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The Swamp

  • #103,881
  • Sep 14, 2022 7:30am Sep 14, 2022 7:30am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} its H4 bulls 0.9956 vs day bears 1.0098 , 140+ pips distance. plan your risks accordingly
I had hoped for 1.0059/76 before.. I hoped for the attraction to 1.0076. 1h bos bullside
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  • #103,882
  • Sep 14, 2022 8:43am Sep 14, 2022 8:43am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} its H4 bulls 0.9956 vs day bears 1.0098 , 140+ pips distance. plan your risks accordingly
between 1h and 4h too
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,883
  • Sep 14, 2022 9:59am Sep 14, 2022 9:59am
Next week FOMC. ATM pa sits between The places i want to go. Larger .9780.. But i may get a chance to short from 1.0059+ again. Timing is a bitch. PA is in the chop zone. Wedsday it will likely be in the higher places (pump). Between now and then, I hope to been able to long near 0.9780 , If not it may be a target to short to after FOMC (dump).
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,884
  • Sep 14, 2022 2:27pm Sep 14, 2022 2:27pm
could be a nice AU short tonight with the news.
  • #103,885
  • Sep 14, 2022 10:00pm Sep 14, 2022 10:00pm
Quoting charlienoble
could be a nice AU short tonight with the news.
It may never make .6824/35. I will try a short one with a tight stop there.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,886
  • Sep 15, 2022 12:49am Sep 15, 2022 12:49am
Newb question, is that a bull flag on 1 hr dxy
  • #103,887
  • Sep 15, 2022 3:00am Sep 15, 2022 3:00am
Quoting charlienoble
Newb question, is that a bull flag on 1 hr dxy
it could be. The trend is down. there will be head fakes in consolidations. If in dont. keep it out the mouth. Often in a trend, before news, a head fake will happen. Thats why I wait for things that may never happen. I want to avoid some chop. Waiting for 1.0059/76 could be one of those times.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,888
  • Sep 15, 2022 3:13am Sep 15, 2022 3:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it could be. The trend is down. there will be head fakes in consolidations. If in dont. keep it out the mouth. Often in a trend, before news, a head fake will happen. Thats why I wait for things that may never happen. I want to avoid some chop. Waiting for 1.0059/76 could be one of those times. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AqLDSq_JR-Q {image}
I cant believe 1.0029/30 wasn't hit yet. That one is still available. .9780 is largest But there is a chance for 1.0029/30, or the medium 1.0059/76 also. I hope this sets up to the head fake (liquid grab) followed by .9780.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,889
  • Sep 15, 2022 3:32am Sep 15, 2022 3:32am
4 hs is a long time.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,890
  • Sep 15, 2022 3:38am Sep 15, 2022 3:38am
I'm probably wrong. Looking for something like this. I may not get the bounce, or it may just make 1.0029. And if so, the drop could be deeper. I'm just using ADR. Later in this week, or before NFP. Pa may be back at that dark navy level.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,891
  • Sep 15, 2022 3:43am Sep 15, 2022 3:43am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm probably wrong. Looking for something like this. I may not get the bounce, or it may just make 1.0029. And if so, the drop could be deeper. I'm just using ADR. Later in this week, or before NFP. Pa may be back at that dark navy level. {image}
On the other hand I may be full of shit. If this be the case. Shorting 60/90 pips higher, is better than shorting 60/90 pips lower. In a down trend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,892
  • Sep 15, 2022 4:00am Sep 15, 2022 4:00am
A survey of starving/dead lions concludes. Many young starving/dead lions suffer/suffered from FOMO. If you have this. It has to be conquered.
Fear of missing out (FoMO) is a unique term introduced in 2004 to describe a phenomenon observed on social networking sites. FoMO includes two processes; firstly, perception of missing out, followed up with a compulsive behavior to maintain these social connections.
Its been around long before 2004.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,893
  • Sep 15, 2022 4:07am Sep 15, 2022 4:07am
Close a 1h above 1.00 and the chances of reaching 1.0029 or 1.0059 increase. I can wait to look for a short there.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,894
  • Sep 15, 2022 4:36am Sep 15, 2022 4:36am
Quoting charlienoble
Newb question, is that a bull flag on 1 hr dxy
Google pole and flag. If it breaks out lower, its probably one. Look at the 4h. I atm dont know what way it will break. Since the trend is down. Up to me is a likely head fake. Down is a continuation. It hasn't broken down. So I will side with a normal retrace to enter. If it does break down Then the flag and pole. 2X move, Either way down eventually. That's one reason i will not say long.

Next Quarter that may change.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,895
  • Sep 15, 2022 4:50am Sep 15, 2022 4:50am
FX option expiries for Sept 15 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9850 260m
  2. 0.9990-00 1.6b
  3. 1.0015-20 602m
  4. 1.0050-60 1.2bl
  5. 1.0070-75 452m
  6. 1.0090-00 878m
  7. 1.0175-85 730m
  8. 1.0195-05 743m
  9. 1.0220-30 419m

  • #103,896
  • Sep 15, 2022 4:57am Sep 15, 2022 4:57am
Ca we have the Gold data points, please?
Cheers!!
  • #103,897
  • Sep 15, 2022 5:36am Sep 15, 2022 5:36am
Quoting PipsMaster23
Ca we have the Gold data points, please?
wow.. gold is testing month uptrend stop 1694.88...wait to see bulls will defend at the month end close
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  • #103,898
  • Sep 15, 2022 5:49am Sep 15, 2022 5:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} wow.. gold is testing month uptrend stop 1694.88...wait to see bulls will defend at the month end close {image}

Yep, crucial time and levels for GOLD. As you said if bulls fail to get the price back above 1694 (by month's end), there is a deep fall to be expected.
Cheers!!
  • #103,899
  • Sep 15, 2022 6:33am Sep 15, 2022 6:33am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Sept 15 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9850 260m 0.9990-00 1.6b 1.0015-20 602m 1.0050-60 1.2bl 1.0070-75 452m 1.0090-00 878m 1.0175-85 730m 1.0195-05 743m 1.0220-30 419m
That one I left open closed now. I wanted to make sure it was 1000 pips
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,900
  • Sep 15, 2022 6:40am Sep 15, 2022 6:40am
1h till news and no spike. Not even 1.0029/30. I'm surprised. That flag and pole could be real.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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