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The Swamp

  • #103,601
  • Aug 29, 2022 6:52am Aug 29, 2022 6:52am
Looking to short 1.0029/32. First partial tp 9898 area. Eventual near 9780. Second choice 1.0058 area. The same tp and partial. 1.0059 was my first choice last week. Month end rebalance, one never knows.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,602
  • Aug 29, 2022 7:59am Aug 29, 2022 7:59am
Quoting gatorinla
Looking to short 1.0029/32. First partial tp 9898 area. Eventual near 9780. Second choice 1.0058 area. The same tp and partial. 1.0059 was my first choice last week. Month end rebalance, one never knows.
Remember month end rebalancing bro. It might get to .0160
  • #103,603
  • Aug 29, 2022 8:50am Aug 29, 2022 8:50am
Quoting michiyo
{quote} Remember month end rebalancing bro. It might get to .0160
Quoting gatorinla
Looking to short 1.0029/32. First partial tp 9898 area. Eventual near 9780. Second choice 1.0058 area. The same tp and partial. 1.0059 was my first choice last week. Month end rebalance, one never knows.
.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,604
  • Aug 29, 2022 9:44am Aug 29, 2022 9:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Same number but price didnt close the week above. PA is on the Southside. With some urge to make 1.0032 this week. Pa is bearish. If, when, or how it makes it to 1.0032 or 1.0159 is not the traders concern. You dont need to know how to read a map, to use your cell's GPS. The 50% retrace to .9995is very normal. Closing above can be bullish. A little stronger at 1.002 + closing. The opposite of bullish is closing below. Just know generically, near 1.0032 is better than 50/50 most times. Its bearish, in a chop/range zone....
pa retraced back to 9995. it held support once. ADR has played out today. It may still hit 0032, or run higher. PA is in the middle of key levels. Closes above 9995 may indicate a little higher. Closing below 0095 leans bearish.

High atm 1.0029, that's a near hit to me.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,605
  • Aug 29, 2022 9:27pm Aug 29, 2022 9:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pa retraced back to 9995. it held support once. ADR has played out today. It may still hit 0032, or run higher. PA is in the middle of key levels. Closes above 9995 may indicate a little higher. Closing below 0095 leans bearish. High atm 1.0029, that's a near hit to me. {image}
It closed below .9995. I usually say .9972 or .9963 is a place it may bounce. In this case .9956 area is probably, more like it. The trend is down, it closed below .9995. So bouncing is not a sure deal. It did miss 1.0032. 1.0032 was where I thought it may slap it down. Its a pool, pa loves pools. Today closed above Friday. I give shorts the edge. 1.0032 is usually better than 50/50. So was last weeks missed 1.0159.

.9950.x to today's low has bounce potential.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,606
  • Aug 29, 2022 9:43pm Aug 29, 2022 9:43pm
Tomorow 10 am expiry EUR/USD at 0.9900-05 tomorrow worth a whopping €3.3 billion

https://www.forexlive.com/Orders/fx-...-cut-20220829/
  • #103,607
  • Aug 30, 2022 3:21am Aug 30, 2022 3:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It closed below .9995. I usually say .9972 or .9963 is a place it may bounce. In this case .9956 area is probably, more like it. The trend is down, it closed below .9995. So bouncing is not a sure deal. It did miss 1.0032. 1.0032 was where I thought it may slap it down. Its a pool, pa loves pools. Today closed above Friday. I give shorts the edge. 1.0032 is usually better than 50/50. So was last weeks missed 1.0159. .9950.x to today's low has bounce potential.
the allusive .9932 achieved. Lets see if it can drop to .9900/50
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,608
  • Aug 30, 2022 3:36am Aug 30, 2022 3:36am
Quoting euroboy2208
Tomorow 10 am expiry EUR/USD at 0.9900-05 tomorrow worth a whopping €3.3 billion https://www.forexlive.com/Orders/fx-...-cut-20220829/
5.5 hrs is a long time from now. Lets see if 3.3 billion means anything. Bulls are holding better than I thought they would.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,609
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:12am Aug 30, 2022 5:12am
Eur H4 reversed to uptrend.. Eur may go higher .day range high 1.0081
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  • #103,610
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:16am Aug 30, 2022 5:16am
FX option expiries for August 30 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9900-05 3.34b
  2. 0.9950-55 656m
  3. 0.9970-75 314m
  4. 0.9985 250m
  5. 0.9995-00 515m
  6. 1.0020-25 549m
  7. 1.0075 344m

  • #103,611
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:37am Aug 30, 2022 5:37am
Quoting Boulder
Eur H4 reversed to uptrend.. Eur may go higher .day range high 1.0081 {image}
Those options and it reaching 1.0032 makes me think drop. No drop yet. The pull to 1.0159 is always on the mind. The day closed below .9995, the 12h closed above. This is why I rather wait till its out the middle.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,612
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:43am Aug 30, 2022 5:43am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 30 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9900-05 3.34b 0.9950-55 656m 0.9970-75 314m 0.9985 250m 0.9995-00 515m 1.0020-25 549m 1.0075 344m
a little pool drains at 9950
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} .9950.x to today's low has bounce potential.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,613
  • Aug 30, 2022 6:05am Aug 30, 2022 6:05am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 30 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9900-05 3.34b 0.9950-55 656m 0.9970-75 314m 0.9985 250m 0.9995-00 515m 1.0020-25 549m 1.0075 344m
If those options achieve the retrace. I have 2 pools below .9950. 3 billion seems like a lot. 3 hs to go,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,614
  • Aug 30, 2022 7:18am Aug 30, 2022 7:18am
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  • #103,615
  • Aug 30, 2022 8:16am Aug 30, 2022 8:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If those options achieve the retrace. I have 2 pools below .9950. 3 billion seems like a lot. 3 hs to go, {image}
45 min and it dont seem to be a priority.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,616
  • Aug 30, 2022 8:36am Aug 30, 2022 8:36am
An option trap.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,617
  • Aug 30, 2022 9:15am Aug 30, 2022 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If those options achieve the retrace. I have 2 pools below .9950. 3 billion seems like a lot. 3 hs to go, {image}
hard to trade this morning.. changed directions several times.. sideline now..,, I am going to wait for better pricing..
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  • #103,618
  • Aug 30, 2022 9:46am Aug 30, 2022 9:46am
H1 at 0.9983.. H4 at 0.9921. day range low at 0.9955 area.. markets are selling off cross board ,, DwJ, SP and NAS
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  • #103,619
  • Aug 30, 2022 2:55pm Aug 30, 2022 2:55pm
Quoting Boulder
H1 at 0.9983.. H4 at 0.9921. day range low at 0.9955 area.. markets are selling off cross board ,, DwJ, SP and NAS {image}
when it broke that structure. T1 was .9962. It came close. It hit .9932. So I have to let it play out. 1.0159 or .9780
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,620
  • Aug 30, 2022 2:56pm Aug 30, 2022 2:56pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} hard to trade this morning.. changed directions several times.. sideline now..,, I am going to wait for better pricing.. {image}
That makes it tough to sleep on my belly.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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