DAX Futures December 2022 | Forex Factory

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DAX Futures December 2022

  • #1
  • First Post: Sep 12, 2022 2:04am Sep 12, 2022 2:04am
Here we are on 34th journal here about this wild horse.

Every new Quarter start it's difficult as I re-start always from zero and to have constant daily gains is a real tough tough job.

DAX CASH INDEX left a gap at 13121 (last friday official high) and I suspect they wish to hit pre Jackson Hole level aroound 13375/350 zone as upside target, maybe in coincidence with next friday expiration for options&futures&stocks.
But we all know market is never obvious and often ther's no straight way to a possible target, ups and downs are always a constant in the markets.

Volumes and spread on DECEMBER contracts are ridiculous for now, so I better stay on sidelines for now.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:07am Sep 12, 2022 2:07am
170 zone just bought 2 DAX CFD for 220 zone target, friday Jacskson Hole levels are guiding me on the day
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #3
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:10am Sep 12, 2022 2:10am
Volumes in the DAX are inexistant up to the last day of the old contract. Then, on the day of the rollover, they switch to the new contract. Very different than what happens on the ES.
Wealth is not built in a day.
  • #4
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:11am Sep 12, 2022 2:11am
Quoting Nicy
Volumes in the DAX are inexistant up to the last day of the old contract. Then, on the day of the rollover, they switch to the new contract. Very different than what happens on the ES.
and very different also on what happens now on FESX, Eurosttox50 future, little DAX brother on Eurex......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #5
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:22am Sep 12, 2022 2:22am
Quoting Brixen
170 zone just bought 2 DAX CFD for 220 zone target, friday Jacskson Hole levels are guiding me on the day
I have some DAX CFDs additionals below entry price until 13090/110 zone, strong support and gap cover zone.
1 additional was filled at 163 for now.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #6
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:25am Sep 12, 2022 2:25am
Quoting Brixen
170 zone just bought 2 DAX CFD for 220 zone target, friday Jacskson Hole levels are guiding me on the day
Target just hit now at 224 for 2 DAX CFD 170.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #7
  • Edited 2:39am Sep 12, 2022 2:28am | Edited 2:39am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Target just hit now at 224 for 2 DAX CFD 170.
+54 p x 2 DAX CFD=+108 p DAX CFD=+21,5 pips FDXM
I remain with only 1 DAX CFD 163 for now, waiting pre Jackson Hole highs, 33..zone , more or less.

It was very instructive to re-look at what happened on last friday 26 September August key levels are so clear:

13350/370
13310
13280
13210/230
13150
13110/090
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #8
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:31am Sep 12, 2022 2:31am
Here's a daily chart of the index. Yes, quite clear.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 19 KB
Wealth is not built in a day.
  • #9
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:39am Sep 12, 2022 2:39am
Quoting Nicy
Here's a daily chart of the index. Yes, quite clear. {image}

  1. My assumption is based on September high peak around futures(&options&stocks) next friday expiration.
  2. Obviosuly I can be wrong, it's only an assumption , but they made same game last 3 years.
  3. And in the end , I risk only small DAX CFDs.....for now.
  4. Then friday 26 August it's a clear intraday map of key levels for the DAX

I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #10
  • Sep 12, 2022 2:54am Sep 12, 2022 2:54am
No need to stay in front of PC for now.
Alerts at 160 zone, breakeven zone and around 290/310 where probably I will close my last position.

I'm aware stats are against me and at some point I will face some losses, as nothing lasts forever...so I enjoy today cause nothing's sure about tomorrow!
see you later
Inserted Video
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #11
  • Sep 12, 2022 4:05am Sep 12, 2022 4:05am
Quoting Brixen
... I'm aware stats are against me and at some point I will face some losses, as nothing lasts forever...so I enjoy today cause nothing's sure about tomorrow! ...
Well, there's a thing called conditional probability. That is, the probability of your success given your ability level. Makes wonders for probability distributions
Wealth is not built in a day.
  • #12
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:18am Sep 12, 2022 7:18am
Quoting Nicy
{quote}Well, there's a thing called conditional probability. That is, the probability of your success given your ability level. Makes wonders for probability distributions
I have not same freshness of some years ago.
It's becoming a little bit heavy to wake up every day with the need to gain something...whatever it takes!

Inserted Video
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #13
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:22am Sep 12, 2022 7:22am
Quoting Brixen
No need to stay in front of PC for now. Alerts at 160 zone, breakeven zone and around 290/310 where probably I will close my last position. I'm aware stats are against me and at some point I will face some losses, as nothing lasts forever...so I enjoy today cause nothing's sure about tomorrow! see you later https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tG-E4d05_E
Target was hit this morning at 308 for +145 p DAX CFD=+29 pips FDXM

So I'm now flat.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #14
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:24am Sep 12, 2022 7:24am
DAX built a sort of support zone around 13280 zone, but it could be a way to re load some shorts....or a new base for 350/375 zone attack.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #15
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:30am Sep 12, 2022 7:30am
Maybe be they inflate the price now so at the end of the week they have something to fall from
  • #16
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:32am Sep 12, 2022 7:32am
Quoting Brixen
Here we are on 34th journal here about this wild horse. Every new Quarter start it's difficult as I re-start always from zero and to have constant daily gains is a real tough tough job. DAX CASH INDEX left a gap at 13121 (last friday official high) and I suspect they wish to hit pre Jackson Hole level aroound 13375/350 zone as upside target, maybe in coincidence with next friday expiration for options&futures&stocks. But we all know market is never obvious and often ther's no straight way to a possible target, ups and downs are always a constant...
in US rollover futures is going strong way, here below mini US SP500 future september volumes vs december volumes, while
FDXM DECEMBER hit today only 5% of total FDXM volumes SEPTEMBER......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cme1.PNG Size: 17 KB
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #17
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:36am Sep 12, 2022 7:36am
Quoting kilopip
Maybe be they inflate the price now so at the end of the week they have something to fall from
There's a bullish trend developing these days (falling gas price, Ukraine counter attack, Russians on retreat, semiconductos supply chain improve) and maybe their target for next friday are on the upside.

When I have time I will show last 3 years September expiration week...it was only on the rise till friday afternoon, more or less!!!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #18
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:40am Sep 12, 2022 7:40am
above 350 zone placed a couple shorts on FDXM DECEMBER
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #19
  • Sep 12, 2022 8:17am Sep 12, 2022 8:17am
Quoting Brixen
above 350 zone placed a couple shorts on FDXM DECEMBER
370 filled now
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #20
  • Sep 12, 2022 8:18am Sep 12, 2022 8:18am
Gap up in sight for main US Indices at the 15:30CET official open.....same as DAX this morning
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
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