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The Swamp

  • #100,281
  • May 5, 2022 9:49am May 5, 2022 9:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I left the door open, if you get a break. Come tuck me in. Taking a nap. I left a pending at 0584 and 88. If it makes -0527. 0584.5 may be a little stronger R.
lol...I am busy trading ...no time for u..
  • #100,282
  • May 5, 2022 9:52am May 5, 2022 9:52am
I long some gold here 1882 /84/ etc
  • #100,283
  • May 5, 2022 10:15am May 5, 2022 10:15am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...I am busy trading ...no time for u..
That woke me up... You could of at least brought me some mulberries. 05068 .. this is the one i want closed below tomorrow for the next leg..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,284
  • May 5, 2022 10:31am May 5, 2022 10:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That woke me up... You could of at least brought me some mulberries. 05068 .. this is the one i want closed below tomorrow for the next leg..
Dollar last week high 103.92.. currently 103.82.almost there
  • #100,285
  • May 5, 2022 10:41am May 5, 2022 10:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dollar last week high 103.92.. currently 103.82.almost there
LC close was the lower. FOMC erased. NFP and Friday's close.. Next leg down looks like a LL, to 0176. I would like to see at least -1.0487 close to help stop any attraction to 1.0835.5 ( I know, most think impossible),, St getting back below 0526 made 1.0584.5 stronger R.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,286
  • May 5, 2022 11:06am May 5, 2022 11:06am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dollar last week high 103.92.. currently 103.82.almost there
I don't know what it is now. I once figured it a little more than 2 eu pips was equal to 1 usdx pip. USDX at 117.7 is about 1,390 pips away. 1,390X2=2,750. 1.05 -2,750 pips = 0.775.. I said 0.8017. In 2000,01,02 the usd was at 119+.. 117.7 is just a normal retrace. Its just using a 2.0 ratio . It may be above 2.1 in reality. USDX can go well above 117.7.. It was much higher in the past. It was 100% higher in 1985. ATm its about 35% of what 1985 was.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,287
  • May 5, 2022 11:17am May 5, 2022 11:17am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dollar last week high 103.92.. currently 103.82.almost there
Dollar just broke that printed 103.94..it has not stopped
  • #100,288
  • May 5, 2022 11:21am May 5, 2022 11:21am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dollar just broke that printed 103.94..it has not stopped
106.614 is 38.2%. The puts the eu below 1.0, to -0.9950 ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,289
  • May 5, 2022 11:24am May 5, 2022 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 106.614 is 38.2%. The puts the eu below 1.0 to 0.9950 ish
parity coming..
  • #100,290
  • May 5, 2022 11:29am May 5, 2022 11:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} parity coming..
I have been at it all day long I cant see anymore lol.. EM and GM next to go lol
  • #100,291
  • May 5, 2022 11:32am May 5, 2022 11:32am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Dollar just broke that printed 103.94..it has not stopped
Think about this. in 1985 compared to today. At 35% today. USDX is at 17.5% of the value it was in 1885. Compered to that basket. The usd has a lot of ground to rise, at 117.7 its 50% of 1985. This is post 1970 charts. At one time it (USDX) was more. This chart is the euro in 2000 and so on. The GBP is included in that basket. The GBP always had more value. This distorts this basket chart. The basket today is even weaker w/o the GBP today. Eu could end up much lower than 0.750...Having the GBP in the EZ helped the EU rise. There is no playbook now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,292
  • May 5, 2022 11:40am May 5, 2022 11:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Think about this. in 1985 compared to today. At 35% today. USDX is at 17.5% of the value it was in 1885. Compered to that basket. The usd has a lot of ground to rise, at 117.7 its 50% of 1985. This is post 1970 charts. At one time it (USDX) was more. This chart is the euro in 2000 and so on. The GBP is included in that basket. The GBP always had more value. This distorts this basket chart. The basket today is even weaker w/o the GBP today. Eu could end up much lower than 0.750...Having the GBP in the EZ helped the EU rise. There is no playbook...
You have summarized everything you need dont doubt anything for one moment I truly believe around 80 .75 also your not alone..
edit
to show you. your on the right track Raoul Pal said 0.97 or somewhere around that number a couple of years ago there are so many people with this view and the catalyst to reach it is now here..
  • #100,293
  • May 5, 2022 11:54am May 5, 2022 11:54am
Quoting q_import
{quote} You have summarized everything you need dont doubt anything for one moment I truly believe around 80 .75 also your not alone.. edit to show you. your on the right track Raoul Pal said 0.97 or somewhere around that number a couple of years ago there are so many people with this view and the catalyst to reach it is now here..
I don't know of him.. 0.77 was a target similar, to negative oil. I had to put those on the back burner so people didn't think I was too nuts. I doubted myself, but the numbers don't care. Numbers are pure. I saw this after 2008.. Maybe 2009 or 2010. Id have to go back on a chart locked in about 7 computers back..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,294
  • May 5, 2022 11:57am May 5, 2022 11:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I don't know of him.. 0.77 was a target similar, to negative oil. I had to put those on the back burner so people didn't think I was too nuts. I doubted myself, but the numbers don't care. Numbers are pure.
He is actually looking for someone like you..
He use to work with Paul Tudor Jones his resume lol..

I listen to him and his guests they are amazing well at least to me I cant get enough..
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  • #100,295
  • May 5, 2022 11:59am May 5, 2022 11:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I don't know of him.. 0.77 was a target similar, to negative oil. I had to put those on the back burner so people didn't think I was too nuts. I doubted myself, but the numbers don't care. Numbers are pure. I saw this after 2008.. Maybe 2009 or 2010. Id have to go back on a chart locked in about 7 computers back..
I think back than it was a easy one to remember 0.7777. I'm near sure that is it.. But I didn't have the usdx to get that one. It was pure eu math. Its nice to see the usdx may align.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,296
  • May 5, 2022 12:09pm May 5, 2022 12:09pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} He is actually looking for someone like you.. He use to work with Paul Tudor Jones his resume lol.. I listen to him and his guests they are amazing well at least to me I cant get enough.. {image}
I'm not a good employee. I show up on time, I don't miss. But I have the tendency to tell the boss to kiss my ass. At that point, I start having sex on the clock, steal ink pens, and toilet paper. I have been known to write "for a good time call" XXX-XXX-XXXX and be sure boss's wife's name is left. In modern times going to a swingers chat, and leave real names/numbers (boss home number). Like i said, I'm a terrible employee.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,297
  • May 5, 2022 12:15pm May 5, 2022 12:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm not a good employee. I show up on time, I don't miss. But I have the tendency to tell the boss to kiss my ass. At that point, I start having sex on the clock, steal ink pens, and toilet paper. I have been known to write "for a good time call" XXX-XXX-XXXX and be sure boss's wife's name is left. In modern times going to a swingers chat, and leave real names/numbers (boss home number). Like i said, I'm a terrible employee.
Someone did not let you do you. Meaning as long as you do what ever it is your doing for them they should have left you alone and left their ego at the door.
Great thing is your here now. I am glad you did all those things I would have never came upon this forum..
  • #100,298
  • May 5, 2022 12:37pm May 5, 2022 12:37pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} parity coming..
UPS left a package, I left it in the foyer. I think its from Italy. It has Fragile written on the box.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #100,299
  • May 5, 2022 2:00pm May 5, 2022 2:00pm
whoaaa what a day

stock market blood bath
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #100,300
  • May 5, 2022 2:44pm May 5, 2022 2:44pm
Quoting DMA Trader
whoaaa what a day stock market blood bath
we finally got a weak dollar during market crash

So now expectations are for FED to pause some.

let's see NFP tomorrow - but you know When USA sneezes, Europe catches a cold.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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