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The Swamp

  • #102,081
  • Jul 5, 2022 12:28pm Jul 5, 2022 12:28pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
They want to complete the whole monthly range today? Lol... I am holding my longs very strong. Been shorting hell outta GU and EU but decided to buy some from 0287 to 0260. I am in good hands. If too bad I will jump o at 0300 which MUST be seen.
Good day today I checked out and called it a day in asia woke up and everything went as planned wonderful day today except for UJ lol..
  • #102,082
  • Jul 5, 2022 12:47pm Jul 5, 2022 12:47pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
They want to complete the whole monthly range today? Lol... I am holding my longs very strong. Been shorting hell outta GU and EU but decided to buy some from 0287 to 0260. I am in good hands. If too bad I will jump o at 0300 which MUST be seen.
Holding too. But not as strong as I expected. It's clear there were many stops below 0350. A 213 pips daily candle below the support prove it. I have some levels above, need to be tested. Nothing is written on the stone. So I'm a bit hesitant about those longs. Need more time to follow pa. I may close as soon as I can.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #102,083
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:25pm Jul 5, 2022 1:25pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} Good day today I checked out and called it a day in asia woke up and everything went as planned wonderful day today except for UJ lol..
I know you must be killing it! Good it went good. I am killing it here too. Ton of trades no loss.
  • #102,084
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:26pm Jul 5, 2022 1:26pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Holding too. But not as strong as I expected. It's clear there were many stops below 0350. A 213 pips daily candle below the support prove it. I have some levels above, need to be tested. Nothing is written on the stone. So I'm a bit hesitant about those longs. Need more time to follow pa. I may close as soon as I can.
When people give up they will spike it. I gave my own trades enough room to breathe. I have stops in place but enough room in case they want to still roam.
  • #102,085
  • Jul 5, 2022 2:11pm Jul 5, 2022 2:11pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} When people give up they will spike it. I gave my own trades enough room to breathe. I have stops in place but enough room in case they want to still roam.
Good Job its hard trading.. most cannot stomach it but for those that can its rewarding.
  • #102,086
  • Jul 5, 2022 2:59pm Jul 5, 2022 2:59pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} When people give up they will spike it. I gave my own trades enough room to breathe. I have stops in place but enough room in case they want to still roam.
Actually we are trading through a super monthly candle. Trend is bearish. It's now below the support. The fact is the chance of a break out is more than a rejection. On the other side, I have some super attractive levels above based on my system. I can hold the longs a little more, if drop. But I'm not good with my direction because it's now in the No Man's Land. It has been more than 19 years since they all left this area. One feels lonely here!
Anyway, I will wait more to see who will come to meet. A real bear, or a surprising bull.
Welcome to No Man's Land...
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #102,087
  • Jul 5, 2022 5:13pm Jul 5, 2022 5:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
Day 1 London closes below 0258.. {image}
Caught between 0258 and 0273.5... They are older S/R/
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,088
  • Edited 5:34pm Jul 5, 2022 5:19pm | Edited 5:34pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Were you serious about 1.0258?
It has to check its metal in battle.. But it could be the real deal. It and 0273 are close.. So over 20 years back something made these act as pivots. 1.0080 (i have to look for the exact number) But somewhere in the 1.0080 zone had something. I lost a bunch of old charts about 4-5 months back on last laptop[.

As far as 0258 or 73. I don't know what one dominants.. ATM it closed a day below 0273 and not 0258.

ATm it closed a day below the 2016 wicks. The month/quarter, mid year/ closed below 1.0520. It hasn't done that since the beginning of the post 911 wars. The U.S. spent the bulk of those wars cost. The U.S. is not spending that today. The deficit has been dropping. That dont get mentioned much.. The U.S. deficit is dropping while Germany etc. Are now set to double their defense spending. That money will be borrowed. Add in the energy tax and you get a 0.8xx handle on the eu. Everyone forgets what made the eu go to 1.6.. Take that away and it falls back to where it started.. The reality is, this was just 2003... The rise started in 1970. The eu could end up even below 1970 levels. 0.6x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,089
  • Jul 5, 2022 5:43pm Jul 5, 2022 5:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It has to check its metal in battle.. But it could be the real deal. It and 0273 are close.. So over 20 years back something made these act as pivots. 1.0080 (i have to look for the exact number) But somewhere in the 1.0080 zone had something. I lost a bunch of old charts about 4-5 months back on last laptop[. As far as 0258 or 73. I don't know what one dominants.. ATM it closed a day below 0273 and not 0258. ATm it closed a day below the 2016 wicks. The month/quarter, mid year/ closed below 1.0520. It hasn't done that since the beginning...
In the 1970 ties there was a war. It too needed to be paid for. The U.S. left the gold standard. If your under 50, you have been living in Ozz (if your over 50 and don't remember, wake up). They stole all your grandparents money to fund this thing. Houses are 4X as big as your parents home. We live among a bunch of spoiled, entitled brats. That are still sucking on great grandma's tits. Geo politically the pangolin may be swinging. Europe is set to spend more for defense. That frees up some usd WW2 tax. It adds to EZ cost. That and the energy tax will weigh on the EZ. Some adjustments will be made to a new reality.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,090
  • Jul 5, 2022 6:40pm Jul 5, 2022 6:40pm
A possible Chf long 9648/50.. Small stop 9646/34. Watch for candle confirmation.. st tp 9705 1719 9739 9776.. ATm CHF at 9682
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,091
  • Jul 5, 2022 6:41pm Jul 5, 2022 6:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} In the 1970 ties there was a war. It too needed to be paid for. The U.S. left the gold standard. If your under 50, you have been living in Ozz (if your over 50 and don't remember, wake up). They stole all your grandparents money to fund this thing. Houses are 4X as big as your parents home. We live among a bunch of spoiled, entitled brats. That are still sucking on great grandma's tits. Geo politically the pangolin may be swinging. Europe is set to spend more for defense. That frees up some usd WW2 tax. It adds to EZ cost. That and the energy...
You must of watched some Henry Kissinger you know how this ends then All I can do is encourage you and other to take everything on the board and make it yours.
Inserted Video
  • #102,092
  • Jul 5, 2022 7:01pm Jul 5, 2022 7:01pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} You must of watched some Henry Kissinger you know how this ends then All I can do is encourage you and other to take everything on the board and make it yours.
Nope.. Raised by a ww2 sharp shooter. Who walked across France in issued summer fatigues. During the coldest winter on record in Europe. Who lived through the depression. I always hear people complaining about this or that. When they are living in a homes larger than many Southern plantations. And they have ac today. People today live better than many kings ever did. Yet are bitching about they deserve more. ITs a bunch of cry babies who all want a participation trophy for showing up. Flip over the checker board and cry when they lose. I never have met so many people complaining about so much dumb shit. When they have no clue on why their life is so good. They want to piss on the battles others fought. Many men spent lots of blood not to be ruled under a king. Kinda bent, but we aint breaking.

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,093
  • Jul 5, 2022 7:14pm Jul 5, 2022 7:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
A possible Chf long 9648/50.. Small stop 9646/34. Watch for candle confirmation.. st tp 9705 1719 9739 9776.. ATm CHF at 9682
The math dont work pip wise for the eu to press 0273.. The uc dropping misses that entry.. The eu would need to be above 0273 or the ec adjust in a rise..Ec can rise to 1. it has room..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,094
  • Jul 5, 2022 7:19pm Jul 5, 2022 7:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The math dont work pip wise for the eu to press 0273.. The uc dropping misses that entry.. The eu would need to be above 0273 or the ec adjust in a rise..Ec can rise to 1. it has room..
If the eu presses 0273.x and holds. The uc can reach those targets.. When you look at the ec it can move up. Its not needing to drop deep into .99xx. That may let the u/chf move up easier. Its not at a multidecade level.. It was here last month. Its easier for the chf to take 400 plus pips North, Than the eu to take the last 250 pips to 1.0,, Or at least the uc has done it freely, lately, more often.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,095
  • Jul 5, 2022 7:20pm Jul 5, 2022 7:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Nope.. Raised by a ww2 sharp shooter. Who walked across France in issued summer fatigues. During the coldest winter on record in Europe. Who lived through the depression. I always hear people complaining about this or that. When they are living in a homes larger than many Southern plantations. And they have ac today. People today live better than many kings ever did. Yet are bitching about they deserve more. ITs a bunch of cry babies who all want a participation trophy for showing up. Flip over the checker board and cry when they lose. I...
I feel the same way at time it was recently I watch a kissinger video and what really stuck in my mind is the description your giving is almost the same as his. He explains it is something that has to do with not being effected by struggle. The nearest analogy I can make to it is if you give someone something they have NOT struggled for the goes unappreciated and undervalued to the point that "it" in itself is now expected because it was freely given away it must not have any value at all. The more you give the more dependent you make a person or group of people. So never ever give anything to anyone because they are not ready for it and it becomes a curse.
  • #102,096
  • Edited 7:58pm Jul 5, 2022 7:40pm | Edited 7:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the eu presses 0273.x and holds. The uc can reach those targets.. When you look at the ec it can move up. Its not needing to drop deep into .99xx. That may let the u/chf move up easier. Its not at a multidecade level.. It was here last month. Its easier for the chf to take 400 plus pips North, Than the eu to take the last 250 pips to 1.0,, Or at least the uc has done it freely, lately, more often. {image}
I see the big month pin bars on the chf.. But those may be the better usd pair to long over the euro. Unless the EC is allowed to drop. I got a bullish day setup on the swiss. That bottom day being the low. It can still drop to .9599. But if 09548 holds it. It should clear 9772. It may not hit my entry before going there.

Looking for some action in the E session and a low around 9648. If its a miss around 9599 is the low area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,097
  • Jul 5, 2022 8:16pm Jul 5, 2022 8:16pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I feel the same way at time it was recently I watch a kissinger video and what really stuck in my mind is the description your giving is almost the same as his. He explains it is something that has to do with not being effected by struggle. The nearest analogy I can make to it is if you give someone something they have NOT struggled for the goes unappreciated and undervalued to the point that "it" in itself is now expected because it was freely given away it must not have any value at all. The more you give the more dependent you make a...
Yeah but your probably missing something else. If you have a job today. And you bought a home, new car etc. You probably bought it with a low interest loan from the bank (FED backed low interest loan.) So your probably not seeing or realizing it. Your loan is/was government subsidized. Its no different than food stamps or other entitlements. Its basically a participation trophy. Everybody gets one. The entire market system is subsidized from stocks on down. People don't want to hear the truth. Because they think they did it on their own. Believe it or not, our parents, and grand parents worked harder than us. Yet we live better them. A bigger house, a full belly. And we bitch about shit we are just as guilty of. I remember getting loans for 12%. If you could make it in business on 12%. You knew what you were doing. I'm not saying we should not go with the flow. But being a hypocrite about it, make me laugh at others. That 2.5% loan on a home is warfare.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,098
  • Jul 5, 2022 9:25pm Jul 5, 2022 9:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
A possible Chf long 9648/50.. Small stop 9646/34. Watch for candle confirmation.. st tp 9705 1719 9739 9776.. ATm CHF at 9682

I look for the entry i think attracts pa. That being 9648x.. But 9665 and 9660 is acceptable. I miss a lot of trades. I want the smaller s/l with the larger lot. It may miss my entry.. It may not get below 9638 support. My best chance to get the 9648/50 entry is early Europe session. I said 9638 support.. 9646/47 could be the low... It may not go below 9646.. That gives 9648/50 a surgical precise entry. With a 3-4 pip stop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #102,099
  • Jul 5, 2022 9:49pm Jul 5, 2022 9:49pm
Partitions theory...for current week, perfect alignment on EURUSD of Up and Down minimum retracement at 1.03485...while below, more LL is expected to come, while above, more HH is expected to come...
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I am who I am
  • #102,100
  • Jul 6, 2022 12:55am Jul 6, 2022 12:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} In the 1970 ties there was a war. It too needed to be paid for. The U.S. left the gold standard. If your under 50, you have been living in Ozz (if your over 50 and don't remember, wake up). They stole all your grandparents money to fund this thing. Houses are 4X as big as your parents home. We live among a bunch of spoiled, entitled brats. That are still sucking on great grandma's tits. Geo politically the pangolin may be swinging. Europe is set to spend more for defense. That frees up some usd WW2 tax. It adds to EZ cost. That and the energy...
Bro I’d argue the boomers are the most selfish, ruthless, and outright evil generation this planet has ever seen. The robbed from both the past and the future and milked the 40 year everything bubble while raping the planet just for shits and giggles. We are seeing the repercussions as this Secular bull that started in 1982 comes to a climactic conclusion. The only thing standing in the way is the fed, and they have a lot of ammo still. I’d argue we are currently in a recession, and Powell is going to be forced to pivot this summer, the knock on effects of that might be a dramatic weakening of the dollar and a parabolic move up in equity prices, followed by a massive deflationary bust and a USD rally like we haven’t seen since Volcker that ultimately had to be ended by the Plaza accord. In that scenario I can definitely see the Euro below 0.8, per your call …
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