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The Swamp

  • #101,861
  • Jun 30, 2022 5:08am Jun 30, 2022 5:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bears have also reversed H4 per system I.. now both sys H4 are downtrend.. more drop may come for next a few days... {image}
Eur continued its bearish move..
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  • #101,862
  • Jun 30, 2022 5:48am Jun 30, 2022 5:48am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Eur continued its bearish move.. {image}
waiting US inflation.. in an hour 40 mins
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  • #101,863
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:04am Jun 30, 2022 6:04am
Quoting saninvestor
If it drop to 0410, I will tp all old shorts. Then I will look for a bounce again to 0699/0716. I don't know If it bounce from support. It depends on close Q and month today. btw, I think this trampoline is still intact. 0410 is below some S. So I have to be more patient to tp my shorts.
Target reached. All shorts closed. Bears made it for my 0410. From now, I will look for reversal signs. It can still drop more. 0580/95 and 0699/716 are what I do expect. I know all looks bearish. No bulls atm. But we are now on trampoline surface again. I will watch pa to find if trampoline will crash or not. It has a high quality shock absorber I think. If the bears are too over weight, it will break. Waiting...
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,864
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:07am Jun 30, 2022 6:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {quote} possible short from 0477/86 ish R. The day close was below 0444 {image}
She made to the 100 extension. At hand next is closes below 0414. Bears need to make it below this, to touch 0350.. Bears need to make a LL. That is not guaranteed.
IMHO it also needs to close below 0421 (month plus close). Either one of these may be enough. I do have a 0.8xx target. I don't know if this is the month it breaks support. Today may break it all, or it may bounce once again. Close to 0340 is where this comes together. Close is now. Its less than 100 from 0339.. A new b/o Lower low, or a bounce. The last time here. 0380 was support low. Bears want a close below 0380,proably a 4h. Not holding it and 0414 closes below could be a bounce.

This is a multidecade low attempt to break support. The little indicators and even these 4h closes are no match. to hold this one. A year close was rejected in the past decade. That's why I think it needs -0421 closed, and a LL. This could be a trap for bulls/bears. It can close below 0421, and not make a LL. But it still may be bearish. This could trap bulls. Another way can be a new LL to entice bears, but not close below 0421. I think bears need a LL and a close below 0421. Its made the LL in the past with a fresh new year LL, it was rejected. The support not closed below was 0421. In that failed year close. Not a single month closed below since. The lowest low close on larger time frames in 19 years is 0620.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,865
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:34am Jun 30, 2022 6:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Eur continued its bearish move.. {image}
I have very tiny Eur shorts going.. trade with trend ..not catching falling knife...some coffee money now...
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  • #101,866
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:37am Jun 30, 2022 6:37am
0380 has 3 small confluence supports here. No match for a multi decade support.. But i didn't make them.. Pa did. I just point to them.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,867
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:41am Jun 30, 2022 6:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I have very tiny shorts going..at least trade with trend ..not catching falling knife...some coffee money now... {image}
just don't hold losers. Close below 0380.. Not above 0414.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,868
  • Jun 30, 2022 6:57am Jun 30, 2022 6:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I have very tiny Eur shorts going.. trade with trend ..not catching falling knife...some coffee money now... {image}
I took a little long.. Risk 0.15%. Sl 1.0338. tp 1.0830. I may do 1 or 2 more with the same risk %. I'm probably pissing $ away. risking 50 pips to make near 450. If it don't close below 0380, I may have made the right move. If it closes above 0414 my odds increase a little, Still lots of time to break 0339.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,869
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:16am Jun 30, 2022 7:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I took a little long.. Risk 0.15%. Sl 1.0338. tp 1.0830. I may do 1 or 2 more with the same risk %. I'm probably pissing $ away. risking 50 pips to make near 450. If it don't close below 0380, I may have made the right move. If it closes above 0414 my odds increase a little, Still lots of time to break 0339.
This and a "all you can eat" Mexican buffet can get things moving. But I may not like the results. 30 min has a pin. Hope is a terrible thing. Stop the drop now, and close today above 0421. And I may have made the right choice. That's doubtful atm,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,870
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:22am Jun 30, 2022 7:22am
I got a chance/
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,871
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:26am Jun 30, 2022 7:26am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,872
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:29am Jun 30, 2022 7:29am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,873
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:38am Jun 30, 2022 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} She made to the 100 extension. At hand next is closes below 0414. Bears need to make it below this, to touch 0350.. Bears need to make a LL. That is not guaranteed. IMHO it also needs to close below 0421 (month plus close). Either one of these may be enough. I do have a 0.8xx target. I don't know if this is the month it breaks support. Today may break it all, or it may bounce once again. Close to 0340 is where this comes together. Close is now. Its less than 100 from 0339.. A new b/o Lower low, or a bounce. The last time...
A 4h close above 0414. May give me just enough hope, to disappoint me. If she drops later. Above 0421 needed and more. But bears with a close today above 0421 may be like.. If you wonder why people say don't trade month end.. Welcome to the Twilight Zone. Q and mid year end. Where she can move 200 pips or more today.


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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,874
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:43am Jun 30, 2022 7:43am
yeahhh!!!
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,875
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:44am Jun 30, 2022 7:44am
Quoting gatorinla
yeahhh!!! {image}
rotten mmutha23$%%%^U
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,876
  • Jun 30, 2022 7:47am Jun 30, 2022 7:47am
welcome to Q end, testing a decade low.. These are few.. The ass you save not trading, may be your own.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,877
  • Jun 30, 2022 8:01am Jun 30, 2022 8:01am
My unlikely question. The bastard didn't run back to 047x/8x in Asian session. Will she in the next 2 hs? Its unlikely.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,878
  • Jun 30, 2022 8:02am Jun 30, 2022 8:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} just don't hold losers. Close below 0380.. Not above 0414. {image}
I am starting to scalp long Eur as long as the low holds 0384,
Friging gold shoot up.. I was long 1805 and closed before the news.. now 1821
  • #101,879
  • Jun 30, 2022 8:18am Jun 30, 2022 8:18am
0414..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,880
  • Jun 30, 2022 8:27am Jun 30, 2022 8:27am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am starting to scalp long Eur as long as the low holds 0384, Friging gold shoot up.. I was long 1805 and closed before the news.. now 1821
flat for now,,
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