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The Swamp

  • #102,241
  • Jul 8, 2022 3:17am Jul 8, 2022 3:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got a old S here from 2000
Okay. Seems there is a lot of confluence there. Also huge volume on the 30min bar that broke 0100. It appears lots of SL sat there.
  • #102,242
  • Jul 8, 2022 3:31am Jul 8, 2022 3:31am
I have a pending buy at parity, for 10 pips. There has to be a bounce when all the shorts close
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #102,243
  • Jul 8, 2022 3:32am Jul 8, 2022 3:32am
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I said 1.0080 off memory.. this may be it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,244
  • Jul 8, 2022 3:34am Jul 8, 2022 3:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LOL,, sure.. See you then.. {image}
so glad .. I am sideline on my big account for days...
  • #102,245
  • Jul 8, 2022 3:48am Jul 8, 2022 3:48am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} so glad .. I am sideline on my big account for days...
No doubt some are tp, and adding some longs here..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,246
  • Jul 8, 2022 4:06am Jul 8, 2022 4:06am
usdx quarter
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,247
  • Jul 8, 2022 5:37am Jul 8, 2022 5:37am
Damn when I was long it went down and I had to book loss..after 2 hours now am seeing its back to my cost..why it happens like this
  • #102,248
  • Jul 8, 2022 5:54am Jul 8, 2022 5:54am
Quoting euroboy2208
Damn when I was long it went down and I had to book loss..after 2 hours now am seeing its back to my cost..why it happens like this
Sorry to hear. I was at a 450 loss earlier but I held because I thought the reaction was related to Shinzo Abe murder with dollar receiving safe haven appeal. So I thought there would be a bounce when they announced he was dead or alive (unlikely) so held on - wisely or unwisely. Now at a 20 loss with less positions.

I might hold or I might take a small loss on the rest.

Gator - do you still have a position on A/J short? After this bounce I'm tempted to short small.
  • #102,249
  • Jul 8, 2022 6:51am Jul 8, 2022 6:51am
Quoting Steamroller
{quote} Sorry to hear. I was at a 450 loss earlier but I held because I thought the reaction was related to Shinzo Abe murder with dollar receiving safe haven appeal. So I thought there would be a bounce when they announced he was dead or alive (unlikely) so held on - wisely or unwisely. Now at a 20 loss with less positions. I might hold or I might take a small loss on the rest. Gator - do you still have a position on A/J short? After this bounce I'm tempted to short small.
Closed all profit 5. Bad trade will wait for NFP.
  • #102,250
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:03am Jul 8, 2022 9:03am
light support maybe at 0134.. if so 0178 may break again. 0134 is exact... no lower..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,251
  • Edited 9:48am Jul 8, 2022 9:18am | Edited 9:48am
Quoting Steamroller
{quote} Sorry to hear. I was at a 450 loss earlier but I held because I thought the reaction was related to Shinzo Abe murder with dollar receiving safe haven appeal. So I thought there would be a bounce when they announced he was dead or alive (unlikely) so held on - wisely or unwisely. Now at a 20 loss with less positions. I might hold or I might take a small loss on the rest. Gator - do you still have a position on A/J short? After this bounce I'm tempted to short small.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Closed the AJ short for 55 pips..
closed long ago on support


95.53/.74 has liquidity.. It may be hit in a few days before a big drop. Or to rise, 90.65/91.42.. expect a bounce or rise at those. Probably to 93.00 ish So set tp for 250 pips from either, or more. The lower one is thicker. So your stop will need to be large enough to make it through it. On the upper one.. maybe 20 pips above 95.74.. Its not a precise science.. You have to watch.. The move after the breach should be a long fast candle.. probably 250 pips in a day or 2 worth of candles. The hit has to be a good one.. not just a kiss.. You will know when its deep enough from the reaction that follows. It will rain..\\

The higher one hit could push it below the lower.. if this happens first. The liquidity pool may get scared and run. The wave may be in front of the move. So it may just continue drop. The first one hit should have the most reaction.. But its a unknown. That second bounce could have the same reaction. Like a pinball.



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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,252
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:29am Jul 8, 2022 9:29am
Yes, Oil doesn't look like rolling over just yet.
  • #102,253
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:29am Jul 8, 2022 9:29am
After a lower NFP than the previous one, if a normal day, the EOD/EOW should close above 1.02xxx...
I am who I am
  • #102,254
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:38am Jul 8, 2022 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
light support maybe at 0134.. if so 0178 may break again. 0134 is exact... no lower.. {image}
Your 0086 entry was badass. Wicked precision!
  • #102,255
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:39am Jul 8, 2022 9:39am
Quoting imwim
After a lower NFP than the previous one, if a normal day, the EOD/EOW should close above 1.02xxx...
Actually NFP is an overshoot. EU is going below Parity, but for now EU should retrace a bit ahead of next FED with .75 raise.
  • #102,256
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:44am Jul 8, 2022 9:44am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Actually NFP is an overshoot. EU is going below Parity, but for now EU should retrace a bit ahead of next FED with .75 raise.
EURUSD will go back to 1.20xxx with all FED rate raises...under parity I'll sell all my properties and buy EURUSD...
I am who I am
  • #102,257
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:50am Jul 8, 2022 9:50am
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,258
  • Jul 8, 2022 9:56am Jul 8, 2022 9:56am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Your 0086 entry was badass. Wicked precision!
I had a mofu fib at 1.0071.. But i remember 1.0080 for some reason.. I remember thinking it was going to screw a lot of people tasting 1.0 too early.. Would be disappointed.

ps.. there is a smaller liquid pool of those people at 1.0178/1.0205... watch this.. Its a smaller pool..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,259
  • Edited 10:49am Jul 8, 2022 10:03am | Edited 10:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had a mofu fib at 1.0071.. But i remember 1.0080 for some reason.. I remember thinking it was going to screw a lot of people tasting 1.0 too early.. Would be disappointed. ps.. there is a smaller liquid pool of those people at 1.0178/1.0205... watch this.. Its a smaller pool..
Its reaching for 0220/26 .. Some stops are there.. It may retrace there or a little after,, To screw the longs.. possible short in that drop.. maybe back to 1.0150 area.. Possible long after. But atm i don't see liquidity there.. So it may just continue to the next pool at 0278... I need cancel the pending i have at 0273... A large wide pool of shorts 1.03x.. hitting those could bring 1.04 again..

S// on shorts turn to longs.. If you have shorts there.. your a target.. Some money is better than none.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,260
  • Jul 8, 2022 10:29am Jul 8, 2022 10:29am
Look at the US dollar daily candle at the moment a small shooting star. Weekly is still bullish though.
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