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The Swamp

  • #103,481
  • Aug 23, 2022 6:26am Aug 23, 2022 6:26am
Eur datapoints atm.. overextended bearish trend... I am waiting next price level to hit .. either 0.9974 or 0.9875...
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  • #103,482
  • Aug 23, 2022 8:20am Aug 23, 2022 8:20am
Had to get out of shorting Pound and Euro vs Yen. USD/JPY going really well for now. I entered long both Euro and Pound vs Yen at the right moment fortunely, so anything I lost I am returning already, especially due to USD going strong vs Yen.
  • #103,483
  • Aug 23, 2022 8:53am Aug 23, 2022 8:53am
Quoting gatorinla
looking to short somewhere higher. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,484
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:03am Aug 23, 2022 9:03am
Quoting Boulder
Eur datapoints atm.. overextended bearish trend... I am waiting next price level to hit .. either 0.9974 or 0.9875... {image}
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  • #103,485
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:08am Aug 23, 2022 9:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may be wrong. PA missed .9898 slightly. I think pa has about a 25% chance on making it to 1.0158/59 this week. possible long scalp entry .9906/08 {image} {image}
Chances rising some.
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  • #103,486
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:15am Aug 23, 2022 9:15am
almost 1/2 way there.
ADR spent.. Retrace some.. I will post something in a sec


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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,487
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:18am Aug 23, 2022 9:18am
retrace may be 0033 0040/46 ???
For that target these are buys. But the retrace may not go deeper than 9960.
I rather buy at the place it looks dire. That was near 9935 or near .9898. That ship has sailed. So now even at 9960 the risk to reward starts to suck.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,488
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:32am Aug 23, 2022 9:32am
The ship sailed. A possible entry may come. No guarantees.
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  • #103,489
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:36am Aug 23, 2022 9:36am
.9967.1 another ..
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  • #103,490
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:40am Aug 23, 2022 9:40am
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  • #103,491
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:56am Aug 23, 2022 9:56am
Someone asked. The AUD short was a wrap, to me.. Its likely going to .6991 ish. A possible short there. .7040 second choice. tp 6886? subject to change if it goes here before 6991.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,492
  • Aug 23, 2022 9:58am Aug 23, 2022 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{image}
It's not over yet but the daily pivot and a mofu at 9971 might have cockblocked your 9967.
  • #103,493
  • Edited 10:14am Aug 23, 2022 10:02am | Edited 10:14am
Quoting gatorinla
.9967.1 another .. {image}
my bad.. she missed. I thought she need 9967 to bounce.
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  • #103,494
  • Aug 23, 2022 10:12am Aug 23, 2022 10:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} my bad.. she missed. I thought she need 9967 to bounce. {image}
this is why...
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  • #103,495
  • Aug 23, 2022 10:23am Aug 23, 2022 10:23am
tp and look to short in that 0158 area. The day is 0146 area. . Another day off memory at 0275 with R at 0283.
There is always another waiting behind another.

With the trend being down. I may get lucky in the 0158 area short. With a tp near .9780. To tp and look for a new buy .9780. New buy target unknown atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,496
  • Aug 23, 2022 10:28am Aug 23, 2022 10:28am
shorts average was 285 earlier. Chum in the water.
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  • #103,497
  • Aug 23, 2022 12:57pm Aug 23, 2022 12:57pm
some prices are dropping. Airfares expected to drop 50% after labor day. This shouldn't hurt getting to 1.0158 area . https://www.today.com/video/falling-...d-146793029993
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  • #103,498
  • Aug 23, 2022 1:22pm Aug 23, 2022 1:22pm
getting a little on the .9959.x touch, + spread.
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  • #103,499
  • Aug 23, 2022 3:12pm Aug 23, 2022 3:12pm
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  • #103,500
  • Aug 23, 2022 6:44pm Aug 23, 2022 6:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
getting a little on the .9959.x touch, + spread.
price closed above .9959. Odds improved for 1.0158 before Friday close. That other chart shows where it may push down. It may miss 1.0158 a little but it should be close. It may get kicked in the nuts around 1.0146, before coming back to 1.0158 area. That could create a double looking top. I dont think it will go much higher, I will aim for a 0.9780 short, after 1.0158ish. But it has to act like it wants to drop.

Price is not guaranteed to go to 1.0158 area. That's almost 200 pips away. The anticipated drop after is the better trade. (380ish)
Those levels on the other chart can turn it earlier. That would reduce the run size.
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