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The Swamp

  • #103,281
  • Aug 10, 2022 3:53pm Aug 10, 2022 3:53pm
5 more mins.. see bears can hold the day
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  • #103,282
  • Aug 10, 2022 4:03pm Aug 10, 2022 4:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It may trigger later.. I may cancels if I dont get a day closes below 0298//
I didnt get the close wanted.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,283
  • Aug 10, 2022 4:06pm Aug 10, 2022 4:06pm
Quoting Boulder
5 more mins.. see bears can hold the day {image}
Day reversed to uptrend...
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  • #103,284
  • Aug 10, 2022 4:19pm Aug 10, 2022 4:19pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day reversed to uptrend... {image}
That yellow box at 0369/0414/17 has some left liquid.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,285
  • Aug 10, 2022 6:44pm Aug 10, 2022 6:44pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day reversed to uptrend... {image}
On this fall the last year, I have noticed several times the day reversing. With no follow up. I will have to shoot for near .9898. There will be a likely bounce at 1.0078/1.009x area. I need to shoot for 1.0155 first, later 1.0078, and after it .9898. Bounces are likely near them all. Even before them is 1.0283. The R at 0317/20 would need to hold. A small R at 0311/12.

Meanwhile not ignoring, your day trend may be right. If it is, the pool at 0269/0414 is waiting. Some R there and 0417/18. more at 0446
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,286
  • Aug 10, 2022 8:41pm Aug 10, 2022 8:41pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day reversed to uptrend... {image}
Random footsteps?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,287
  • Aug 10, 2022 10:37pm Aug 10, 2022 10:37pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day reversed to uptrend... {image}
some possible scalps zones..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,288
  • Aug 11, 2022 2:06am Aug 11, 2022 2:06am
FX option expiries for August 11 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0095-05 2b
  2. 1.0125 607m
  3. 1.0150 507m
  4. 1.0200 700m
  5. 1.0235 524m
  6. 1.0245-55 737m
  7. 1.0265 300m
  8. 1.0275 518m
  9. 1.0300 716m
  10. 1.0315 406m
  11. 1.0350 251m
  12. 1.0400 643m

- GBP/USD: GBP amounts

  1. 1.2140-50 538m
  2. 1.2155-65 703m
  3. 1.2200 288m

- USD/JPY: USD amounts

  1. 130.00 2b
  2. 130.40 281m
  3. 132.00 530m
  4. 133.00-05 506m
  5. 133.44-45 310m
  6. 133.70-75 375m
  7. 134.00 422m
  8. 134.25-30 735m
  9. 134.97-00 1.15b

- USD/CHF: USD amounts

  1. 0.9500 325m

- AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  1. 0.6975-85 664m
  2. 0.7000 1.12b

- USD/CAD: USD amounts

  1. 1.2800 275m
  2. 1.2900 275m
  3. 1.3200 825m

- EUR/GBP: EUR amounts

  1. 0.8350 780m
  2. 0.8650 716m

  • #103,289
  • Aug 11, 2022 2:14am Aug 11, 2022 2:14am
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  • #103,290
  • Aug 11, 2022 6:31am Aug 11, 2022 6:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} look for something 0311/12..Dont let all the headline hype in. QT is on its way. Balance sheets are shrinking. We may get 0311 after close.
got a little more.. small liquid pools. Above 0369 has a larger one. It narrowly missed 0369. After the day didnt close below 0383. I think bulls are weak.. But still strong enough to play with 0369x. If it touches and fails to cross. It should drop. If it gets above and unable to close above, it should drop. Closing later below 0283 and its probably bearish. The inability to get above 0369.x is probably bearish. Most often it touches it. Yesterday missed by 0.9 pips. That could of been enough.

0311 39 and 62 circled are sometimes the triggers (the 2 lower ones are completed). On a smaller time frame to drop. 0369 into that yellow is a reason to drop. Potential to drop at any time is high. One has to look for clues. News in 1 h.. This may be a pump before news. Since it didnt closes above 0283, or touch 0369.x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,291
  • Aug 11, 2022 1:20pm Aug 11, 2022 1:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} got a little more.. small liquid pools. Above 0369 has a larger one. It narrowly missed 0369. After the day didnt close below 0383. I think bulls are weak.. But still strong enough to play with 0369x. If it touches and fails to cross. It should drop. If it gets above and unable to close above, it should drop. Closing later below 0283 and its probably bearish. The inability to get above 0369.x is probably bearish. Most often it touches it. Yesterday missed by 0.9 pips. That could of been enough. 0311 39 and 62 circled are sometimes the triggers...
Results: If it closes below 0283, drop odds would be better. Below 0252 would be better. AdR on the South side at 0253. Where pa sits now. Is below 0369 R, and above 0283 support (mid point at .0326).

I got another chart to plot footsteps. 0317 and 0284 are on it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,292
  • Aug 11, 2022 1:58pm Aug 11, 2022 1:58pm
pa isn't looking like it wants 0283 so much. Its already been very close to 0369. A stop hunt would likely go 20 pips above 0369. 24 pips above 0369 sits 0394 and 0393.5. On their own merit can resist. They are inside the yellow pool. That seems like a good place to set up a drop. If we get there it should be observed. At a double top a wick is often observed before a drop (a third higher top).
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,293
  • Aug 11, 2022 2:51pm Aug 11, 2022 2:51pm
Lets see this can drop to break H1 trend.. I am betting on it tommrrow..
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  • #103,294
  • Aug 11, 2022 2:54pm Aug 11, 2022 2:54pm
Currently markets giving up the day.. lets see Eur will do the same
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  • #103,295
  • Aug 11, 2022 3:02pm Aug 11, 2022 3:02pm
Good day!
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  • #103,296
  • Aug 11, 2022 9:09pm Aug 11, 2022 9:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
pa isn't looking like it wants 0283 so much. Its already been very close to 0369. A stop hunt would likely go 20 pips above 0369. 24 pips above 0369 sits 0394 and 0393.5. On their own merit can resist. They are inside the yellow pool. That seems like a good place to set up a drop. If we get there it should be observed. At a double top a wick is often observed before a drop (a third higher top). {image}
eu is just entering a pool at 0204.. Lets see if it bounces.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,297
  • Aug 12, 2022 2:45am Aug 12, 2022 2:45am
FX option expiries for August 12 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0050-55 2.1
  2. 1.0200-05 1.2b
  3. 1.0225-30 675m
  4. 1.0265 326m
  5. 1.0300-10 2.8b
  6. 1.0325 814m
  7. 1.0350 841m
  8. 1.0400 410m

  • #103,298
  • Aug 12, 2022 2:45am Aug 12, 2022 2:45am
Testing H1 atm...15 mins to go.. let see bears can reverse the trend
  • #103,299
  • Aug 12, 2022 3:01am Aug 12, 2022 3:01am
Quoting Boulder
Testing H1 atm...15 mins to go.. let see bears can reverse the trend
Bears took back H1.. let see this can drop more today
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  • #103,300
  • Aug 12, 2022 5:21am Aug 12, 2022 5:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu is just entering a pool at 0204.. Lets see if it bounces. {image}
still in it.. first bounce circled. Almost through it..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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