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The Swamp

  • #101,501
  • Jun 15, 2022 3:08pm Jun 15, 2022 3:08pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I scared of dropping wild after 0.75 raise. So I closed longs. I lost all Jun profit. Btw I still looking to 0699/0716 as some sweet spot to go short. I won't leave pending there.
st 0470/71 looks interesting. I will treat 0421 like a pivot. The other side of that st could be 0325. The 12h dont look to get that Lower close b/o today. Maybe in Asia /Europe 12h close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,502
  • Jun 15, 2022 3:17pm Jun 15, 2022 3:17pm
There is still some time. Maybe if it closes below 0421, I have to get a close to be more serous. June close is still 2 weeks away. ST 0470/71 could be a spark. I just get scared to say this close to day's end.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,503
  • Jun 15, 2022 3:21pm Jun 15, 2022 3:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} st 0470/71 looks interesting. I will treat 0421 like a pivot. The other side of that st could be 0325. The 12h dont look to get that Lower close b/o today. Maybe in Asia /Europe 12h close.
It has reached that st spot.

Its so close to rollover and 0421,, I cant say. Another place in another time I would had loaded the boat. I aint like that no more.



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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,504
  • Jun 15, 2022 3:37pm Jun 15, 2022 3:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} st 0470/71 looks interesting. I will treat 0421 like a pivot. The other side of that st could be 0325. The 12h dont look to get that Lower close b/o today. Maybe in Asia /Europe 12h close.
Change to 0335 since its short term.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,505
  • Jun 15, 2022 5:55pm Jun 15, 2022 5:55pm
Kiwi may have a 200 pip drop if it closes below that support .6263.. see chart target 6030 ish.. (6026x)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,506
  • Jun 15, 2022 6:38pm Jun 15, 2022 6:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
Kiwi may have a 200 pip drop if it closes below that support .6263.. see chart target 6030 ish.. (6026x) {image} {image}
Support held. No trade short if support holds. It may be building a small bear flag. Support maybe tested again.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,507
  • Jun 15, 2022 8:53pm Jun 15, 2022 8:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It has reached that st spot. Its so close to rollover and 0421,, I cant say. Another place in another time I would had loaded the boat. I aint like that no more. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GnWalWAmryk {image}
ST tried.. hitting st s
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,508
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:13pm Jun 15, 2022 10:13pm
these numbers have created a soft supp and res zone in the chart.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,509
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:33pm Jun 15, 2022 10:33pm
Well this yellow line is sure putting up some work. But if broken though we are open for some ABC pattern identification to both sides until then its heavily bear biased.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,510
  • Jun 16, 2022 3:50am Jun 16, 2022 3:50am
Quoting gatorinla
A 12h close below 0397 (today's close) is not a good sign for bulls. That is below 0421. A week close below 0421 is stronger. June close below 0421 would be very indicative. I still expect a low -1.0. Eventually 0.8xx. If one goes back before year 2001 , 0.6xx could be more = to year 1970. As long as energy cost more in Europe. More industry with heavy energy uses, will go where energy is cheaper. The U.S. experienced this with labor (rust belt). Labor cost are very tiny comparably to energy. If you want to make a widget. You want to make it at...
The day closed above 0421, That was not indicative of a drop. Although my trends are down. In a few minutes the12 will close. Closing below 0421 could be bearish. Closing below 0397 would be the lowest 12h close in years.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,511
  • Jun 16, 2022 4:41am Jun 16, 2022 4:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The day closed above 0421, That was not indicative of a drop. Although my trends are down. In a few minutes the12 will close. Closing below 0421 could be bearish. Closing below 0397 would be the lowest 12h close in years. {image}
12h held under 0421.. At some point, it will be strong. At some point nothing will pass through 0421. I had hoped the 12h would close under 0397. It closed between both. If 0421 holds as R. As a pivot the opposite of 0406 is 0335. The Eu loves 100 pips. So it may wick to 0425/26, 33, or 44. But if it can not close above 0421. It may be indicative. Using 0335, and the 100 pips. That 0433 wick has a shot.

Bulls have to close above 0421 and make it support. Yesterday bulls held the day close above. That was unusual to me after the .75 cut. Bulls have to do that all over again today. Bulls lost the 12 close bears under 0421. Bulls were able to hold the 12h close above 0397. Kinda a draw. Either side needs to continue holding the closes. Or she should run to the winning side.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,512
  • Jun 16, 2022 4:55am Jun 16, 2022 4:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 12h held under 0421.. At some point, it will be strong. At some point nothing will pass through 0421. I had hoped the 12h would close under 0397. It closed between both. If 0421 holds as R. As a pivot the opposite of 0406 is 0335. The Eu loves 100 pips. So it may wick to 0425/26, 33, or 44. But if it can not close above 0421. It may be indicative. Using 0335, and the 100 pips. That 0433 wick has a shot. Bulls have to close above 0421 and make it support. Yesterday bulls held the day close above. That was unusual to me after the .75 cut....
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,513
  • Jun 16, 2022 5:01am Jun 16, 2022 5:01am
15 min bearish engulfed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,514
  • Jun 16, 2022 5:05am Jun 16, 2022 5:05am
on 15 mins this a double top for me. i will wait it to reach the circled (0442) area and i will short it there. hope fully it will bounce till there in next hour. Continuation of downtrend is more likely now. 0500 bounce is not in the cards at least today. tmrw is CPI though maybe then.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,515
  • Jun 16, 2022 5:10am Jun 16, 2022 5:10am
Quoting gatorinla
15 min bearish engulfed. {image}
30 min looks like this.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,516
  • Edited 5:32am Jun 16, 2022 5:19am | Edited 5:32am
gbp is looking far more easy right now to trade. it has everything double top, 50, 61.8 to retrace. if it breaks 61.8 with a bullish pattern it will fly though but chances are less likely for that.
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something is up with euro. Are they trying to trap? if yes then whom.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,517
  • Jun 16, 2022 6:56am Jun 16, 2022 6:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 12h held under 0421.. At some point, it will be strong. At some point nothing will pass through 0421. I had hoped the 12h would close under 0397. It closed between both. If 0421 holds as R. As a pivot the opposite of 0406 is 0335. The Eu loves 100 pips. So it may wick to 0425/26, 33, or 44. But if it can not close above 0421. It may be indicative. Using 0335, and the 100 pips. That 0433 wick has a shot. Bulls have to close above 0421 and make it support. Yesterday bulls held the day close above. That was unusual to me...
Its wicked to 0426 now. It may be ripe to fall. A close this h below 0396 may start it.

If not ready to fall. It may create a range to trade
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,518
  • Jun 16, 2022 8:02am Jun 16, 2022 8:02am
4 hr close 0427. my 0500 bounce chance has increased now. let's see how the yellow line reacts when price will come back to it. also there are 2 soft R in the path of 0500. ABC pattern will be fulfilled at 50%. if it starts breaking low from there then it's a good sell but this will not happen this week so no significance. 0500 better sell this week.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #101,519
  • Jun 16, 2022 8:40am Jun 16, 2022 8:40am
Short entered scalp 0465 for 0410
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #101,520
  • Jun 16, 2022 8:46am Jun 16, 2022 8:46am
i am in at 0458 for 0427.
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The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
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