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DAX Futures September 2022

  • #781
  • Aug 5, 2022 7:59am Aug 5, 2022 7:59am
550/570 a decent 1st support zone, current prices, imho
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #782
  • Aug 5, 2022 8:15am Aug 5, 2022 8:15am
Quoting Brixen
550/570 a decent 1st support zone, current prices, imho
but not below......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #783
  • Aug 5, 2022 9:06am Aug 5, 2022 9:06am
Quoting Driver55
{quote} Everyone expects a collapse of the markets, but if no exogenous facts are involved (Taiwan , Ukraine, etc), I look at the DOW. Until the DOW definitively loses 32476 ( CFD on daily open ) , we will always see attempts to raise, even only to stop all the bears.
...And so on...
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #784
  • Aug 5, 2022 9:59am Aug 5, 2022 9:59am
Quoting Driver55
{quote} ...And so on...
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #785
  • Edited 10:39am Aug 5, 2022 10:04am | Edited 10:39am
Done my week:
mon +106
tue +41
wed +130
yd +93
today: holiday
TOTAL :+280 pips FDXM

I will not trade and post until I back home after mid August, lets say 17/19 August.
Good luck to all friends here. If someone will post here, no problem for me, as always, I will appreciate.
Good AUGUST to everybody!!!
Inserted Video
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #786
  • Aug 5, 2022 10:05am Aug 5, 2022 10:05am
Quoting Brixen
Done my week: mon +106 tue +41 wed +130 yd +93 today: holiday TOTAL :+280 pips FDXM I will not trade and post until I back home after mid August, lets say 17/19 August. Good luck to all friends here. If someone will post here, no problem for me, as always, I will appreciate. Good AUGUST to everybody!!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xiEF_z43Ung
Thanks Brixen , have a great time off
  • #787
  • Aug 8, 2022 2:41am Aug 8, 2022 2:41am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Hi, Meo...good to see you here again, it was long time ago, anyway thanks to post here again. You are one of the furthest away friend here, and you are welcome for your professional posts and words. Yes, theres a gap 589 zone for DAX CASH INDEX, lets say 580 for DAX Futures....but you know gap can be closed in days, weeks, or even years..who knows.
I'm glad to find you still doing good in your trading. I was away with crypto last year,done well, but this year is not so good, so trying to trade NQ right now and have one eye on what Dax is doing..
  • #788
  • Aug 9, 2022 2:14am Aug 9, 2022 2:14am
Good morning. Was trading the opening. Had a small position from about 30 minutes ago and increased it on the first impulse in the anticipated direction.
I'm expecting higher prices through the rest of the week, but I trade only the 1st one or two hours.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAX 09.08.2022, Trading FF-Open.png Size: 47 KB
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #789
  • Edited 6:31am Aug 9, 2022 6:19am | Edited 6:31am
We have in both DAX and S&P500 nice low volume nodes (aka single prints) which I expect to be traded until US opens. I have a small DAX position with an average entry price of '586 and looking for '630.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAX Low volume node.png Size: 41 KB

ps: ES (that's the futures symbol of S&P) looks explosive to me to the upside. Expecting a break of 4190 until the end of the week. That's the June High, and July ended with a monthly inside bar. A classical swing trade pattern. No idea what the final outcome will be but a break of the June outside bar looks like a safe bet to me.
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #790
  • Aug 9, 2022 7:37am Aug 9, 2022 7:37am
Quoting emmzett
We have in both DAX and S&P500 nice low volume nodes (aka single prints) which I expect to be traded until US opens. I have a small DAX position with an average entry price of '586 and looking for '630. {image} ps: ES (that's the futures symbol of S&P) looks explosive to me to the upside. Expecting a break of 4190 until the end of the week. That's the June High, and July ended with a monthly inside bar. A classical swing trade pattern. No idea what the final outcome will be but a break of the June outside bar looks like a safe bet to me.
Wasn't happy with my average entry price and the swing down. So I used the down swing as an opportunity to lower my entry price to '559, still with the same 3 lot. This is trading, it's illusionary to think one can catch a bottom. The only think we can and must do is to control our risk.

Again we had a single print at about '548. I waited for the ZigZag reversal and used it as my profit target.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAX averaging down.png Size: 22 KB
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #791
  • Aug 9, 2022 8:11am Aug 9, 2022 8:11am
Overnight VPOC is at 4145.30 in this chart. There's a 86% probability this price to be traded again during the RTH (regular session). So it's above the former mentioned low volume node. All good.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SP500 overnight VPOC.png Size: 19 KB
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #792
  • Aug 9, 2022 8:26am Aug 9, 2022 8:26am
Quoting emmzett
Overnight VPOC is at 4145.30 in this chart. There's a 86% probability this price to be traded again during the RTH (regular session). So it's above the former mentioned low volume node. All good. {image}
Interesting as always! Thanks!

May I ask where did you get these 86%? Did you mean 86% chance this price to be traded today or that in 86% they trade again overnight VPOC during the RTH in general (sooner or later)?
  • #793
  • Aug 9, 2022 8:34am Aug 9, 2022 8:34am
Quoting Bibosek
{quote} Interesting as always! Thanks! May I ask where did you get these 86%? Did you mean 86% chance this price to be traded today or that in 86% they trade again overnight VPOC during the RTH in general (sooner or later)?
86% probability to be traded in the following RTH session, so today. Chicago just openend and I'm busy now. Will reply later.
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #794
  • Edited 2:52pm Aug 9, 2022 2:41pm | Edited 2:52pm
Quoting emmzett
{quote} 86% probability to be traded in the following RTH session, so today. Chicago just openend and I'm busy now. Will reply later.
Today it didn't play out as expected. I'm still confident that my projections will be hit until the end of the week but the afternoon/evening did cost me a lot of energy/attention with little gained. We will have to wait for the next big move to happen in Amerika. I'm not the only one watching those levels and the market makers can easily see what most traders think. So if everyone expects prices to go up they push prices down. Markets follow the principle of maximum pain, prices will go where they cause most pain to most of the traders.

I guess the move higher will happen when nobody expects it. That's in the night when nobody is watching.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2022.08.09 S&P500.png Size: 20 KB


Anyway, I want to share the equity curve of today's trading. On my server I run a recorder which records my trading in realtime, and it shows an interesting point I want to make regarding my comment in the morning. From experience I learned that I'm much better in predicting the first 1-2 hours of Frankfurt or Chicago then the remainder of the session, and today's equity curve just shows that.

I should have sticked to my rules and gone to the beach after my first 2 FF trades. Same is true for the US session. In the first 2 hours I gained about 7-8% in each session, everything after was a lot of micromanagement and back and forth filling but it gained little. It's better to stick to the rules.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2022.08.09 Equity.png Size: 13 KB
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #795
  • Aug 10, 2022 7:43am Aug 10, 2022 7:43am
Quoting emmzett
...ES looks explosive to me to the upside. Expecting a break of 4190 until the end of the week. That's the June High, and July ended with a monthly inside bar. A classical swing trade pattern. No idea what the final outcome will be but a break of the June outside bar looks like a safe bet to me.
Is this a joke? No. This is what the principle of maximum pain looks like in action:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Maximum pain factor.png Size: 40 KB
It takes blood, sweat and enough tears to wash away the blood.
  • #796
  • Aug 19, 2022 7:27am Aug 19, 2022 7:27am
Truly awkward - I dont post in this thread but I follow it for years and suddenly I´m like "where is he, it is august the 19-th?".

So @ Brixen - tnx for being here and posting for so many years, I´m sure I´m not the only one waiting for you to return. Hope you had a nice holiday and we´d like to hear about it and see some photos of it if you are willing to share.
Markets will move to the right.
  • #797
  • Aug 20, 2022 1:49am Aug 20, 2022 1:49am
In italy is "ferragosto", i think it is the first 3 weeks in august, where they enjoy the summer, its also the time when temperatures are

I´m pretty sure that Brixen does enjoy this time, or he works on his castle

He is a truly rare gem at FF!

Enjoy the summer guys
  • #798
  • Aug 22, 2022 12:17am Aug 22, 2022 12:17am
13485 zone right now I'm loading many long positions, until 450/430 zone for now.
13525 1st target for now, waiiting real games to start 9CET.

US SP500 will probably hit 4200 zone and below to catch stops, current 4208......we'll see

Jackson Hole next friday afternoon is the potential crucial event for this week, as always happened on last August.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #799
  • Aug 22, 2022 12:27am Aug 22, 2022 12:27am
Quoting emmzett
{quote} Is this a joke? No. This is what the principle of maximum pain looks like in action: {image}
Emmzett thanks for posting here, after all these years you have a massive knowledge of the financial markets......maybe you should be hired by some of your Swiss Big Banks or maybe you have already worked there....

By the way I saw and I see a Swiss invasion all around here this summer, 1 car on 2 is a Swiss car on the autobahn here!!!!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #800
  • Aug 22, 2022 12:28am Aug 22, 2022 12:28am
Quoting Brixen
13485 zone right now I'm loading many long positions, until 450/430 zone for now. 13525 1st target for now, waiiting real games to start 9CET. US SP500 will probably hit 4200 zone and below to catch stops, current 4208......we'll see Jackson Hole next friday afternoon is the potential crucial event for this week, as always happened on last August.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDAXM30.png Size: 17 KB
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
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