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The Swamp

  • #102,461
  • Jul 13, 2022 5:30am Jul 13, 2022 5:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah that's one way to look at it. Ever since Japan bombed the U.S. over oil, North Africa, Germany invading Russia, and Countless M.E wars. When the energy supply is cut. You put a bulls eye on yourself. Japan on a volcano with little natural resources. Had the balls to pick a fight with the U.S. over oil. Energy can put a lot of troops in Russia,
And subdue the tyrant from within. However, the man would have his thumb on the big red button for armageddon to come upon earth.

How Angela Merkel turned off one of the worlds most efficient nuclear power generators to then depend of Russia for energy is beyond me. Some of these women are not territorial reason why handing them power sometimes can be costly.
  • #102,462
  • Jul 13, 2022 5:49am Jul 13, 2022 5:49am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} And subdue the tyrant from within. However, the man would have his thumb on the big red button for armageddon to come upon earth.
So people are suppose to cower? To do what he wants? If that the case he rules the world. There is no easy solution. It would be best for his people to handle their business. At some point people freezing in the winter. Would be willing to take the gas. That's just the way it is. If he backs Germany/etc. in a corner, They will respond.
Putin had his hands full with Ukraine. He dont want more than that. Putin made the threat to cut gas. He already fired the first shot. Nobody wants any button pushed. That is suicide for Putin too. Some of those oligarchs are making money on gas etc. Cut the valve nd they dont. That makes another enemy for Putin. Who knows.. maybe they have paid some of the button pushers off. What's going on isn't good for them. Pushing any bottom wouldn't be either. It wouldn't be good for anyone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,463
  • Jul 13, 2022 5:52am Jul 13, 2022 5:52am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} How Angela Merkel turned off one of the worlds most efficient nuclear power generators to then depend of Russia for energy is beyond me. Some of these women are not territorial reason why handing them power sometimes can be costly.
I hear you.. Us guys have done so well with power.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,464
  • Jul 13, 2022 5:58am Jul 13, 2022 5:58am
Inserted Video
  • #102,465
  • Jul 13, 2022 6:05am Jul 13, 2022 6:05am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Do you REALLY expect Putin to honor their word and supply the EU with supplies? Forget the humanitarian POV from a "business" POV Putin will keep the pipeline shut until fall/winter when it will be life or death. Then and only then will Putin open up the supplies and charge 10X what they are now and the message will be simply this - "Pay or freeze to death" If the world can find the billions to fight Covid EU can certainly pay 10X current rates and Russia laughs all the way to the bank.
While I don't wish that happen, that would be an unprecedented situation for Europe as well as for traders like us. As we move toward alternative energy sources, Putin wouldn't get to do that later than now.
  • #102,466
  • Edited 7:35am Jul 13, 2022 6:14am | Edited 7:35am
Setting a pending buy @0.9970 and 0.9935. Can't decide the SL but TP is very clear 1.0260.
Hope I can get the orders filled. I can't long here @1.0060s.


Ps: Canceling that one @0.9970
  • #102,467
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:42am Jul 13, 2022 7:42am
Day range low 0.99845
  • #102,468
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:44am Jul 13, 2022 7:44am
Quoting Connors
Setting a pending buy @0.9970 and 0.9935. Can't decide the SL but TP is very clear 1.0260. Hope I can get the orders filled. I can't long here @1.0060s. Ps: Canceling that one @0.9970
Scared? Lol...
  • #102,469
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:48am Jul 13, 2022 7:48am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Scared? Lol...
Fuck it in @1.0010

Of course mate, scariest scenario ever but maybe cat is out of the box and market may take some of the profit.

I need to see it above 1.0090s soon.
  • #102,470
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:48am Jul 13, 2022 7:48am
I don't think it likes being below 1, did you see the reaction below?
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #102,471
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:58am Jul 13, 2022 7:58am
Quoting gatorinla
Last time at the .75rate hike. at release time price was 1.0422. Price dropped to 1.0359. Later that day it ended up higher. In about 9 days 250 pips higher. After that the fall.. to here. {image} {image} {image}
95 pip 1h candle then too..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,472
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:59am Jul 13, 2022 7:59am
Quoting Connors
{quote} Fuck it in @1.0010 Of course mate, scariest scenario ever but maybe cat is out of the box and market may take some of the profit. I need to see it above 1.0090s soon.
I like the hot stove effect as Gator usually calls it. These are the initial stages of bear denial. When it moves up like an ogre then they will understand. No shorts except we get a daily close below parity!
  • #102,473
  • Jul 13, 2022 8:02am Jul 13, 2022 8:02am
U.s. Rate futures pricing in 22% chance of 100 bps hike in july meeting, 79% of 75 bps -fedwatch
  • #102,474
  • Jul 13, 2022 8:20am Jul 13, 2022 8:20am
The day candle moved 100 pips and went nowhere.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,475
  • Jul 13, 2022 8:49am Jul 13, 2022 8:49am
Whatever happens today.. Put it on your memory. Are hedge funds and commercials closing, more shorts here over longs at 1.0? Are they adding some longs? See what the chart looks like in a few days..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,476
  • Jul 13, 2022 8:59am Jul 13, 2022 8:59am
Quoting gatorinla
Whatever happens today.. Put it on your memory. Are hedge funds and commercials closing, more shorts here over longs at 1.0? Are they adding some longs? See what the chart looks like in a few days.. {image}
May find out COT report this Friday.. for me ..hedge funds are more like closing some shorts, not longs added..,,any bounces were sales since it hit $1
  • #102,477
  • Jul 13, 2022 9:03am Jul 13, 2022 9:03am
All these shorts are mostly in the money.. Most of the longs are not. Closing some shorts, raises price some. Raising price some, helps the longs. I thought 1.0 would be defended. I may be wrong. They got deeper pockets than I. It seems its to their advantage to close some shorts.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,478
  • Jul 13, 2022 9:05am Jul 13, 2022 9:05am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} May find out COT report this Friday.. for me ..hedge funds are more like closing some shorts, not longs added..,,any bounces were sales since it hit $1
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  • #102,479
  • Jul 13, 2022 9:15am Jul 13, 2022 9:15am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} {image}
Those are the same guys advertising the rates possibly going up 1%. That would also help add some retail shorts. That would absorb some of their longs. The more liquidity, the faster they can cut some longs. I may be wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,480
  • Jul 13, 2022 9:42am Jul 13, 2022 9:42am
Debating on targeting 1.0462 +10 or 1.0614+10. Thinking less would be better. Most of the shorts up there tp at 1.0 already..

I put tp at 0276 but may change it.. I got a pool range 0276/0413.. That's not too greedy. Plus somewhere in there it should fall again..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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