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The Swamp

  • #103,681
  • Sep 2, 2022 7:56am Sep 2, 2022 7:56am
Less positive for the USD. June rate revised lower
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,682
  • Sep 2, 2022 10:08am Sep 2, 2022 10:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0029 trying to get above this R.. Its R, but getting above it with closes and 1.0051/52 could break North. Back below .9995 may be the opposite.
lets see if London wants 1.0051 this next h. It didnt take 1.0029 last hour. I dont like that i didnt for longs. But the fat lady could be warming up for next hour. This is more about shorting 1.0159 for me. Any long for me had to be taken near the edges. That was 100+ pips lower than here.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,683
  • Sep 2, 2022 10:11am Sep 2, 2022 10:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lets see if London wants 1.0051 this next h. It didnt take 1.0029 last hour. I dont like that i didnt for longs. But the fat lady could be warming up for next hour. This is more about shorting 1.0159 for me. Any long for me had to be taken near the edges. That was 100+ pips lower than here. {image}
back in the middle. That less positive USD news. makes me lean a little more toward 1.0132/59 than earlier this week. But it still needs a week to close above 1.0029 or 1.0051.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,684
  • Sep 2, 2022 10:16am Sep 2, 2022 10:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} back in the middle. That less positive USD news. makes me lean a little more toward 1.0132/59 than earlier this week. But it still needs a week to close above 1.0029 or 1.0051. {image}
Disclaimer on those closes. In the unlikely event. If it went to 1.0132/59 today. Those closes would not be needed. If it rejects from sometime after 1.0159.2.. It may be back to .9898 next week, or .9780 later. An over shot could lead pa to 1.0283. That may also be a slapdown place. 1.0159 is larger.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,685
  • Edited 11:02am Sep 2, 2022 10:30am | Edited 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Disclaimer on those closes. In the unlikely event. If it went to 1.0132/59 today. Those closes would not be needed. If it rejects from sometime after 1.0159.2.. It may be back to .9898 next week, or .9780 later. An over shot could lead pa to 1.0283. That may also be a slapdown place. 1.0159 is larger.
We will have to see how this plays out.. 1.0123.6 or 1.0063.6 may act like 1.0028 did the past few weeks, Its a mid zone for another algo. Its a little constipated with 0029 and 0064 near each other, A week close above 1.0065 may be the best bulls could hope for. But to me the may come in play next quarter. At hand 1.0029x to 1.0159 are my focus. .9898/1.0159
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,686
  • Sep 2, 2022 10:39am Sep 2, 2022 10:39am
Quoting Driver55
Hi all, of course it's difficult to say what will happen in the next few days. In these cases I focus on the short term, and for today, I identify a small zone 1.0021 -0.9997. As long as this area holds, I remain confident. We are under economic data and I expect important hikes for today. Meanwhile, I have also updated the lower intervention levels: @ 0.9926 @ 0.9826
Quoting Driver55
{quote} {quote} Referred on daily basis: From today they have given the trend followers yet another short signal. For this reason they are climbing (even slowly) to first stop the latter. If there are no exogenous facts, in my opinion, we will close high or in any case higher. And only when, on a daily basis, they give a first long signal again, will the true direction of the market be decided. To return short today it should fall below the opening price which is 0.9943 for me
Well,
I covered my long of yesterday @1.0025 to be safe ..
This trend could continue even until the close, in order to draw an irrelevant upper shadow on the daily candle.
Personally I prefer to think about it next session.

Have a nice weekend
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #103,687
  • Sep 2, 2022 11:56am Sep 2, 2022 11:56am
day range low 0.9934/50 area... shorted mostly this morning... may be interested in longs if price getting close to there.
  • #103,688
  • Edited 4:48pm Sep 2, 2022 2:39pm | Edited 4:48pm
Non Commercial closed 3.5k more longs than shorts. But overall commercials added more 4.5k longs, while retailers closed longs. The yield was about 936k more longs added overall. About 25% more longs were added before Wednesday. Pa rose earlier in the week before Wednesday. Dropping after Wednesday to near the week's open.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,689
  • Sep 3, 2022 12:26pm Sep 3, 2022 12:26pm
New study could unearth the secret to how 'immortal jellyfish' reverses aging...
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/08/31/e...hnk/index.html
I am who I am
  • #103,690
  • Sep 4, 2022 6:19pm Sep 4, 2022 6:19pm
HIMARS Got Talent...
Inserted Video
I am who I am
  • #103,691
  • Sep 5, 2022 2:48am Sep 5, 2022 2:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The trend is down. Bears need to break the low. Pa is consolidating. Pa is below .9995 in position to make a LL at any time now. But pa is also sitting on .9898. Pa can bounce here also. .9898 pool, and a LL. With about 20 pips below 9900, is a place that can produce a violent rejection. .9875/.9898 has a hot stove touch potential. Anytime today or next week etc. If today pa closes above 1.0052, That may produce more rise. That would lean to test 1.0132/34-1.0159.
So for the hot still touch has s worked some. Might be worth taking a few off.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,692
  • Sep 5, 2022 3:07am Sep 5, 2022 3:07am
Quoting gatorinla
Non Commercial closed 3.5k more longs than shorts. But overall commercials added more 4.5k longs, while retailers closed longs. The yield was about 936k more longs added overall. About 25% more longs were added before Wednesday. Pa rose earlier in the week before Wednesday. Dropping after Wednesday to near the week's open. {image}
Manny short tp, and longs were probably closed with this new lower low. It usually runs about 20 pips lower than the last low. It would be a good time for market makers to take out short trades. I hope to Short again around 1.0145/59. I am not in front of my computer so I don’t have charts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,693
  • Sep 5, 2022 4:11am Sep 5, 2022 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
next week ECB news Thursday may create a big move. {image}
This week before ECB would be a great time to screw everyone
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,694
  • Sep 5, 2022 6:03am Sep 5, 2022 6:03am
FX option expiries for Sept 2 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9850 645m
  2. 0.9875 340m
  3. 0.9900 1.8b
  4. 0.9925 352m
  5. 0.9950 610m
  6. 0.9975-80 446m
  7. 1.0000-05 1.94b
  8. 1.0020-25 1.44b
  9. 1.0050 1.01b

  • #103,695
  • Sep 5, 2022 6:04am Sep 5, 2022 6:04am
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  • #103,696
  • Sep 5, 2022 8:12am Sep 5, 2022 8:12am
Quoting Boulder
{image}
It looks like .9954 may be a pivot
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,697
  • Sep 5, 2022 10:38pm Sep 5, 2022 10:38pm
Quoting Boulder
Day range high 1.0041 and H4 at 1.0063.. I may line up some shorts when this can get there.. {image}
Seeing a pool at .9928.x.. So .9924 may support some. Leg low .9922
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,698
  • Sep 6, 2022 3:03am Sep 6, 2022 3:03am
FX option expiries for Sept 6 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9900 792m
  2. 0.9925 415m
  3. 0.9995 1b
  4. 1.0040 604m
  5. 1.0100 658m

  • #103,699
  • Sep 6, 2022 3:07am Sep 6, 2022 3:07am
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  • #103,700
  • Sep 6, 2022 3:40am Sep 6, 2022 3:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Seeing a pool at .9928.x.. So .9924 may support some. Leg low .9922
another at .9935/36. Some light support .9932... The eu likes 100 pips. Last week 1.0032 was in the game.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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