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The Swamp

  • #104,481
  • Sep 29, 2022 7:09pm Sep 29, 2022 7:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
That balance has changed.. Shorts are now underwater.. old underwater Longs are closing. The average long has gone from 1.00xx to 1.03xx now. The short ratio was 17%/25 late least week/ early this week,, Now its 47% to 53% still favoring longs. That is a big change in 4 days. {image}
Other than allowing you to feel sorry for those underwater, is there any benefit to the table you are looking at?
  • #104,482
  • Sep 29, 2022 7:55pm Sep 29, 2022 7:55pm
Quoting dantpm
{quote} Other than allowing you to feel sorry for those underwater, is there any benefit to the table you are looking at?
yep.. The tide changed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,483
  • Sep 29, 2022 10:09pm Sep 29, 2022 10:09pm
dxy left a small gap, 112.50
  • #104,484
  • Sep 29, 2022 10:47pm Sep 29, 2022 10:47pm
Quoting charlienoble
dxy left a small gap, 112.50
thinking usdx 112.56/slip. That could easily cover 112.5. It could cover eu .9750/46/slip
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,485
  • Sep 29, 2022 10:49pm Sep 29, 2022 10:49pm
bed time..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,486
  • Sep 30, 2022 3:24am Sep 30, 2022 3:24am
Quoting gatorinla
it looks very bullish. I have to trade the plan. I have to let it retrace.. {image}
Gator seems like pa wants 9877 first if 9850 unable to hold.
i am actually thinking it may not give us 9750
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #104,487
  • Sep 30, 2022 5:43am Sep 30, 2022 5:43am
EURGBP.M15
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  • #104,488
  • Sep 30, 2022 5:47am Sep 30, 2022 5:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm not advocating a short. I want to wait. Pa at .9807/slip may be one *( a must s/l about .9839). I dont have the final target yet. Either *.9750 or *.9689. The atm high is .9797. It may make a like double top below, .9807. Don't trust that double top. Its probably a trap. It may rise 20ish pips above (DT) before dropping to one of *these. I have the trend as bullish. But a short like this often happens. It did it yesterday exact. These traps may set up a new *long. Sl has to be as I state. Because like .9670 loss last night, you dont...
Not exactly like I said.. The double top being above .9807. But this is a common head fake. after a DT. Now will .9750/slip hold the support. I think 9744.5 ish..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,489
  • Sep 30, 2022 5:56am Sep 30, 2022 5:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not exactly like I said.. The double top being above .9807. But this is a common head fake. after a DT. Now will .9750/slip hold the support. I think 9744.5 ish.. {image}
.9750/slip.. Somewhere in the .974x/50 has a decent shot. It may bounce and continue North. The second choice would be 9689/slip. .974x/50 has a lot of confluence.
One reason I didnt/dont like to short 9807 set was the tp was too small for the risk. It was also counter of what I had. That possible dt fake out was another. I would rather skip those and let it retrace to enter.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,490
  • Sep 30, 2022 6:06am Sep 30, 2022 6:06am
Quoting johncen
{quote} Gator seems like pa wants 9877 first if 9850 unable to hold. i am actually thinking it may not give us 9750
Those head fakes are tough. It catches those who long that little b/o. it may also catch those late b/o shorts now. With a newer high today. I thought .9945 this week. That is harder now. With the new month .9900 is the attraction. .9900, 1.0349 or 1.0805.5 will be valid. Since the new .95xx low, .9750/slip is the largest spot to bounce.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,491
  • Sep 30, 2022 6:16am Sep 30, 2022 6:16am
Fib expansion may look like this. I cant know the future. A bounce in the 9746 area and a newer 98xx+ high should point to this expansion toward 1.02xx.. That's inline with 1.03 or 1.08
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,492
  • Sep 30, 2022 6:22am Sep 30, 2022 6:22am
Quoting gatorinla
it looks very bullish. I have to trade the plan. I have to let it retrace.. {image}
I may be wrong.. I cant control what the market does. I can only control what I do. The individual trader controls their own destiny.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,493
  • Sep 30, 2022 6:44am Sep 30, 2022 6:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may be wrong.. I cant control what the market does. I can only control what I do. The individual trader controls their own destiny. {image}
Even if it drops a bit further I think it's a good place to start buying. At the worst I don't "think" dxy will cross 115 without more pullback
  • #104,494
  • Sep 30, 2022 6:59am Sep 30, 2022 6:59am
news in 30 min..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,495
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:16am Sep 30, 2022 7:16am
My level required a break in the lower edge of a bearish looking wedge. Go back in time using the wedge and my level. At the time it could of hit hours ago. Pa was making a HH.
I would like to see a little usd positive news. It the eu went up after (against news). It would help my rise view.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,496
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:22am Sep 30, 2022 7:22am
Perhaps a hourly head and shoulders pattern on EurUsd. Good Luck.
Wick versus candlestick ratio will set you free.
  • #104,497
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:23am Sep 30, 2022 7:23am
News in 6 min. The direction b4 is often wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,498
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:26am Sep 30, 2022 7:26am
Quoting gatorinla
News in 6 min. The direction b4 is often wrong.
direction before right after the news in M1 candle? cause I often use H1 candle and I get it wrong most times
  • #104,499
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:30am Sep 30, 2022 7:30am
A nice 47 pip pop
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,500
  • Sep 30, 2022 7:30am Sep 30, 2022 7:30am
news just about right, good but not exceedingly so.
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