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The Swamp

  • #103,561
  • Edited 4:33am Aug 26, 2022 4:22am | Edited 4:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bulls need reverse H4 to have bullish trend... {image}
I had hoped it hit 1.015x before day's end. I may have to wait.

If/when it does. The others will be 1.0627, and .9780. With the trend down. .9780 has the odds to be next. Between .9780, and 1.0627 is 1.020x. If it would blow past 1.0159ish.. 1.020x area may be R. I will treat 1.020x like, I treat .9969 today. If it would go there.
Places like 1.0159 chances of being hit is about 50/80% per cycle. That would be before close today.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,562
  • Aug 26, 2022 4:39am Aug 26, 2022 4:39am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bulls need reverse H4 to have bullish trend... {image}
I know your scalping.. If pa gets near 1.0145. You may want to close it. It may drop hard there. After it may continue to 1.0159. It may drop harder after 1.0159 area..

Anyway, your 4h is in the way atm..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,563
  • Aug 26, 2022 4:47am Aug 26, 2022 4:47am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bulls need reverse H4 to have bullish trend... {image}
testing H4 atm... 3 hours to go .. let see bears can hold..
  • #103,564
  • Aug 26, 2022 4:57am Aug 26, 2022 4:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H4 atm... 3 hours to go .. let see bears can hold..
Second test,, lets see if if can get past the friction.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,565
  • Aug 26, 2022 5:17am Aug 26, 2022 5:17am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H4 atm... 3 hours to go .. let see bears can hold..
Inserted Video
Need to have a good Red Rock evening.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,566
  • Edited 7:05am Aug 26, 2022 6:55am | Edited 7:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-DpvF8BHwk Need to have a good Red Rock evening.
I will watch three levels in US session S2 0.9929, S3 0.9890 and R3 1.0060.. , I didn't trade well this morning. Hope I can make up later.
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  • #103,567
  • Aug 26, 2022 7:34am Aug 26, 2022 7:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H4 atm... 3 hours to go .. let see bears can hold..
30 mins to go for H4 close.. I don't think bears can hold... in case not.. better look for long opportunities..
  • #103,568
  • Aug 26, 2022 7:40am Aug 26, 2022 7:40am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 26 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9850 536m 1.0000-10 2.0b 1.0050-55 1.08b 1.0150 1.75b
day range high today 1.00455.. close to another optionex level.. it may break higher with Powell if he is dovish ..
  • #103,569
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:01am Aug 26, 2022 8:01am
Hi boulder

may i please request data Points for GBP & Gold

Much appreciated

Best regards

PB
We cannot direct the winds but we can adjust our sail.
  • #103,570
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:03am Aug 26, 2022 8:03am
Eur H4 reversed to uptrend.. ...
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  • #103,571
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:05am Aug 26, 2022 8:05am
Quoting posterboy
Hi boulder may i please request data Points for GBP & Gold Much appreciated Best regards PB
GBP is on its way up if Powell not messes this
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  • #103,572
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:07am Aug 26, 2022 8:07am
Quoting posterboy
Hi boulder may i please request data Points for GBP & Gold Much appreciated Best regards PB
Gold.. watch H1 and H4 trend stops..
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  • #103,573
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:11am Aug 26, 2022 8:11am
SP on its way up..
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  • #103,574
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:13am Aug 26, 2022 8:13am
need a 1h close above 1.0044/45 to run to 1.0098.. yada yada then a close above 1.0099, to run to 1.0150.. Possible reversal in the 1.0145 area, then a retry of 1.0158.. Once this happens if may fully reverse to .9780... But it also could hit the unlikely 1.0635... middle ways to it at 1.0203. My plan here unless something changes.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,575
  • Aug 26, 2022 8:39am Aug 26, 2022 8:39am
1.0040 may supply a new entry.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,576
  • Aug 26, 2022 9:15am Aug 26, 2022 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{image}
not disappointing.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,577
  • Aug 26, 2022 9:17am Aug 26, 2022 9:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not disappointing. {image}
she is shrinking.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,578
  • Aug 26, 2022 10:31am Aug 26, 2022 10:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not disappointing. {image}
unreal drop..... I seldom make money on Powell's speech... to trade the system, I bought some longs cheap as long as the low holds ...
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  • #103,579
  • Aug 26, 2022 10:40am Aug 26, 2022 10:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} unreal drop..... I seldom make money on Powell's speech... to trade the system, I bought some longs cheap as long as the low holds ... {image}
Buy on discount or trap?? .. with month end rebalancing coming up next week.... I don't know.....no matter what, I kind want to buy low this time..
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  • #103,580
  • Aug 26, 2022 1:02pm Aug 26, 2022 1:02pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} unreal drop..... I seldom make money on Powell's speech... to trade the system, I bought some longs cheap as long as the low holds ... {image}
Yeah, you can make money. Or you can be shirtless. I want to wait for 1.0158 to short. I knew it had to cross that minefield. To get there.

Next week I will add 1.003x.

St support may show a reaction at 9932/40/ nothing trustworthy. It did miss .9898 by 2 pips. I was waiting for it to long earlier in the week. It missed, so I waited for 1.0158/59. It missed too. Since .9898 missed, it may still have its rejection power. Allow some overrun. If it reaches .9898 or somewhere lower, but close. Then goes to 1.0158/59. It would be complete one. Actually 2 completions. If it turns sometimes after 1059 back to 0978.. That would be 3. I could add the one from 036x a few weeks ago. That would be 4. Before 0159 another may develop at 003x.

Yesterday when price close above .9972. I thought it had a much better shot at 1.0159 today. That has not evolved.
I could ditto that same spot today on the week close. The thing is now I need to include some closes above .9995. A close above .9969 may be enough. To get to 1.003x. It may drop after to .9995. After it needs to close above .9995. If it does it may have a shot at 1.0159 again. This wont be valid atm. The week needs to close first.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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