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The Swamp

  • #100,721
  • May 18, 2022 9:53am May 18, 2022 9:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
EU trying.. If it breaks.. 0456.7 needs a close below to fall. It may bounce back to 0495 if it cant break 0456.7. That bounce, may be a chance to short, and hold. As long as its closing below 0495.. see chart. If it cant break below 0495.x now. It will bounce. Breaks require closes to drop to the next level. They are not trustworthy w/o closes. Even with closes some unseen dangers are present.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,722
  • May 18, 2022 10:00am May 18, 2022 10:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} She started moving again. us 30 {image}
month s1 32074.5 us 30
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,723
  • May 18, 2022 10:26am May 18, 2022 10:26am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I pushed first target a little higher to 0493.
Waiting for next. I pushed also 2nd target to 0457 since I know it's better to trust gator's numbers.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #100,724
  • May 18, 2022 11:47am May 18, 2022 11:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} EU trying.. If it breaks.. 0456.7 needs a close below to fall. It may bounce back to 0495 if it cant break 0456.7. That bounce, may be a chance to short, and hold. As long as its closing below 0495.. see chart. If it cant break below 0495.x now. It will bounce. Breaks require closes to drop to the next level. They are not trustworthy w/o closes. Even with closes some unseen dangers are present. {image}
You can see the first 2 dips below 0495 bounced. They never closed below 0495.

The third closed below 0495. So far, it has held under 0495. The chart is showing 15 min candles. It has a 1h close below. A 4h would be stronger. A day even stronger. A new day close below 0556. Should help a drop. Better for bears to close it below 0506 and 0495. Things are still not stable. 0506.8 is a big one. It has a week close below. With the multi year low in the 1.03xx area. That week close below 0506.8 is not so strong. A month close is better., A quarter even better. A year better yet. 0506.8 is the lowest month close since 2016. PA hasn't closed a month below 0506.8 since 2002. With 12 days left in the month. It may stall some. 6 weeks left in the quarter.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,725
  • May 18, 2022 12:08pm May 18, 2022 12:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You can see the first 2 dips below 0495 bounced. They never closed below 0495. The third closed below 0495. So far, it has held under 0495. The chart is showing 15 min candles. It has a 1h close below. A 4h would be stronger. A day even stronger. A new day close below 0556. Should help a drop. Better for bears to close it below 0506 and 0495. Things are still not stable. 0506.8 is a big one. It has a week close below. With the multi year low in the 1.03xx area. That week close below 0506.8 is not so strong. A month close is better., A quarter...
W/o know if the low at 0349 will hold or not. If pa makes a move North. It may overtake the pendings i set at 0542 enough to stop me out. Just to piss me off. If this low holds for now. I do see some pure pa R at 0642 for close direction. So pa may end up in the 0664 area, maybe higher. Maybe 0680. Wherever it is. Timing it could affect 0680, for now closing the day below is bearish. Later closing a day below 0642/41 could be a indication of a fall. That fall would need to start closing below 0506 again to drop.

I base this on the current low and 0642. If the bounce was to be higher, than 0767 would take its place. Since 03xx is that multi year low. It can bounce a decent amount. even if its on its way to break 1.0 later.

I promise you this. It will break the 0349 low, or go to 0642 or more next.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,726
  • May 18, 2022 12:20pm May 18, 2022 12:20pm
The eu loves 100 pips. 0456 is a support needing closes below to fall. 0556 closes are needed to rise. This isn't my numbers. I didn't pull them out my ass.

.0506x between them
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,727
  • May 18, 2022 12:24pm May 18, 2022 12:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} month s1 32074.5 us 30 {image}
Dow down 1000 points today.. I longed one here 31708, 200 pips stop,, probably not going to hold...
  • #100,728
  • May 18, 2022 1:25pm May 18, 2022 1:25pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dow down 1000 points today.. I longed one here 31708, 200 pips stop,, probably not going to hold...
I look to build a few eu longs 0457, see chart. On the touch of 0456x. Nothing crazy, but if its not going to make that new low this time. I figure it will go to 0642.. Lots of "ifs".
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,729
  • May 18, 2022 1:35pm May 18, 2022 1:35pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dow down 1000 points today.. I longed one here 31708, 200 pips stop,, probably not going to hold...
I told yall to watch Copper, Walmart, Cat, BDS, etc. That's all China. Inflation, especially world food inflation. Stops/slows discretionary spending. If you spend more for food. You spend less on other stuff. Walmart sells both. Food markups are tighter. Each dollar spent at Walmart for food. Has a tighter profit margin. (they make less profit on food, than discretionary products)

You cant include home improvement so much in this. Higher interest rates cause some to keep the house they are in. They spend more fixing their current home.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,730
  • May 18, 2022 1:46pm May 18, 2022 1:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I look to build a few eu longs 0457, see chart. On the touch of 0456x. Nothing crazy, but if its not going to make that new low this time. I figure it will go to 0642.. Lots of "ifs".
The tl is above where i want to long. If it starts closing above 0480, I may have missed it. If it closes above 0495, my missing odds increase. The trend bein down, I rather wait for 0457. To have a sterol trade. No emotions tied to it. I have risk, but a tiny amount of pips. This is against trend.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,731
  • May 18, 2022 1:51pm May 18, 2022 1:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I look to build a few eu longs 0457, see chart. On the touch of 0456x. Nothing crazy, but if its not going to make that new low this time. I figure it will go to 0642.. Lots of "ifs".
This downtrend has been strong and steady. I hope it goes back up because I have an underwater GU long.
  • #100,732
  • May 18, 2022 1:53pm May 18, 2022 1:53pm
Any of these yellow lines could be a 1, 5, 15, 30 60, min candle scalp. They are all st support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,733
  • May 18, 2022 2:26pm May 18, 2022 2:26pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} This downtrend has been strong and steady. I hope it goes back up because I have an underwater GU long.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} GBP needs to close above those marked.. it has a 4h above,, it needs a day and week plus.. 12439 and 61.. St those purples may slap it below.. {image}
It was a trap
Yesterday day missed the close above 2498.. its going to 2328x or deeper. Just like the eu and 0556
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,734
  • May 18, 2022 2:33pm May 18, 2022 2:33pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} This downtrend has been strong and steady. I hope it goes back up because I have an underwater GU long.
so many retail longs across the board. need patience.
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #100,735
  • May 18, 2022 2:41pm May 18, 2022 2:41pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Waiting for next. I pushed also 2nd target to 0457 since I know it's better to trust gator's numbers.
Just closed all shorts 0466 about 9 pips before my tp. It was 96 pips for me. I hope every bounce remain a sell opportunity in long term. Fortunately I was patient enough to start selling top enough.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #100,736
  • May 18, 2022 2:45pm May 18, 2022 2:45pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Just closed all shorts 0466 about 9 pips before my tp.
no sin it taking profit. Adr was reached
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,737
  • May 18, 2022 2:50pm May 18, 2022 2:50pm
Target -25%.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,738
  • May 18, 2022 4:17pm May 18, 2022 4:17pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} This downtrend has been strong and steady. I hope it goes back up because I have an underwater GU long.
hopefully you get lucky now. The day closed above 2328. Maybe some bounce here. I know its bearish. If your going to get some bounce, this is your larger spot.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,739
  • May 18, 2022 10:57pm May 18, 2022 10:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I look to build a few eu longs 0457, see chart. On the touch of 0456x. Nothing crazy, but if its not going to make that new low this time. I figure it will go to 0642.. Lots of "ifs".
The trend is down. But now it has closed an hour above 0495. It didn't make it past 0457. I know it will make a lower low, or go to 0642. Now it may go to 0511. If it starts closing above 0511 and 0506.8. It may test 0556+. If so, I may get 0642.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,740
  • May 19, 2022 4:30am May 19, 2022 4:30am
Seems like decision time for at least $50 move
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FX is randomly symmetrical and I am anti-Faucism
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