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The Swamp

  • #102,641
  • Jul 15, 2022 11:04am Jul 15, 2022 11:04am
Quoting Connors
{quote} No I don't deny gravity. My point is, maybe we partied way too early for a solution. Getting vaccinated every 6 months or when every new variant pops up can not be the ideal way. Either the governments or the scientists are not telling the whole truth. Not getting vaccinated can not be an argument neither. Anyway we had several discussions about this damn thing, world is not the same as before, I wished we could go back to late 90s or early 2000s. Apart from 9/11, I don't recall any world crisis or an event that destroyed the life of an...
If you think its bearish.. You could of had a violent drop at 98.99/99.96 and a little slip,,

The red above lines is another pool of liquid.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,642
  • Jul 15, 2022 11:27am Jul 15, 2022 11:27am
Quoting Connors
{quote} No I don't deny gravity. My point is, maybe we partied way too early for a solution. Getting vaccinated every 6 months or when every new variant pops up can not be the ideal way. Either the governments or the scientists are not telling the whole truth. Not getting vaccinated can not be an argument neither. Anyway we had several discussions about this damn thing, world is not the same as before, I wished we could go back to late 90s or early 2000s. Apart from 9/11, I don't recall any world crisis or an event that destroyed the life of an...
Week to me has been bearish since below 110.. Day is bullish, unless it makes a LL -90.58 today.. the yellow are inside. 90.92+ is better. But if its weak the yellow can turn it lower. If it does, you need to break the lows.. Or it still bullish on the day. The paired like color lines work together.
The larger week is bearish, The month made a low below last month
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,643
  • Jul 15, 2022 1:21pm Jul 15, 2022 1:21pm
Average 15 pips for today, during London open. Didn't follow the chart after.
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Have a great weekend all.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #102,644
  • Jul 15, 2022 3:52pm Jul 15, 2022 3:52pm
commercials between closing 7k shorts and adding 7k longs.. look to be bullish

Possible buy next week.. 1.0025/33
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,645
  • Jul 15, 2022 3:53pm Jul 15, 2022 3:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's the pulse of the economy,,, China has to be hurting.

Without any pause. Not good..
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  • #102,646
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:05pm Jul 15, 2022 4:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
commercials between closing 7k shorts and adding 7k longs.. look to be bullish Possible buy next week.. 1.0025/33 {image}
If ir goes to 1.0142 ish first. A possible buy at 0047/35. But the boat may have sailed by then.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,647
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:12pm Jul 15, 2022 4:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
commercials between closing 7k shorts and adding 7k longs.. look to be bullish Possible buy next week.. 1.0025/33 {image}
Hedge funds added more Eur shorts this week COT report
  • #102,648
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:13pm Jul 15, 2022 4:13pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Without any pause. Not good.. {image}
Home work.. See if inventories are dropping/rising. If you get a falling price with a falling inventory. Using suppl/demand 101. Falling inventory. means more demand, and higher prices (in normal times). Falling inventory, with falling price happened in 2008 (world wide reduction in economy). The miners try to keep up with demand. When demand drops. They cut labor hours and shifts. It was gold having Black Opal here. He was earlier inside miner info. But you still have it in those reports.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,649
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:29pm Jul 15, 2022 4:29pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Hedge funds added more Eur shorts this week COT report
Yep.. They did. +15,367 if added with retailers. subtract the longs and it 14396 short Hedge/funds combined with retail change in shorts. They are very heavy shorting.
it balances out to 14,396. That's the sum of the commercial changes too.

This is what confuses me.. Where does these numbers come from? At a glance it looks like its a change to longs..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,650
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:34pm Jul 15, 2022 4:34pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Without any pause. Not good.. {image}
Caterpillar cuts outlook in production another. All points to China and Australia. first. Less jobs (little money), less food (higher cost)= starving people buying less discretionary. = less jobs to make discretionary,, snowball. Food deficit = more starving
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,651
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:47pm Jul 15, 2022 4:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Caterpillar cuts outlook in production another. All points to China and Australia. first. Less jobs (little money), less food (higher cost)= starving people buying less discretionary. = less jobs to make discretionary,, snowball. Food deficit = more starving
Credit to: Steve Burns

Twitter @SJosephBurns
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  • #102,652
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:52pm Jul 15, 2022 4:52pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Credit to: Steve Burns Twitter @SJosephBurns {image}
discretionary.. The world gold demand is a pimple on the ass of Asia. Asia buys most of the gold. When hungry you spend less on discretionary. You postpone weddings and other culture ceremonial events. Who wants to marry a loser w/o a job?

If it last a long time.. Cultures learn to live w/o stuff. The iPhone has replaced some jewelry as a statice piece. As time goes on, culture changes
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,653
  • Jul 15, 2022 4:56pm Jul 15, 2022 4:56pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Credit to: Steve Burns Twitter @SJosephBurns {image}
I have used that saying for over 40 years. I never thought to make the picture. (late 70s. } We didnt have twitter back then. We actually had to look girls in the eyes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,654
  • Jul 15, 2022 5:02pm Jul 15, 2022 5:02pm
kids today dont know how to dial one.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,655
  • Jul 15, 2022 8:32pm Jul 15, 2022 8:32pm
I may miss this, I may be traveling. Looking for a buy Sunday/Monday 1.0033/52.. Add 100 to that low for a tp. The high target at 1.0122.. plus about 17/20 pips may retrace (pool) 1.042ish.. The euro likes 100 pips... 0052 is probably where it wants to drop, but a pool is below (0033/36. 1.0122 plus 20 [s 0152.. The euro likes 100 pip moves. Today a few days before the market opens.. 0033/52 looks like a long to me.. Allow some wiggle room.. maybe 5 pips below. 0033.. Tp the pool above 0122. Is my plan, This is close to ADR plus minus a few.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,656
  • Edited Jul 16, 2022 6:23am Jul 15, 2022 9:26pm | Edited Jul 16, 2022 6:23am
Quoting gatorinla
I may miss this, I may be traveling. Looking for a buy Sunday/Monday 1.0033/52.. Add 100 to that low for a tp. The high target at 1.0122.. plus about 17/20 pips may retrace (pool) 0042ish.. The euro likes 100 pips... 0052 is probably where it wants to drop, but a pool is below (0033/36. 1.0122 plus 20 is 0142.. The euro likes 100 pip moves. Today a few days before the market opens.. 0033/52 looks like a long to me.. Allow some wiggle room.. maybe 5 pips below. 0033.. Tp the pool above 0122. Is my plan, This is close to ADR plus minus a few.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,657
  • Jul 15, 2022 10:47pm Jul 15, 2022 10:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
I may miss this, I may be traveling. Looking for a buy Sunday/Monday 1.0033/52.. Add 100 to that low for a tp. The high target at 1.0122.. plus about 17/20 pips may retrace (pool) 1.042ish.. The euro likes 100 pips... 0052 is probably where it wants to drop, but a pool is below (0033/36. 1.0122 plus 20 [s 0152.. The euro likes 100 pip moves. Today a few days before the market opens.. 0033/52 looks like a long to me.. Allow some wiggle room.. maybe 5 pips below. 0033.. Tp the pool above 0122. Is my plan, This is close to ADR plus minus a few.
I need a gap open above 0086.6. Or a close above it.. If it dont gap above the chance of retrace is better. If it gaps above.. it may retrace less. I got a 0085.9 close
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,658
  • Jul 16, 2022 2:04am Jul 16, 2022 2:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yep.. They did. +15,367 if added with retailers. Subtract the longs and it 14396 short hedge/funds combined with retail change in shorts. They are very heavy shorting. It balances out to 14,396. That's the sum of the commercial changes too. This is what confuses me.. Where does these numbers come from? At a glance it looks like its a change to longs.. {image}
102 - 97 + 7385 = 7390
8494 - 97 - 7011 = 1386
I am who I am
  • #102,659
  • Jul 16, 2022 9:23am Jul 16, 2022 9:23am
XE dont show this at the last min.. Its probably erroneous.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,660
  • Edited 8:19pm Jul 16, 2022 1:09pm | Edited 8:19pm
gonna pend this at open.. It may not reach it.. It could just rise. from 50 or 72. It could go to 07.. I'm ok with this one.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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