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The Swamp

  • #102,801
  • Jul 23, 2022 4:38am Jul 23, 2022 4:38am
138.10 looks to be a minimal area.

price closed the day below 50 ema and higher.. the 100 and 200 day are below the tl.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,802
  • Jul 24, 2022 12:50am Jul 24, 2022 12:50am
ECB will raise rates until inflation falls back to 2%, Lagarde says...why now, after the ECB press conference...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/rate...ys-2022-07-22/
I am who I am
  • #102,803
  • Jul 24, 2022 2:02pm Jul 24, 2022 2:02pm
My day and week are at odds. I wanna go long. But I need some retrace. I will have a pending long at 1.0030.1 because a pattern goes to 1.0029. Not because it think it will get there. I will have other trades that may disagree later. 1.0078 may be as low as it gets. But if 1.0078 does fail to hold that support, this week. My pending entry has a shot. Down there I have a support at 1.0025 and 1.0037 (close wise support). So if it would make it that low, It may be quickly rejected. A HH over last week invalidates the 1.0029 pattern, but not those supports.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,804
  • Jul 25, 2022 1:38am Jul 25, 2022 1:38am
If I ignore the second set of R at 0369 and the pool there. In face or the anticipated rate raise some are contemplating. I see a small window at 0283/84. That's not so big as to be a stop run, with that 0277 high. There is a little more R at 0289.. Nothing huge. But enough maybe to get a stop run and achieve fulfilling an attraction to 0283/84. Plus adr is in that area. I did have a pending at 0255 but canceled it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,805
  • Jul 25, 2022 1:42am Jul 25, 2022 1:42am
FX option expiries for July 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0075 467m
  2. 1.0135 333m
  3. 1.0200 646m
  4. 1.0250 1.9b
  5. 1.0300 406m

- GBP/USD: GBP amounts

  1. 1.2010 575m
  2. 1.2055 332m

- USD/JPY: USD amounts

  1. 134.20 550m

- USD/CHF: USD amounts

  1. 0.9605 256m

- AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  1. 0.6750 1.1b
  2. 0.6900 585m
  3. 0.6925 453m
  4. 0.6950 609m

  • #102,806
  • Jul 25, 2022 4:03am Jul 25, 2022 4:03am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for July 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0075 467m 1.0135 333m 1.0200 646m 1.0250 1.9b 1.0300 406m - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.2010 575m 1.2055 332m - USD/JPY: USD amounts 134.20 550m - USD/CHF: USD amounts 0.9605 256m - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.6750 1.1b 0.6900 585m 0.6925 453m 0.6950 609m
I put a pending on a usd/cad long 1.2798.9.. SL under 1.2797. tight. tp above 3223. In the chance 1.2798.2 support holds. I have a second at 2782.3,, stop 2778.2.. tp tentative 3188.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,807
  • Jul 25, 2022 4:15am Jul 25, 2022 4:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I put a pending on a usd/cad long 1.2798.9.. SL under 1.2797. tight. tp above 3223. In the chance 1.2798.2 support holds. I have a second at 2782.3,, stop 2778.2.. tp tentative 3188.
nice trade sir

I have the same on my chart and it is interesting you have it too
  • #102,808
  • Jul 25, 2022 4:22am Jul 25, 2022 4:22am
Quoting ruben247
{quote} nice trade sir I have the same on my chart and it is interesting you have it too
adr at 2844, so maybe it will hit tomorrow. Month average range at 2817. My week is bearish.. last day to me is bullish (screws the day bull).. Getting below 2821 may not happen.. I just have to put my entry below those stops at 2721/22 and see if its ready. Many anticipate a 1% raise. So USD may get the fake dump before. I dont shoot at the duck. I shoot in front the duck. lead time to target is past the duck.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,809
  • Jul 25, 2022 4:34am Jul 25, 2022 4:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} adr at 2844, so maybe it will hit tomorrow. Month average range at 2817. My week is bearish.. last day to me is bullish (screws the day bull).. Getting below 2821 may not happen.. I just have to put my entry below those stops at 2721/22 and see if its ready. Many anticipate a 1% raise. So USD may get the fake dump before. I dont shoot at the duck. I shoot in front the duck. lead time to target is past the duck.
front of the duck sounds just about just right sir. 1.2844 is promising. I will be waiting on this trade with you. thank you sir
  • #102,810
  • Jul 25, 2022 5:06am Jul 25, 2022 5:06am
Hi gator, i have disregarded the usdcad solely because i just received a sell setup on audcad. i have attached a chart for observations and further acessment
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  • #102,811
  • Jul 25, 2022 7:02am Jul 25, 2022 7:02am
Quoting ruben247
Hi gator, i have disregarded the usdcad solely because i just received a sell setup on audcad. i have attached a chart for observations and further acessment {image}
That's above my paygrade, since the week closed above .8940 and .8932. I cant touch a short. I'm thinking .9002/03. But dont mind me.. That's not one I trade. I was just noticing .8940 and .8932 may have some support value. Since the week closed above. I cant take that one short. There is a smaller R at .8950 it closed above if it earlier. If it starts closing above again. I think 6002/03 has a shot.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,812
  • Jul 25, 2022 7:40am Jul 25, 2022 7:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's above my paygrade, since the week closed above .8940 and .8932. I cant touch a short. I'm thinking .9002/03. But dont mind me.. That's not one I trade. I was just noticing .8940 and .8932 may have some support value. Since the week closed above. I cant take that one short. There is a smaller R at .8950 it closed above if it earlier. If it starts closing above again. I think 6002/03 has a shot.
Thank you for responding considering the mentioned pair is not on your radar at this time. weekly close is typically significant and that being said, it's only wise to keep an eye open for this. .8940 will be observed. will it break? or bounce? that is yet to be seen
  • #102,813
  • Jul 25, 2022 7:43am Jul 25, 2022 7:43am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for July 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0075 467m 1.0135 333m 1.0200 646m 1.0250 1.9b 1.0300 406m - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.2010 575m 1.2055 332m - USD/JPY: USD amounts 134.20 550m - USD/CHF: USD amounts 0.9605 256m - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.6750 1.1b 0.6900 585m 0.6925 453m 0.6950 609m
The level held like champ
  • #102,814
  • Jul 25, 2022 7:54am Jul 25, 2022 7:54am
Quoting ruben247
{quote} Thank you for responding considering the mentioned pair is not on your radar at this time. weekly close is typically significant and that being said, it's only wise to keep an eye open for this. .8940 will be observed. will it break? or bounce? that is yet to be seen
That bear pennant is alluring. It closing a week above 8932, and 40 is a caution for me to stay out the short. I may be wrong.. I miss a lot of trades.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,815
  • Jul 25, 2022 7:55am Jul 25, 2022 7:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} The level held like champ
Mine would of been 0255 I canceled. Tp 1.0050/29
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,816
  • Jul 25, 2022 8:08am Jul 25, 2022 8:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} The level held like champ
I left some at 0283 for a stop hunt this week. That's why i cancelled 0255.

my choices were 0255 0283 0369
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,817
  • Jul 25, 2022 8:15am Jul 25, 2022 8:15am
usd crosses this week may have a few stop hunts just above the usd weak side of s/r. Double tops or bottoms may give up for 20 ish pips. later just to resume. the trend before the break.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,818
  • Jul 25, 2022 8:32am Jul 25, 2022 8:32am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} The level held like champ
if it stops around 0183 it has enough adr to grab 0283 tomorrow. Today it looks to have chosen the 0257 high to drop from. adr from it 102 ish pips. 0155 sh. London usually prints the high/low,, London is over.. If the unusual happens. 0283 is still within
today's normal adr
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,819
  • Jul 25, 2022 8:43am Jul 25, 2022 8:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it stops around 0183 it has enough adr to grab 0283 tomorrow. Today it looks to have chosen the 0257 high to drop from. adr from it 102 ish pips. 0155 sh. London usually prints the high/low,, London is over.. If the unusual happens. 0283 is still within today's normal adr
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,820
  • Jul 25, 2022 9:34am Jul 25, 2022 9:34am
I am thinking they smash and grab it above 1.03 and drop it like it’s hot after the fed meeting. Thoughts?
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