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The Swamp

  • #100,301
  • May 5, 2022 3:24pm May 5, 2022 3:24pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we finally got a weak dollar during market crash So now expectations are for FED to pause some. let's see NFP tomorrow - but you know When USA sneezes, Europe catches a cold.
Some confirmation on the week close would be better. The month even better. EU week below 0506.8, and USDX above 103.46. Is till pointing to a strong USD. The stock markets are not supposed to be in the Feds consideration. Inflation high, employment maxed.. That points to a rate increase. A good NFP is supposed to help the USD. A bad one could give a good bounce.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,302
  • May 5, 2022 3:38pm May 5, 2022 3:38pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we finally got a weak dollar during market crash So now expectations are for FED to pause some. let's see NFP tomorrow - but you know When USA sneezes, Europe catches a cold.
Nothing can stop the dollar atm. No signs of weakness to me. Even a bad NFP would be another usd buy opportunity.
I don't know where is the top. But I see good momentum and enough fundies to keep skyrocketing. I will give up shorting eu only if some big changes in fundamentals reverse the dollar. Otherwise every drop of dxy is a buy to me.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #100,303
  • May 5, 2022 5:11pm May 5, 2022 5:11pm
540 area/550 shortable imo
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,304
  • May 5, 2022 5:53pm May 5, 2022 5:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Some confirmation on the week close would be better. The month even better. EU week below 0506.8, and USDX above 103.46. Is till pointing to a strong USD. The stock markets are not supposed to be in the Feds consideration. Inflation high, employment maxed.. That points to a rate increase. A good NFP is supposed to help the USD. A bad one could give a good bounce. {image}
you may like this
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  • #100,305
  • May 5, 2022 6:19pm May 5, 2022 6:19pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} parity coming..
Who is he?


https://www.google.com/search?q=new+...client=gws-wiz
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,306
  • May 5, 2022 7:00pm May 5, 2022 7:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Who is he? https://www.google.com/search?q=new+...client=gws-wiz...
my pick for jazz fes- Willie Nelson
I don't know others much
  • #100,307
  • May 5, 2022 7:22pm May 5, 2022 7:22pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my pick for jazz fes- Willie Nelson I don't know others much

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,308
  • May 5, 2022 7:37pm May 5, 2022 7:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uorh1H19-Pg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m--GpoWrYn4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXyxFMbqKYA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMrYIRNXxS4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R7f189Z0v0Y https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EqWRaAF6_WY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhsTB4rq1XU
There usually a few hundred groups.. I omitted a bunch for the younger crowed.. Erykah Badu, Ludacris,Nelly


The Beach Boys, Maggie Rogers, Michael Franti & Spearhead, Nile Rodgers & CHIC, New Orleans Recording Legends featuring The Dixie Cups, Clarence “Frogman” Henry, Wanda Rouzan, and Al “Carnival Time” Johnson with Bobby Cure & the Poppa Stoppas, GIVERS, Deacon John, Arturo Sandoval, Bettye LaVette, Honey Island Swamp Band, The Cowsills, Banu Gibson with special guest Shaymus Hanlin featuring Ronnie Kole, Plena Libre of Puerto Rico, Michael Stuart, Big Chief Donald Harrison, Jr., Jeffery Broussard & The Creole Cowboys, Batiste Fathers & Sons featuring Russell, Damon, Jamal, Ryan, David Batiste & Special Guest, Luther Kent & Trickbag, Great Gambian Griots: Jali Bakary Konteh and Pa Bobo Jobarteh, Quiana Lynell, Meschiya Lake & the Little Big Horns, Gal Holiday & the Honky Tonk Revue, Uncle Nef featuring Shannon Powell and Darren Hoffman, Kinfolk Brass Band, Kristin Diable & The City, Willie Tee and Cypress Band, Wendell Brunious & The New Orleans Allstars, Marlon Jordan, All For One Brass Band, Women of Class and Lady Prince of Wales Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs, Darcy Malone and the Tangle, Alexey Marti, Johnny Sansone, Goldman Thibodeaux & the Lawtell Playboys, Corey Ledet Zydeco, Javier Gutierrez & Vivaz!, Lynn Drury, Charley Crockett, Las Cafeteras, Pocket Aces Brass Band, Michael Skinkus and Moyuba, Fi Yi Yi & the Mandingo Warriors, Ever More Nest, Joe Lastie’s New Orleans Sound, Dawn, New Orleans Jazz Vipers, Virginia Aires, Black Mohawk and Young Seminole Hunters Mardi Gras Indians, Clive Wilson’s New Orleans Serenaders, Ted Hefko & the Thousandaires, The Betty Shirley Band, The John Mahoney Big Band, Glenn Hartman and The Earthtones, Sons of Jazz Brass Band, Harold Holloway & Company, Evangelist Linda Wright and The Heartbeats of Praise, Morning Star Missionary Baptist Church Mass Choir, The Daiquiri Queens, La Raíz of Puerto Rico, Native Nations Intertribal, Lyle Henderson & Emmanu-EL, Treces del Sur, Higher Heights Reggae, 21st Century Brass Band, Sisters of Change, Devastation, and Sisters of Unity Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs, On the Levee Jazz Band, Xavier University Jazz Ensemble, New Orleans Music Interns directed by Donald Harrison, Jr., Audrey Ferguson & the Voices of Distinction, Joanna Hale-McGill, Pastor Mitchell J. Stevens, Creative Arts Momentum, Kat Walker Jazz Band - Scat with Ms. Kat, Donald Lewis Jr., Dancing Grounds Elite Feet Dance, Calliope Puppets...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,309
  • May 5, 2022 7:41pm May 5, 2022 7:41pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my pick for jazz fes- Willie Nelson I don't know others much
You probably heard a bunch of them in the past. Too many to name.. Also some of the best food in the world. Many 5 star restaurants have booths..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,310
  • May 5, 2022 7:48pm May 5, 2022 7:48pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my pick for jazz fes- Willie Nelson I don't know others much
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,311
  • May 5, 2022 9:50pm May 5, 2022 9:50pm
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  • #100,312
  • May 5, 2022 9:54pm May 5, 2022 9:54pm
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  • #100,313
  • May 6, 2022 1:33am May 6, 2022 1:33am
Quoting DMA Trader
540 area/550 shortable imo
i've took profits on eur/usd shorts near 510/520

i am still long usd but will take profits if we go down no matter what NFP says probably before that

i am very light on the account, probably will close down as much as i can to be with almost everything closed.

regarding stocks. indices. watch 4200 on S&P - while everyone in the world is bearish and recession and doom
i think a big rally is about to come from 4000 area or a little below. so don't get yourself into shorts on a panic day

yesterday a lot of people were probably liquidated today at 2PM again so between today/monday if we have again selling i would expect a short term bottom

remember anything can happen - they can take the SPX at 4500 without blinking - it's all about the money flow and option - nothing more.
at least on the short term
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,314
  • May 6, 2022 1:55am May 6, 2022 1:55am
GU a lot of times crashes if history is any guide. i don't think i've seen a bottom on GU without a crash in the last 15 years so be careful.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,315
  • May 6, 2022 2:04am May 6, 2022 2:04am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} very hard market it's very rare i don't trade i took some on euro but wasn't much even without position i am "afraid" for tomorrow and weeks to come. this is the hardest environment I've seen in the last 20 years. and i did start investing after 9/11 2008/2009 - 2012/ 2020 - got them all but i don't remember having such a market (stocks, bonds, credit spreads, money markets) and raising interest rates - Never
best way is to have as few position as possible.
VIX will probably trade above 35 today

and Happy Birthday

The May 6, 2010, flash crash also known as the crash of 2:45 or simply the flash crash, was a United States trillion-dollar which started at 2:32 p.m. and lasted for approximately 36 minutes
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,316
  • May 6, 2022 2:06am May 6, 2022 2:06am
1.2 is an important level on GU, i remember talking with Gator at least 2 times about this level

we are getting old

now you know why you see so many old people with sports cars. can't get this game right from the beginning
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,317
  • Edited 2:57am May 6, 2022 2:31am | Edited 2:57am
eur at H4 support per two sys..0489/0503, I have booked all my Eur shorts, sideline atm.. unless H4 reverses downtrend, I will continue to short
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  • #100,318
  • May 6, 2022 2:44am May 6, 2022 2:44am
US30 coming to H4 support at 32712, lets see bulls can hold
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  • #100,319
  • May 6, 2022 2:51am May 6, 2022 2:51am
Gold H4 support 1867 per sys II or 1849 per sysI
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  • #100,320
  • May 6, 2022 2:52am May 6, 2022 2:52am
Quoting Boulder
US30 coming to H4 support at 32712, lets see bulls can hold {image}
for longs on stocks. we badly need a Good NFP even for short term

a BAD NFP would be very bad - of course some will say - FED may slow down - but can it ?

how will a recession already go with raising rates and shrinking balance sheet

did we ever see something like this ?

I bet people will ask FED officials to buy stocks again because there is no conflict of interest
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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