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The Swamp

  • #101,561
  • Jun 17, 2022 9:51am Jun 17, 2022 9:51am
Quoting Connors
{quote} Well done, I stayed away due to giant move yesterday, it felt safer to sit on my hands and wait for levels to get clearer. Just waiting where London will close today. If - seems unlikely - it manages to close above yesterday's London close 1.0507, US session may piss off bears once again I guess.
0382/6 can be reached if it touch my last target 0410. It has probably enough time to go there today.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,562
  • Jun 17, 2022 9:54am Jun 17, 2022 9:54am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} 0382/6 can be reached if it touch my last target 0410. It has probably enough time to go there today.
I can't say I will be surprised or shocked if that happens, it is making 50+ pips moves as if it is nothing lately.

PS: By the way your 1000th post was adressed to me, I feel delighted (:
Congratulations..!
  • #101,563
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:04am Jun 17, 2022 10:04am
Quoting Connors
{quote} I can't say I will be surprised or shocked if that happens, it is making 50+ pips moves as if it is nothing lately. PS: By the way your 1000th post was adressed to me, I feel delighted (: Congratulations..!
Oh yes mate. Thank you
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,564
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:09am Jun 17, 2022 10:09am
Quoting Connors
{quote} I can't say I will be surprised or shocked if that happens, it is making 50+ pips moves as if it is nothing lately. PS: By the way your 1000th post was adressed to me, I feel delighted (: Congratulations..!
Get a room..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,565
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:15am Jun 17, 2022 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
Weak support on the way down, becomes weak R on a bounce.. {image}
with 0480 sitting there, i dont know if it can attract to 0490 or 0428.. Anyway if it makes 0590 and closes below 0480.. bears may be back.. The same with 0528.. Time sensitive.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,566
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:30am Jun 17, 2022 10:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Get a room..
Bored to death, I miss some bromance
  • #101,567
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:36am Jun 17, 2022 10:36am
Quoting Connors
{quote} Bored to death, I miss some bromance
A man gotta do, what a man gotta do.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,568
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:42am Jun 17, 2022 10:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} with 0480 sitting there, i dont know if it can attract to 0490 or 0428.. Anyway if it makes 0590 and closes below 0480.. bears may be back.. The same with 0528.. Time sensitive.
typo.. but change to 0489 can attract. 0528
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,569
  • Jun 17, 2022 10:57am Jun 17, 2022 10:57am
In a 1h the 4h closes. Its best for bears below 0480. The last 4h missed -0480. If missed this time, odds should increase for 0489 or 0523

.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,570
  • Edited 12:13pm Jun 17, 2022 12:03pm | Edited 12:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
In a 1h the 4h closes. Its best for bears below 0480. The last 4h missed -0480. If missed this time, odds should increase for 0489 or 0523 . https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wHDgt2HYpnk&t=18s {image}
4h closed below 0480.. Shorts are little safer. 0480 a little stronger R. But it still may run to 0489/90, 0r 0522
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,571
  • Jun 17, 2022 2:33pm Jun 17, 2022 2:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 4h closed below 0480.. Shorts are little safer. 0480 a little stronger R. But it still may run to 0489/90, 0r 0522 {image}
That last 4h close is looking like BS. A close today above 0498 may be bullish. Better odds to retest above 0422 0567 0644. If the close is above 1.0506.8 or 0520 it will probably go to 0567 again or more.

0786 or 0.99xx is next. The closer to 0786 without breaking it., The better Reward to risk.

Price is between 0480 and 0567.. 87 pips.. 0523/24 in the middle.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,572
  • Jun 17, 2022 3:25pm Jun 17, 2022 3:25pm
How are you boulder? You didn't post here for a while. Waiting for cot data.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,573
  • Jun 17, 2022 3:47pm Jun 17, 2022 3:47pm
COT looks interesting…
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #101,574
  • Jun 17, 2022 4:46pm Jun 17, 2022 4:46pm
Quoting saninvestor
How are you boulder? You didn't post here for a while. Waiting for cot data.
I am doing ok, just another normal day, not much excitement , I have been trading Eur using M5 and M1 small time frames , I will check COT data next.
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  • #101,575
  • Jun 17, 2022 4:52pm Jun 17, 2022 4:52pm
COT report for June 14th, the day before FMOC, hedge funds cut massive Eur longs and added massive Eur shorts for the week. ( I guess they got short squeezed after FMOC meeting )
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  • #101,576
  • Jun 17, 2022 5:44pm Jun 17, 2022 5:44pm
Quoting Boulder
COT report for June 14th, the day before FMOC, hedge funds cut massive Eur longs and added massive Eur shorts for the week. ( I guess they got short squeezed after FMOC meeting ) {image}
Now the balance has changed to short. Just need that LL and close below 0421.. I look to sell and hold some longer. Possible bounce to 0522 67, 0602 or 0642. If the Forex gods wanna squeeze it. The late close was somewhat less bearish. Its below 0567 bearish, but not able to hold below 0480. So it has a chance to rise enough to screw the overleveraged before a large fall. You cant trust that it will rise. So to avoid over leveraging. Sell small positions on a rise. Or do the same on a fall.. Those small ones add up if you get a large b/o. I have the next decent support at 1.0008. That near 500 pips. Those small shorts added up X 500 will look good.

I may not tp much till she drops.. Place a b.e. and trail down
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,577
  • Jun 18, 2022 7:46am Jun 18, 2022 7:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Now the balance has changed to short. Just need that LL and close below 0421.. I look to sell and hold some longer. Possible bounce to 0522 67, 0602 or 0642. If the Forex gods wanna squeeze it. The late close was somewhat less bearish. Its below 0567 bearish, but not able to hold below 0480. So it has a chance to rise enough to screw the overleveraged before a large fall. You cant trust that it will rise. So to avoid over leveraging. Sell small positions on a rise. Or do the same on a fall.. Those small ones add up if you get a large b/o....
I got 1 question. A .75% raise, and pa rises. My question being: Is the Fed and ECB coordinating a peg in the EU? It just don't seem right. Are they trying to stop, or slow a RU fall? This would be a way to slow inflation in the EZ and U.S. Just a thought.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,578
  • Jun 18, 2022 8:04am Jun 18, 2022 8:04am
something has to be done ( or try to stop inflation on the countries of south..if not will go hungry... the price of energy takes the cake after house rent and food... how do we go to the doctor?
  • #101,579
  • Edited 12:05pm Jun 18, 2022 11:46am | Edited 12:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Now the balance has changed to short. Just need that LL and close below 0421.. I look to sell and hold some longer. Possible bounce to 0522 67, 0602 or 0642. If the Forex gods wanna squeeze it. The late close was somewhat less bearish. Its below 0567 bearish, but not able to hold below 0480. So it has a chance to rise enough to screw the overleveraged before a large fall. You cant trust that it will rise. So to avoid over leveraging. Sell small positions on a rise. Or do the same on a fall.. Those small ones add up if you get a large b/o....
After the biggest raise since 1994. It didn't make a LL, It didn't close below 0421. Or the weaker level -0480 week close. It did close above 0496. I need to keep in mind. All this could be FED involvement. It could be a way to ease some of the energy prices in Europe. It could help the alliance against Russian oil to survive,

It can still make the lower low, and close below 0421. What the evidence has shown is a bounce after FOMC, Not only a bounce. The retrace that followed is above 0421 to close the week, Man after that COT is seems all bearish. Taking a larger view and it has a chance Above 0568.. I know COT is bearish,, But the chart alone not making a LL scares me, //i could even long now,, I may wait to see pa before loading the shorts. The day candle bullish engulfed Wednesday's candle. This thing has a shot of a larger bounce. If it is some sort of CB influence to the upside. It could pass 0522 and 0567. It could pass 0642 ad more. Bears need to stand up or go home, Possible short 0922 0835 08068. Bears need to keep pa below 0567/68.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,580
  • Jun 18, 2022 11:53am Jun 18, 2022 11:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} After the biggest raise since 2094. It didn't make a LL, It didn't close below 0421. Or the weaker level -0480 week close. It did close above 0496. I need to keep in mind. All this could be FED involvement. It could be a way to ease some of the energy prices in Europe. It could help the alliance against Russian oil to survive, It can still make the lower low, and close below 0421. What the evidence has shown is a bounce after FOMC, Not only a bounce. The retrace that followed is above 0421 to close the week, Man after that COT is seems all...
Watch your bets don't get a bias you know things change fast but there are always hints before it happens.
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