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  • #103,141
  • Aug 4, 2022 2:33pm Aug 4, 2022 2:33pm
Bastards took my SL on sell euro had short T 1.1243 and it' hit 1.1253... since yesterday and today euro has been rising post 2 pm eastern time on low liquid hours...crazy.it seems biggies are betting on a bad NFP tom.
  • #103,142
  • Aug 4, 2022 3:09pm Aug 4, 2022 3:09pm
Quoting euroboy2208
Bastards took my SL on sell euro had short T 1.1243 and it' hit 1.1253... since yesterday and today euro has been rising post 2 pm eastern time on low liquid hours...crazy.it seems biggies are betting on a bad NFP tom.
They are betting on a good NFP. The price most often pushes up/down opposite the report. Pricing a good one in, near R. If its a bad NFP, retailors will want to long the move. The move that already took place.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,143
  • Aug 4, 2022 3:31pm Aug 4, 2022 3:31pm
still into that pool..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,144
  • Aug 4, 2022 3:36pm Aug 4, 2022 3:36pm
yesterday near the low a lot of indicators wanted you to go short. The day before near 0270 a lot of them wanted you to go long. I would imagine those same indicators are near flipping to long soon. if you find this is true. Maybe you should omit those.

If this is a range, maybe consider a reasonable stop. If price test near 0300. Find a larger line in the sand with a reasonable stop loss %.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,145
  • Aug 4, 2022 4:51pm Aug 4, 2022 4:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} They are betting on a good NFP. The price most often pushes up/down opposite the report. Pricing a good one in, near R. If its a bad NFP, retailors will want to long the move. The move that already took place.
If that's the case..Best to short at 1.0280 - 1.03 and hope for a slap down after good nfp tom 100 pips back to 1.015
  • #103,146
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:36pm Aug 4, 2022 7:36pm
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} If that's the case..Best to short at 1.0280 - 1.03 and hope for a slap down after good nfp tom 100 pips back to 1.015
Yep.. That's mostly my plan. Dropping in the 0290/03xx area. If it can make it there b4 NFP. I got many options. It hasn't blown much past 0245x.. I was thinking it would run back to 0203/08. I may be wrong. second choice 0183/86

Unless later it bounces back from 0186/83 area to make a HH. I think it needs to take out 0369 and maybe 0415/17. But that may take a few tries over weeks/months. Get a day close above 0299, then we can talk higher. From 0369 or 0417.. It has a chance to make a new LL. Allow me 0469/80 As a choice 3 slapdown zone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,147
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:18pm Aug 4, 2022 8:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yep.. That's mostly my plan. Dropping in the 0290/03xx area. If it can make it there b4 NFP. I got many options. It hasn't blown much past 0245x.. I was thinking it would run back to 0203/08. I may be wrong. second choice 0183/86 Unless later it bounces back from 0186/83 area to make a HH. I think it needs to take out 0369 and maybe 0415/17. But that may take a few tries over weeks/months. Get a day close above 0299, then we can talk higher. From 0369 or 0417.. It has a chance to make a new LL. Allow me 0469/80 As a choice 3 slapdown zone....

It seems that top was already done and it got slapped from 1.0253 heavy zone.

It's not willing to bounce and might go back to 1.02
  • #103,148
  • Aug 4, 2022 9:23pm Aug 4, 2022 9:23pm
Quoting euroboy2208
{quote} It seems that top was already done and it got slapped from 1.0253 heavy zone. It's not willing to bounce and might go back to 1.02
yeah 80/85 ish pips or 1/2 of that.. 0123 + 80/84= 0203/07. Add 42 ish to it or the 80/84 ish pips. 21 42 63 84 105 126 147 and so forth. roughly 21/23 pips in a sequence.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,149
  • Aug 4, 2022 11:07pm Aug 4, 2022 11:07pm
placed a "oh shit short'' below 0318 r. at 0317.8. tight stop.. If it falls and closes below 0283 it may work.. I probably should just wait for the reaction. 0318 is about 110 pips from the mid at 0203 or 0208.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,150
  • Aug 5, 2022 2:52am Aug 5, 2022 2:52am
FX option expiries for August 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0050 333m
  2. 1.0100 871m
  3. 1.0150 415m
  4. 1.0200 2.1b
  5. 1.0300 1.4b
  6. 1.0400 810m

  • #103,151
  • Aug 5, 2022 2:56am Aug 5, 2022 2:56am
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  • #103,152
  • Aug 5, 2022 2:58am Aug 5, 2022 2:58am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0050 333m 1.0100 871m 1.0150 415m 1.0200 2.1b 1.0300 1.4b 1.0400 810m
When you see this, do you expect price to avoid the bold to avoid paying out?
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #103,153
  • Aug 5, 2022 3:19am Aug 5, 2022 3:19am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I will close shorts 0221 with avg +5 pips . It's acting bullish. I don't want to hold.
Closed shorts avg +5 pips. Bad trade!
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #103,154
  • Aug 5, 2022 3:25am Aug 5, 2022 3:25am
Quoting M3csl
{quote} When you see this, do you expect price to avoid the bold to avoid paying out?
Bold price is shown its potential to hit due to option expire's magnetic pull.. today its close to 1.02 area
  • #103,155
  • Aug 5, 2022 3:30am Aug 5, 2022 3:30am
Quoting Boulder
{image}
watch H1 and H4 ..
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  • #103,156
  • Aug 5, 2022 6:04am Aug 5, 2022 6:04am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for August 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0050 333m 1.0100 871m 1.0150 415m 1.0200 2.1b 1.0300 1.4b 1.0400 810m
I slept like a baby. Just getting up now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,157
  • Aug 5, 2022 7:23am Aug 5, 2022 7:23am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} watch H1 and H4 .. {image}
this backs up your day.. Making it to 0359 is very unlikely.. Anywhere in that yellow can drop at any moment. 0806 is another one that may not be reached in many years. Any time close expect a fall. At least till its taken.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,158
  • Aug 5, 2022 7:38am Aug 5, 2022 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this backs up your day.. Making it to 0359 is very unlikely.. Anywhere in that yellow can drop at any moment. 0806 is another one that may not be reached in many years. Any time close expect a fall. At least till its taken. {image}
just woke up... booked all my Eur shorts at this drop
  • #103,159
  • Aug 5, 2022 7:39am Aug 5, 2022 7:39am
0148.5/ 0146.5 may bounce some. I tp there. a possible new entry later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #103,160
  • Aug 5, 2022 7:46am Aug 5, 2022 7:46am
sp tp
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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