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The Swamp

  • #103,541
  • Aug 25, 2022 8:19am Aug 25, 2022 8:19am
28 hours till the week closes, and my entry is 200 pips away. That's a 9 pip average rise, per hour. I may be screwed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,542
  • Aug 25, 2022 8:24am Aug 25, 2022 8:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} But price was below .9972.. If it starts some lower tf closes above .9972 it may run.. Maybe the same on a drop with smaller closes below .9968. Since its bearish, and the news bearish. This hesitation seems to favor bulls.
In the spirit of my girlfriends words on conception night. Bears, "is this all you got?"
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,543
  • Aug 25, 2022 8:55am Aug 25, 2022 8:55am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9950-55 1.24b 1.0000-10 2.7b 1.0020 280m 1.0090-00 1.05b 1.0145-55 970m
It gave a nice 13 pip bounce from .9955.
  • #103,544
  • Aug 25, 2022 9:27am Aug 25, 2022 9:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} But price was below .9972.. If it starts some lower tf closes above .9972 it may run.. Maybe the same on a drop with smaller closes below .9968. Since its bearish, and the news bearish. This hesitation seems to favor bulls.
Bears cant get any friction. In a bearish trend, with favorable news. Bulls waiting for the Viagra to kick in. Month end balancing, and 1.0158 waiting with open legs.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,545
  • Aug 25, 2022 9:29am Aug 25, 2022 9:29am
Quoting unlv_tj
{quote} It gave a nice 13 pip bounce from .9955.
Happy for you...
I did a few long scalps too... woke up late and missed early short scalp
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  • #103,546
  • Aug 25, 2022 9:35am Aug 25, 2022 9:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bears cant get any friction. In a bearish trend, with favorable news. Bulls waiting for the Viagra to kick in. Month end balancing, and 1.0158 waiting with open legs.
omg... something is wrong with you...

With 4 days left in trading this month, tomorrow Fed Chair speaks, + month end rebalancing ..may think twice to short this market...I am mostly trading longs..
  • #103,547
  • Aug 25, 2022 9:38am Aug 25, 2022 9:38am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,548
  • Aug 25, 2022 9:40am Aug 25, 2022 9:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} omg... something is wrong with you... With 4 days left in trading this month, tomorrow Fed Chair speaks, + month end rebalancing ..may think twice to short this market...I am mostly trading longs..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,549
  • Aug 25, 2022 10:02am Aug 25, 2022 10:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} omg... something is wrong with you... With 4 days left in trading this month, tomorrow Fed Chair speaks, + month end rebalancing ..may think twice to short this market...I am mostly trading longs..
9978?^
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,550
  • Aug 25, 2022 10:14am Aug 25, 2022 10:14am
nothing but pure chop here in the middle.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,551
  • Aug 25, 2022 5:11pm Aug 25, 2022 5:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
All is bearish, so this means nothing until. If pa closed today above .9973, that may be a bull sign.. You also need pa to not close below 9959. Bears may be back if it does. You want a smooth ride higher. If your scalping closing an h above .9959 and 9974 may be bullish enough to scalp..
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Change to .9973 now.
Quoting gatorinla
All is bearish, so this means nothing until. If pa closed today above .9973, that may be a bull sign.. You also need pa to not close below 9959. Bears may be back if it does. You want a smooth ride higher. If your scalping closing an h above .9959 and 9974 may be bullish enough to scalp..
Day closed above .9973
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,552
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:32am Aug 26, 2022 2:32am
https://business.nab.com.au/markets-...tonight-55524/
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,553
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:48am Aug 26, 2022 2:48am
Quoting gatorinla
https://business.nab.com.au/markets-...tonight-55524/ {image}
Powell is a bastard ..even when all fed members are hawkish ..powell in his press conference is always dovish to please equity markets.. so many times he is done this..
  • #103,554
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:49am Aug 26, 2022 2:49am
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} Powell is a bastard ..even when all fed members are hawkish ..powell in his press conference is always dovish to please equity markets.. so many times he is done this..
If you believe so, start building USD shorts and/or buy Gold.
  • #103,555
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:56am Aug 26, 2022 2:56am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,556
  • Aug 26, 2022 3:06am Aug 26, 2022 3:06am
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} Powell is a bastard ..even when all fed members are hawkish ..powell in his press conference is always dovish to please equity markets.. so many times he is done this..
Its August.. Your chart is to small. PA is just 79 pips from .9900
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,557
  • Aug 26, 2022 3:37am Aug 26, 2022 3:37am
No matter what any indicator says. The next one of 2 places pa will go is 1.0158/59 ish, or .9780. Between the 2 is .9969.6. Yesterday pa closed above .9969.6. This has been a chop area this week. At some point .9969.6 will act as a support, or a resistance. It will go to 1.0158, or .9780 after. The 12h will close next h.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,558
  • Aug 26, 2022 3:49am Aug 26, 2022 3:49am
FX option expiries for August 26 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 0.9850 536m
  2. 1.0000-10 2.0b
  3. 1.0050-55 1.08b
  4. 1.0150 1.75b

  • #103,559
  • Aug 26, 2022 4:01am Aug 26, 2022 4:01am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 26 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 0.9850 536m 1.0000-10 2.0b 1.0050-55 1.08b 1.0150 1.75b
its in the neutral area .9969.. Yesterday it closed above. So it may be choosing to change direction. I dont have to trade. I can wait for an edge. Since the day, and now the 12h closed above .9969. It may have chosen to lean bullish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,560
  • Aug 26, 2022 4:13am Aug 26, 2022 4:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its in the neutral area .9969.. Yesterday it closed above. So it may be choosing to change direction. I dont have to trade. I can wait for an edge. Since the day, and now the 12h closed above .9969. It may have chosen to lean bullish. {image}
Bulls need reverse H4 to have bullish trend...
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