conditions.
  • #5,134
  • Nov 17, 2022 5:23am Nov 17, 2022 5:23am
Quoting OAPDave
Charts before The Autumn Statement Using Range and Range Expectation Only for the brave {image} {image} {image}
Dave , nice Sinewaves and nice Symmetry
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  • #5,135
  • Nov 17, 2022 5:58am Nov 17, 2022 5:58am
Quoting Steve666
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy, Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ?? TIA {image}
courtesy of Fx Rapid and Monkey Business
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File Type: pdf Bayer_G.1946_George_Wollsten_-_Expert_Grain_Trader_247_p..pdf   1.1 MB | 554 downloads
  • #5,136
  • Nov 17, 2022 6:48am Nov 17, 2022 6:48am
Quoting Steve666
Swede, OAPDave and Parisboy, Any thoughts either way on (Phi) ellipses ?? TIA {image}
Bradley Cowan
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  • #5,137
  • Nov 17, 2022 11:19am Nov 17, 2022 11:19am
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Bradley Cowan {image}
Many thanks PB.

I view elliptical analysis as just another confirmation tool such as market geometry like circles, trend identification (like COG), harmonics etc. A confluence increases my odds of being correct.

I believe I actually have a hard copy of the Bayer book which I purchased 25 years ago. Interesting reading if I remember correctly.

Which Cowan book is that Lesson II from ??

TIA

S.
  • #5,138
  • Nov 17, 2022 3:08pm Nov 17, 2022 3:08pm
Quoting Steve666
{quote} Many thanks PB. I view elliptical analysis as just another confirmation tool such as market geometry like circles, trend identification (like COG), harmonics etc. A confluence increases my odds of being correct. I believe I actually have a hard copy of the Bayer book which I purchased 25 years ago. Interesting reading if I remember correctly. Which Cowan book is that Lesson II from ?? TIA S.

Four Dimensional Market Structures and Cycles
  • #5,139
  • Nov 17, 2022 6:14pm Nov 17, 2022 6:14pm
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Four Dimensional Market Structures and Cycles
Many thanks PB

s.

Quote of the Day
"The best indicator I know is Trend.
The other good ones are Trend and Trend."

- Ed Seykota
  • #5,140
  • Nov 18, 2022 4:24am Nov 18, 2022 4:24am
Quoting Steve666
{quote} Many thanks PB s. Quote of the Day "The best indicator I know is Trend. The other good ones are Trend and Trend." - Ed Seykota

Steve, have you some articles or books from Ed Seykota ?
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