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The Swamp

  • #104,221
  • Sep 25, 2022 1:14pm Sep 25, 2022 1:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
Gold is looking pretty damn bearish. I would not long it. It looks like its heading to 1566.x.. If given a chance, it may find itself at 1704 again. I would look for a short setup somewhere after. After 1566 it may have a large bounce. {image}
XAU/USD: Potential bounce on gold this week, see chart. Norm at 1617.71.. It may open a setup, to short later. It will have some stretch from liquidity slip. It may be ripe for a long opportunity. Some possible tp are 1680.92+
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,222
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:02pm Sep 25, 2022 2:02pm
AUD and Kiwi may drop??? Xi arrested? BS or not? https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/inte...-china-3374956

https://www.livemint.com/news/is-xi-...101272337.html

https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/...120-2022-09-25

https://www.news18.com/news/world/xi...t-6032965.html
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,223
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:22pm Sep 25, 2022 2:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
AUD and Kiwi may drop??? Xi arrested? BS or not? https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/inte...-china-3374956 https://www.livemint.com/news/is-xi-...101272337.html https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/...120-2022-09-25 https://www.news18.com/news/world/xi...t-6032965.html...
Xi did self quarantine after his last trip. Could be somebody stretching things a bit.
  • #104,224
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:37pm Sep 25, 2022 2:37pm
Quoting charlienoble
{quote} Xi did self quarantine after his last trip. Could be somebody stretching things a bit.
Not seeing a reliable news source yet
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,225
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:44pm Sep 25, 2022 2:44pm
Quoting charlienoble
{quote} Xi did self quarantine after his last trip. Could be somebody stretching things a bit.
I see that .9596 EU pool. I see Putin drafting/forcing middle ages grandpa's to fight Ukraine. That nuke threat has to be weighing some on the Euro. Add Xi to the mix. That instability could seem to boost the USD.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,226
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:52pm Sep 25, 2022 2:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I see that .9596 EU pool. I see Putin drafting/forcing middle ages grandpa's to fight Ukraine. That nuke threat has to be weighing some on the Euro. Add Xi to the mix. That instability could seem to boost the USD.
Some 300$ plane tickets out of Russia. Are now 8,000 tickets. The demand to GTFO of Russia is off the charts. https://simpleflying.com/moscow-depa...ce-rise-putin/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...er-2022-09-22/ https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...flee-in-droves https://inews.co.uk/news/world/borde...-draft-1876877 https://apnews.com/article/russia-uk...5f3f85deff932e

When they cross the border, they will start hearing real news. Not the Putin propaganda
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,227
  • Sep 25, 2022 2:58pm Sep 25, 2022 2:58pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,228
  • Sep 25, 2022 3:00pm Sep 25, 2022 3:00pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,229
  • Sep 25, 2022 3:00pm Sep 25, 2022 3:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I see that .9596 EU pool. I see Putin drafting/forcing middle ages grandpa's to fight Ukraine. That nuke threat has to be weighing some on the Euro. Add Xi to the mix. That instability could seem to boost the USD.
Gator looks like a huge gap down on cable. Eur back to 0.9660 previous week low. With all those uncertain factors in mind. Might see your 9596 before even a bounce above 9700
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #104,230
  • Sep 25, 2022 3:05pm Sep 25, 2022 3:05pm
Not helping the AUD. https://www.theguardian.com/business...ergrande-group
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,231
  • Sep 25, 2022 3:14pm Sep 25, 2022 3:14pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} Gator looks like a huge gap down on cable. Eur back to 0.9660 previous week low. With all those uncertain factors in mind. Might see your 9596 before even a bounce above 9700
Closer to open it may close a bunch. I see -50 atm.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,232
  • Sep 25, 2022 4:04pm Sep 25, 2022 4:04pm
GBB 58 pip gap
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,233
  • Edited 5:12pm Sep 25, 2022 4:14pm | Edited 5:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
GBB 58 pip gap {image}
Euro is closing the gap down. Still support around 9660.

we are at the tl from the drop since 9840. Hmmmm….

i am thinking we might bounce here to target 0.9750
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #104,234
  • Sep 25, 2022 6:00pm Sep 25, 2022 6:00pm
I see a little .9736 pool. .9738 light r
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,235
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:11pm Sep 25, 2022 8:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{image} {quote} This is not a snowball strategy. This one to be held, or take a loss. Later entry's will lesson the reward, to risk factor. Directional trend wise, the risk is greater (falling knife(. Directional is one trend trending method. PA has other trends less talked about.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If pa is to bounce a decent amount. This area 0.960x/0.9596/0.950ish area has a lot of dotted I's and crossed T's. This is larger then the others over the last few months. Most of those worked, .9780 did not. This larger pool 0.9596 attractant. So close to FOMC probably was most of the reason 0.9780 didnt work. The 4 working ones total was over 300 pips each. (+1200 gain). The last one a -50 pips loss. I think the larger players are watching this 0.9596 area. To closes shorts. The long for .9780 failed. It was also a tp point from 1.0159. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,236
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:22pm Sep 25, 2022 8:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
The last time PA had a similar event like .9795/96 was 20016. The slip was 45 pips. The eventual bounce was 1,250 pips after. A like bounce on eu could bring 1.0349+. PA is bearish now. As it was in 2016. Check if your system for agreement. .9785-.0045 pips provides a window .9750/95 to evaluate. I'm will too long this one. Commercials and non commercials see this already. {image}
Slip on the current one is also 45 pips. At least its 45 pips atm. See chart.. i notice typos here..9595/96.. slip 45 on 2016 chart. Atm repeats here.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,237
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:27pm Sep 25, 2022 8:27pm
My sl for my longs got hit. My buy limit triggered abd sl hit! Opps. Have taken another long
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #104,238
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:28pm Sep 25, 2022 8:28pm
.9605/06 has a new pool. It may be a long. But its against the trend too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,239
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:33pm Sep 25, 2022 8:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
.9605/06 has a new pool. It may be a long. But its against the trend too.
Gator do you have 9620 in your chart?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #104,240
  • Sep 25, 2022 8:34pm Sep 25, 2022 8:34pm
Quoting johncen
My sl for my longs got hit. My buy limit triggered abd sl hit! Opps. Have taken another long
Big drop when .9650 hit. Big bounce when .9550 hit. Large player signature.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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