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The Swamp

  • #99,881
  • Apr 26, 2022 4:00pm Apr 26, 2022 4:00pm
660 next R
we are getting to the point where a strong dollar will hurt companies and economies.
Powel faces now huge pressure.

dollar going stronger now is the only help for a stable euro

watch USD/CNY for clues tonight

i think we need a stable,stronger CNY for EUR to find a bottom
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,882
  • Apr 26, 2022 5:47pm Apr 26, 2022 5:47pm
EUR really needs tomorrow some headlines about how ECB is raising the interest rate in July

630 support

we went back in time to 2017
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,883
  • Apr 26, 2022 7:45pm Apr 26, 2022 7:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Catching a falling knife sucks. On the sideline to see if 0660x becomes S or R is a waiting game. The Usdx may be hitting R. Along with 0660. The eu may have a little bounce. {image}
0660.x may be R sooner or later. I will look if it re-test 0660. Maybe the last train before 0486. I'm being tight with my stop
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,884
  • Apr 26, 2022 7:53pm Apr 26, 2022 7:53pm
Quoting Boulder
Try some Gold longs here 1932 and 1934 will add...Gator is sexy
Yeah, I can see that.

I made a few on some bounces. Lost a few too. 1873.57 could be a strong one. Its the opposite of 1980.24. The USD is strong. If not, 1926.9 would be a good bet. GOLD

The same rules apply.. If may break 1873.57.. Watch if it closes above.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,885
  • Apr 26, 2022 8:06pm Apr 26, 2022 8:06pm
Quoting Boulder
Try some Gold longs here 1932 and 1934 will add...Gator is sexy
Crank it up. I'm back at the ranch.

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,886
  • Apr 26, 2022 11:44pm Apr 26, 2022 11:44pm
Quoting DMA Trader
EUR really needs tomorrow some headlines about how ECB is raising the interest rate in July 630 support we went back in time to 2017
630 broken
down to 616

i was so sure the breakdown is fake
let's see how much we stay below 630

600 i can guess some support. who knows from this point
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,887
  • Apr 26, 2022 11:57pm Apr 26, 2022 11:57pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 630 broken down to 616 i was so sure the breakdown is fake let's see how much we stay below 630 600 i can guess some support. who knows from this point
i see a lot of RSI divergences on the short term
and also Monthly RSI below 30

amazing. can 600 hold or not ?
not gonna take any longs - but just wow
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,888
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:11am Apr 27, 2022 12:11am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i see a lot of RSI divergences on the short term and also Monthly RSI below 30 amazing. can 600 hold or not ? not gonna take any longs - but just wow
some base near 600
1H close below 630
maybe 4h can close above - who knows.

with VIX so high today anything can happen

do not forget the end of the month craziness - ECB to speak - Powel next week

game is not easy- and greatest minds are against you and I. so play nimble and safe.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,889
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:20am Apr 27, 2022 12:20am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} some base near 600 1H close below 630 maybe 4h can close above - who knows. with VIX so high today anything can happen do not forget the end of the month craziness - ECB to speak - Powel next week game is not easy- and greatest minds are against you and I. so play nimble and safe.
new low

liquidations !!!

Keep Playing Lagarde keep playing.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,890
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:22am Apr 27, 2022 12:22am
DUMA speaking

Gas buyers must pay rubles or face cuts !

600 !

futures hit
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,891
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:35am Apr 27, 2022 12:35am
Quoting DMA Trader
DUMA speaking Gas buyers must pay rubles or face cuts ! 600 ! futures hit
Again, it's not actually news.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/11...r-euros-to-pay
And this is known since day 0. If I buy a Toyota in the US I pay USD. Toyota then sells USD / buys JPY so it can send the money home. It's called repatriation of profits. Russia can do whatever it wants but they still are getting paid in euros. These are just sensationalist headlines.
  • #99,892
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:38am Apr 27, 2022 12:38am
Quoting xav
{quote} Again, it's not actually news. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/11...r-euros-to-pay And this is known since day 0. If I buy a Toyota in the US I pay USD. Toyota then sells USD / buys JPY so it can send the money home. It's called repatriation of profits. Russia can do whatever it wants but they still are getting paid in euros. These are just sensationalist headlines.
old news or new news. today gas in Europe is more expensive.
that means bigger recession that means weaker currency until Lagarde wakes up
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,893
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:38am Apr 27, 2022 12:38am
I stay away from Eur for now. short gold on this bounce at 1903 .. TP around 1883
  • #99,894
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:40am Apr 27, 2022 12:40am
Black Monday...Black Tuesday...Black Wednesday...daily ATR on EURUSD stops at 66.6 pips - 1.05875...it's WW time...
I am who I am
  • #99,895
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:44am Apr 27, 2022 12:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} old news or new news. today gas in Europe is more expensive. that means bigger recession that means weaker currency until Lagarde wakes up
More expensive energy for Europe. Imagine that. Who would of thunk? In a war, the ones with energy refuse to sell it. To the ones perceived as the enemy.

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,896
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:50am Apr 27, 2022 12:50am
Quoting imwim
Black Monday...Black Tuesday...Black Wednesday...daily ATR on EURUSD stops at 66.6 pips - 1.05875...it's WW time...
almost 40 pips up
can we get above 630 ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,897
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:50am Apr 27, 2022 12:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0660.x may be R sooner or later. I will look if it re-test 0660. Maybe the last train before 0486. I'm being tight with my stop {image} {image}
I missed the 0660 entry. What does 0617 do? 0486 is getting closer.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,898
  • Apr 27, 2022 12:58am Apr 27, 2022 12:58am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} old news or new news. today gas in Europe is more expensive. that means bigger recession that means weaker currency until Lagarde wakes up
I don't think these headlines are insignificant though. Yes, the news is BS but now they start aligning in the direction of the trend. That's a good sign for basing. I see 1.05 as a better than average place to bounce. 1.02 is going to be tough too. And we have left over business at 1.15 / 1.20. I hear more and more talk about parity. That's also a good sign.
Today the EZ is about 5% more competitive than 4 weeks ago. That more than offsets current energy price increases. And we still have several percentage wiggle room until eu gets too week.
  • #99,899
  • Apr 27, 2022 1:07am Apr 27, 2022 1:07am
Quoting Boulder
I stay away from Eur for now. short gold on this bounce at 1903 .. TP around 1883
Gold book for now.. short bounce again later..
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  • #99,900
  • Apr 27, 2022 1:07am Apr 27, 2022 1:07am
7:22 AM GMT+2 POLAND: Russian Gas Supplies Resume To Poland: Reuters
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