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The Swamp

  • #103,501
  • Aug 23, 2022 7:02pm Aug 23, 2022 7:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} price closed above .9959. Odds improved for 1.0158 before Friday close. That other chart shows where it may push down. It may miss 1.0158 a little but it should be close. It may get kicked in the nuts around 1.0146, before coming back to 1.0158 area. That could create a double looking top. I dont think it will go much higher, I will aim for a 0.9780 short, after 1.0158ish. But it has to act like it wants to drop. Price is not guaranteed to go to 1.0158 area. That's almost 200 pips away. The anticipated drop after is the better trade. (380ish)...
If I'm wrong to bet on 1.0158x. This is where I could be. PA didnt close the day above .9969. I need pa closing above.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,502
  • Aug 24, 2022 3:43am Aug 24, 2022 3:43am
USDX missed the top by 0.024. I don't think that this non-stop usd buying frenzy is going to just stop, let alone turn around that close to eating some sellside liquidity.
  • #103,503
  • Aug 24, 2022 6:30am Aug 24, 2022 6:30am
Eur so bearish.. I am waiting for price at extreme...day range high 1.0018 day range low 0.9871.. pending some longs and shorts close to those area.
next level to print.. either RU R1 1.0007 or RU S2 0.9903
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  • #103,504
  • Aug 24, 2022 7:01am Aug 24, 2022 7:01am
Quoting Boulder
Eur so bearish.. I am waiting for price at extreme...day range high 1.0018 day range low 0.9871.. pending some longs and shorts close to those area. next level to print.. either RU R1 1.0007 or RU S2 0.9903 {image}
10 trading days ago, Eur was at 1.0364 high.. since then it had dropped 464pips as of yesterday ,
Monthly average range is 348 pips. we have already well passed the month range...if today range low reaches. it will be 500 pips run.
  • #103,505
  • Aug 24, 2022 7:10am Aug 24, 2022 7:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If I'm wrong to bet on 1.0158x. This is where I could be. PA didnt close the day above .9969. I need pa closing above. {image}
09898 was missed a little last time. PA is not bullish. It wont be at these points, until/unless large players tp shorts. Those tp's act as longs in the short term. The black boxes weigh on the change in momentum. If enough, those closes spark a bounce. Price is likely going to .9780. That's my larger target. Before reaching .9780 sits .9898 still. It bounced very close to it last time. But it never hit it. So the algo is still there.

.9898 is on one chart. The other shows the levels to .9780. One of those levels is 9908. Price touching .9898, then pulling back above 9908/10. With some momentum, may be like. Touching a hot stove. If price does not react, it may be able to reach .9780. The last time near 9898, price reacted. It can retry to take .9898 now, or bounce.


Scalp wise .9944/60 may push price down shorty
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,506
  • Aug 24, 2022 7:32am Aug 24, 2022 7:32am
Since pa hasn't absorbed .9898. This week still has a shot to take 1.0158/59. That is the better short for me to wait for. Of course, it may not come this week. Oh darn, I didnt make money. I didnt lose it either.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,507
  • Aug 24, 2022 9:39am Aug 24, 2022 9:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 09898 was missed a little last time. PA is not bullish. It wont be at these points, until/unless large players tp shorts. Those tp's act as longs in the short term. The black boxes weigh on the change in momentum. If enough, those closes spark a bounce. Price is likely going to .9780. That's my larger target. Before reaching .9780 sits .9898 still. It bounced very close to it last time. But it never hit it. So the algo is still there. .9898 is on one chart. The other shows the levels to .9780. One of those levels is 9908. ..
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Price touching .9898, then pulling back above 9908/10. With some momentum, may be like. Touching a hot stove. If price does not react, it may be able to reach .9780. The last time near 9898, price reacted. It can retry to take .9898 now, or bounce. Scalp wise .9944/60 may push price down shorty {image} {image}
chop chop. decent bounce.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,508
  • Aug 24, 2022 9:45am Aug 24, 2022 9:45am
All is bearish, so this means nothing until. If pa closed today above .9975, that may be a bull sign.. You also need pa to not close below 9959. Bears may be back if it does. You want a smooth ride higher. If your scalping closing an h above .9959 and 9974 may be bullish enough to scalp..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,509
  • Aug 24, 2022 10:04am Aug 24, 2022 10:04am
Yesterday and today same time dollar selling hard ..look at euro 60 pips spike in minutes ..is it central bank fed selling dollars ..there has been no news
  • #103,510
  • Aug 24, 2022 10:29am Aug 24, 2022 10:29am
Quoting gatorinla
All is bearish, so this means nothing until. If pa closed today above .9975, that may be a bull sign.. You also need pa to not close below 9959. Bears may be back if it does. You want a smooth ride higher. If your scalping closing an h above .9959 and 9974 may be bullish enough to scalp..
You want it to close above 9959 after.. possible long with a small stop may be at 9955/54.. Longs are against the trend. A quick bounce closing above 9974/75 best.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,511
  • Aug 24, 2022 10:46am Aug 24, 2022 10:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You want it to close above 9959 after.. possible long with a small stop may be at 9955/54.. Longs are against the trend. A quick bounce closing above 9974/75 best. {image}
bulls only hope - euro didn't make new low today..
  • #103,512
  • Aug 24, 2022 11:09am Aug 24, 2022 11:09am
H4 downtrend stop... about 100 pips away from here atm..
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  • #103,513
  • Aug 24, 2022 11:09am Aug 24, 2022 11:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} bulls only hope - euro didn't make new low today..
Not yet anyway. I go with bears lean. I still target 0.8xx. If it runs to 1.0145/58.. That may be the last run above 1.0. I think it will run there, I dont know if it will before, or after .9780 or .9898
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,514
  • Aug 24, 2022 11:16am Aug 24, 2022 11:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You want it to close above 9959 after.. possible long with a small stop may be at 9955/54.. Longs are against the trend. A quick bounce closing above 9974/75 best. {image}
missed the first try.. .9959 cockblock. 1 min.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,515
  • Aug 24, 2022 1:02pm Aug 24, 2022 1:02pm
Borrow a chart from https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundam...D-USD-JPY.html
.let see dollar hit the temp top..
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  • #103,516
  • Aug 24, 2022 1:50pm Aug 24, 2022 1:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
All is bearish, so this means nothing until. If pa closed today above .9975, that may be a bull sign.. You also need pa to not close below 9959. Bears may be back if it does. You want a smooth ride higher. If your scalping closing an h above .9959 and 9974 may be bullish enough to scalp..
Change to .9973 now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,517
  • Aug 24, 2022 1:57pm Aug 24, 2022 1:57pm
Quoting Boulder
Borrow a chart from https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundam...D-USD-JPY.html .let see dollar hit the temp top.. {image}
somebody making less than 125K. Can get 10k knocked off student loan debt.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,518
  • Aug 24, 2022 3:29pm Aug 24, 2022 3:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} somebody making less than 125K. Can get 10k knocked off student loan debt.
Nice
  • #103,519
  • Aug 24, 2022 3:45pm Aug 24, 2022 3:45pm
Quoting Boulder
Borrow a chart from https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundam...D-USD-JPY.html .let see dollar hit the temp top.. {image}
I may miss the train.. I still rather sell 1.015x area.. Buy .9780 area. ATM pa is between where I want. Between is just an occasional scalp. It can rise to 1.015x. But that trade has to be small enough. For the risk of breaking below 9898. It can break down to 9780 still. Its going to .9898 and maybe .9780, or 1.0158. Longing here w/o a close above .9973 is dangerous. And if it does close above .9973. You have to close it, if it breaks .9959.. Its not bullish.. It just completed .9935, and stalled above .9898. That's not necessary bullish. Its in this chop zone
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,520
  • Aug 24, 2022 4:22pm Aug 24, 2022 4:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may miss the train.. I still rather sell 1.015x area.. Buy .9780 area. ATM pa is between where I want. Between is just an occasional scalp. It can rise to 1.015x. But that trade has to be small enough. For the risk of breaking below 9898. It can break down to 9780 still. Its going to .9898 and maybe .9780, or 1.0158. Longing here w/o a close above .9973 is dangerous. And if it does close above .9973. You have to close it, if it breaks .9959.. Its not bullish.. It just completed .9935, and stalled above .9898. That's not necessary bullish....
There is still a little piece of .9898 left.
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