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  • #101,601
  • Jun 20, 2022 6:04am Jun 20, 2022 6:04am
EU loves 100 pip move riddles. Friday's low. Rhymes with the atm high today. Above 0568, is 0642.. Another rhyme.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,602
  • Jun 20, 2022 6:15am Jun 20, 2022 6:15am
If it continues to close above 0522. I will have a bullish bias. If it starts closing above 0528, its likely to rise. Even so, 0495 may be another soft support. It could bounce from them all. My bullish bias degrades or increases. With closes on the side of these levels

Closing below 0495 is better for bears to get back to 0480. ADR 0580?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,603
  • Jun 20, 2022 6:28am Jun 20, 2022 6:28am
Quoting gatorinla
If it continues to close above 0522. I will have a bullish bias. If it starts closing above 0528, its likely to rise. Even so, 0495 may be another soft support. It could bounce from them all. My bullish bias degrades or increases. With closes on the side of these levels Closing below 0495 is better for bears to get back to 0480. ADR 0580?
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testing 0522 light support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,604
  • Jun 20, 2022 6:45am Jun 20, 2022 6:45am
The 3 largest levels i have for closes. These may be relevant for June close. All with over a decade of pa. 0421 0520-0506 (depending on broker) and 0835.5. Atm pa is above the 2 lower ones. 10 days left before the month close. I wouldn't be surprised to see a rise, and a drop near the month's end. Regardless bears need a new decade LL and a large close below. Like June, Q and mid year close below 0421. If not, this 03xx bottom may hold longer. If this dont happen. 0835 is not so far away. It may need to consolidate in a range within 03xx and 0835.. A 500 pip riddle.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,605
  • Jun 20, 2022 7:09am Jun 20, 2022 7:09am
It didnt close above 0528. if 0522 is lost.. some possible re-entry support at 0495. If 0495 is close below. 0480 is a light support. 0513 is part of 0568 system. It may support..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,606
  • Jun 21, 2022 2:59am Jun 21, 2022 2:59am
fyi
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  • #101,607
  • Edited 5:03am Jun 21, 2022 4:48am | Edited 5:03am
Quoting Boulder
fyi {image}
adr about 0610. 3 soldiers (bullish). usually want to buy the retrace. It closed 4h above 0567/68. If it falls now and gets below 0568.. possible buy 0547ish. Or maybe 0567/68 acts as some support. If it closed below 0567 it may fall more.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,608
  • Edited 5:14am Jun 21, 2022 5:02am | Edited 5:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} adr about 0610. 3 soldiers (bullish). usually want to buy the retrace. It closed 4h above 0567/68. If it falls now and gets below 0568.. possible buy 0557ish. Or maybe 0567/68 acts as some support. If it closed below 0567 it may fall more. {image}
It just closed below 0567.. Maybe some support 0547
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,609
  • Jun 21, 2022 5:06am Jun 21, 2022 5:06am
Trying a long 0540/42.. But 0547 may prevent.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,610
  • Jun 21, 2022 5:33am Jun 21, 2022 5:33am
Quoting gatorinla
Trying a long 0540/42.. But 0547 may prevent.
Looking bullish.. I will try for 0547/48
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,611
  • Jun 21, 2022 5:52am Jun 21, 2022 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} adr about 0610. 3 soldiers (bullish). usually want to buy the retrace. It closed 4h above 0567/68. If it falls now and gets below 0568.. possible buy 0547ish. Or maybe 0567/68 acts as some support. If it closed below 0567 it may fall more. {image}
pa hit option level, got rejected, back down to rebalance of this Asian session move.. not sure it will go up to test again or not in US session.
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  • #101,612
  • Jun 21, 2022 6:14am Jun 21, 2022 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Looking bullish.. I will try for 0547/48
Need the 1h plus to start closing 0558+ now. I does have that chance to test 0540.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,613
  • Jun 21, 2022 7:22am Jun 21, 2022 7:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Looking bullish.. I will try for 0547/48
thanks for the level, quick scalped 6 times last hour.,,
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  • #101,614
  • Jun 21, 2022 7:50am Jun 21, 2022 7:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Need the 1h plus to start closing 0558+ now. I does have that chance to test 0540. {image}
odds for 0699/0716 increased. 0410 is opposite. I'm trying to hedge shorts here around 0555. If it rise first to 0716, I will look for exit longs around that level and wait for 0410 to exit shorts. If it drop to 0410 first, I will look for exit shorts there and wait for another bounce to 0716. But since it closed 12h above 0571, it has more chance to rise.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,615
  • Jun 21, 2022 8:13am Jun 21, 2022 8:13am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} odds for 0699/0716 increased. 0410 is opposite. I'm trying to hedge shorts here around 0555. If it rise first to 0716, I will look for exit longs around that level and wait for 0410 to exit shorts. If it drop to 0410 first, I will look for exit shorts there and wait for another bounce to 0716. But since it closed 12h above 0571, it has more chance to rise.
I dont like the 4h just closing below 0568. It may need 0540
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,616
  • Jun 21, 2022 8:34am Jun 21, 2022 8:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont like the 4h just closing below 0568. It may need 0540
Previous 4h was a 12h close. I will wait for day close. If it close below my 0571 or your 0568, I will close longs. Jun was not a good month for me. That f..ing fomc 0.75 raise made me do the opposite of what I was expecting correctly. Now I have 0699/0716 and 0410 to be touched. We are almost in center atm. I have doubts. A 12h closed above my R. Now 4h closed below. I think I need to wait for day close.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,617
  • Jun 21, 2022 9:26am Jun 21, 2022 9:26am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Previous 4h was a 12h close. I will wait for day close. If it close below my 0571 or your 0568, I will close longs. Jun was not a good month for me. That f..ing fomc 0.75 raise made me do the opposite of what I was expecting correctly. Now I have 0699/0716 and 0410 to be touched. We are almost in center atm. I have doubts. A 12h closed above my R. Now 4h closed below. I think I need to wait for day close.
I lean North, later South. But it can hit 0540 maybe less before in my thinking. I hope if its to form a bull flag, and 0540 supports it. Back to 0644ish or more. Its so close to 0540. I had hopes 0547/48 would hold it earlier. Now the 4h being below 0568. It seems to want more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,618
  • Jun 21, 2022 9:36am Jun 21, 2022 9:36am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Previous 4h was a 12h close. I will wait for day close. If it close below my 0571 or your 0568, I will close longs. Jun was not a good month for me. That f..ing fomc 0.75 raise made me do the opposite of what I was expecting correctly. Now I have 0699/0716 and 0410 to be touched. We are almost in center atm. I have doubts. A 12h closed above my R. Now 4h closed below. I think I need to wait for day close.
The 4h was above 0547/48. I have to stick with the 12h.. If the 1h starts closes below 0547.9 I may be in trouble. As it stands. 0540 help me. I need the day above 0568 and the HH to feel ok about the long. ATm low the last few hours is 0544.. 0642 is 98 away.. EU likes 100 pip moves.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,619
  • Jun 21, 2022 9:39am Jun 21, 2022 9:39am
just noise and no decisions. it needs to break 1 side.
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i don't deal in fundamentals that much but to me it's just preparing for next 2 days of Mr. Powell.
The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,620
  • Jun 21, 2022 9:48am Jun 21, 2022 9:48am
EU often moves 100 pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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