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The Swamp

  • #103,861
  • Sep 14, 2022 3:36am Sep 14, 2022 3:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm looking at pure pa. I dont know about the unknown catalyst. That's why I try to enter edges mostly with a stop loss. Next Quarter 1.0349. If some catalyst with that affect was to happen. 1.0806 would be my area. But atm, all i can use is what I have. A .75% or 1% Fed raise is also in the mix. Yeah a desperate Europe will pay more for energy. It will always pay more than we do in the US. until something changes. If they will pay more for energy. The European U will never compete in heavy industrial production. That's just the nature of...
i agree with you. any upside move is just a correction before it drops more and more.
  • #103,862
  • Sep 14, 2022 3:45am Sep 14, 2022 3:45am
Quoting hans91
{quote} sorry but this is what i worried about this, when DXY is too bullish i see it's forming bearish divergence in weekly TF, while EU also develop bullish divergence.. i know sometimes this divergence doesn't work, but if sanctions removed or there will be a peace , EU will climb up brutally in medium term even i believe that in long term EU is bearish.
If you scalping with a reasonable stop. Stuff like that is always present. Its not much different than, Putin dropping a nuke fear. There is always a possible "oh shit" moment. They happen, often the resulting direction is, opposite of the presumption. Ukraine wants to win a war. Russia funds a war against Ukraine with energy money. See the dilemma? Ukraine could end the war, by stopping Russia's energy sales. Strategically sinking a few ship or blowing up a pipeline. Ukraine can ask The EZ to forgive them after.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,863
  • Sep 14, 2022 3:54am Sep 14, 2022 3:54am
FX option expiries for Sept 14 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9920 1b
  2. 0.9950 670m
  3. 1.0000 1.9b

  • #103,864
  • Sep 14, 2022 3:55am Sep 14, 2022 3:55am
Quoting hans91
{quote} i agree with you. any upside move is just a correction before it drops more and more.
1.0349 will always be there until its touched. PA will always have a chance to react near there. It may overshoot some. The best i got now is about 40 pips on a overshoot. But this wont be valid until next month, into the future. W/o going into it too much.. It may/can end up being a double top if things fall that way. Or it may just remain undiscovered for years
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,865
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:03am Sep 14, 2022 4:03am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Sept 14 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9920 1b 0.9950 670m 1.0000 1.9b
I have been using trading view. Now I dont know if i can trust it. Trading view day low on Sept 12-22. Do you have 1.0046.7? That's wrong. So i dont know if i can trust other stuff.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,866
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:06am Sep 14, 2022 4:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have been using trading view. Now I dont know if i can trust it. Trading view day low on Sept 12-22. Do you have 1.0046.7? That's wrong. So i dont know if i can trust other stuff.
I use FXCM broker, it shows 1.0059..
I see you use oanda..
  • #103,867
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:11am Sep 14, 2022 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Add 1.0005.. I screwed up earlier with a decimal. 1.0005, 1.0040, 1.0059. are pools.. My trader view has different numbers than other brokers.. It threw things off some.. I just noticed it. It is 13 pips off. That's a huge difference when compounded
1.0005 finished
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,868
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:15am Sep 14, 2022 4:15am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for Sept 14 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9920 1b 0.9950 670m 1.0000 1.9b
I wonder if it can reach for 1.0040 or 1.0059 before U. S. news. I dont want to short this far below, in this chop zone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,869
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:16am Sep 14, 2022 4:16am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I use FXCM broker, it shows 1.0059.. I see you use oanda..
I know,, see what Oanda says on yours. That's a big screwup on data i pay for.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,870
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:23am Sep 14, 2022 4:23am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I use FXCM broker, it shows 1.0059.. I see you use oanda..
I would like to short 1.0059/76 ish.. I could use 1.0076 + as a stop.. Or 1.0116+. But it may not be the today or week,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,871
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:23am Sep 14, 2022 4:23am
day stop 1.0098 atm
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  • #103,872
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:24am Sep 14, 2022 4:24am
Quoting Boulder
day stop 1.0098 atm {image}
Its a bootiful thing. I was thinking PA would screw the shorters with a spike before news. Then screw longs again with a lower drop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,873
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:26am Sep 14, 2022 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know,, see what Oanda says on yours. That's a big screwup on data i pay for.
same as yours for oanda..
but i don't use oanda in tradingview, I always use fxcm ,, its more close to what we are trading
  • #103,874
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:36am Sep 14, 2022 4:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} same as yours for oanda.. but i don't use oanda in tradingview, I always use fxcm ,, its more close to what we are trading
Sucks.. Glad I caught it.. I need it to be accurate for those older numbers like .9780
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,875
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:38am Sep 14, 2022 4:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sucks.. Glad I caught it.. I need it to be accurate for those older numbers like .9780
oanda is more like retail trading, better use fxcm for what we are doing
  • #103,876
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:52am Sep 14, 2022 4:52am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} oanda is more like retail trading, better use fxcm for what we are doing
testing your 1h and 1.0014. 1.0029/30 unknown.. But i hope it makes 1.0059/76
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,877
  • Sep 14, 2022 4:55am Sep 14, 2022 4:55am
Since those smaller indis are imposters. Why not some of the Grammy winning lip sinkers. We can blame it on the rain.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,878
  • Sep 14, 2022 6:24am Sep 14, 2022 6:24am
Quoting hans91
{quote} sorry but this is what i worried about this, when DXY is too bullish i see it's forming bearish divergence in weekly TF, while EU also develop bullish divergence.. i know sometimes this divergence doesn't work, but if sanctions removed or there will be a peace , EU will climb up brutally in medium term even i believe that in long term EU is bearish.

Even if this were to happen I don't think it would help EU much. EU is very weak right now. The only way it rises seriously is if dollar decides to take a break.
  • #103,879
  • Sep 14, 2022 6:39am Sep 14, 2022 6:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} still held shorts at high price 1.0190s.. just keep shorting every bounces ,, {image}
repeat this morning so far......
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  • #103,880
  • Sep 14, 2022 6:42am Sep 14, 2022 6:42am
Quoting Boulder
day stop 1.0098 atm {image}
its H4 bulls 0.9956 vs day bears 1.0098 , 140+ pips distance. plan your risks accordingly
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