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The Swamp

  • #99,821
  • Apr 25, 2022 3:24am Apr 25, 2022 3:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gold is testing support now. {image}
gold didnt close below the next rung.. possible bounce for a short at R..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,822
  • Apr 25, 2022 7:05am Apr 25, 2022 7:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
770 R for 1H sortable imo H4 i see some buyers to early to tell but a daily close above 770 would be somehow constructive still playing the short side. stock markets also extreme fear - China is down about 4% big moves so far, bigger to come
you are here
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,823
  • Apr 25, 2022 7:22am Apr 25, 2022 7:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gold didnt close below the next rung.. possible bounce for a short at R.. {image}
it closed below now on gold, I didnt get the short. EU now has some weak support at 0730x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,824
  • Apr 25, 2022 7:38am Apr 25, 2022 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it closed below now on gold, I didnt get the short. EU now has some weak support at 0730x. {image}
A touch of 0763, may make 0734 support a little stronger. It may fall before that touch. Since its bearish. Adr was blown today earlier. If it does touch 0763.. that one at 0787 still has some life. As does 0812. A touch at 0763 gives a little more chance for 0821.5. A tough battle against the trend. If not in, you got nothing to lose by waiting. 4H rejected at 0734. Another shot in 18 min,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,825
  • Apr 25, 2022 8:09am Apr 25, 2022 8:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A touch of 0763, may make 0734 support a little stronger. It may fall before that touch. Since its bearish. Adr was blown today earlier. If it does touch 0763.. that one at 0787 still has some life. As does 0812. A touch at 0763 gives a little more chance for 0821.5. A tough battle against the trend. If not in, you got nothing to lose by waiting. 4H rejected at 0734. Another shot in 18 min, {image}
4h missed the bear close 0734. The close before was a 12h close missing 0734. I think it will run back to 0760/61. That's near 0763. Possible sweet spot short 0760/62 to come. Maybe void if 0763 is touched
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,826
  • Apr 25, 2022 8:53am Apr 25, 2022 8:53am
Bears seem do not care about norm. 0760.6 untouched atm,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,827
  • Apr 25, 2022 9:41am Apr 25, 2022 9:41am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} you are here
taking profits in increments from short position still have some shorts left but small now.
don't think i will short unless a bigger rally
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,828
  • Apr 25, 2022 9:48am Apr 25, 2022 9:48am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} taking profits in increments from short position still have some shorts left but small now. don't think i will short unless a bigger rally {image}
one idea is to see how 107 break stop losses behave.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,829
  • Apr 25, 2022 9:52am Apr 25, 2022 9:52am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} one idea is to see how 107 break stop losses behave.
i mean not longs but we may have a rally once we teak those weak hands.

trend is very powerful nevertheless
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,830
  • Apr 25, 2022 9:57am Apr 25, 2022 9:57am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} one idea is to see how 107 break stop losses behave.
there you go . sub 700 back above
let's see if buyers step in
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,831
  • Apr 25, 2022 10:17am Apr 25, 2022 10:17am
740 the new 760
maybe we hold for now here. who knows
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,832
  • Apr 25, 2022 10:41am Apr 25, 2022 10:41am
i have no shorts left - no longs

at this point if you are shorting you are expecting a crash - could happen -
but R/R i think it's getting unfavourable for shorting right here
of course i could be dead wrong
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,833
  • Apr 25, 2022 11:03am Apr 25, 2022 11:03am
i think we have again something in the air that we don't know yet the Market knows.
be careful
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,834
  • Apr 25, 2022 11:09am Apr 25, 2022 11:09am
Quoting DMA Trader
i have no shorts left - no longs at this point if you are shorting you are expecting a crash - could happen - but R/R i think it's getting unfavourable for shorting right here of course i could be dead wrong
USD needed room to drop and offset other pairs so it can start to channel entering into a wide range for the next couple of months no one is going to feel any difference unless your a swing trader if tomorrow works out well EU and GU XAU should get some nice up play.. depending on MXN SEK NOK PLN and others playing out the dollar short move.. the effects will drift into the majors..
  • #99,835
  • Edited 11:46am Apr 25, 2022 11:12am | Edited 11:46am
Quoting q_import
{quote} USD needed room to drop and offset other pairs so it can start to channel entering into a wide range for the next couple of months no one is going to feel any difference unless your a swing trader if tomorrow works out well EU and GU XAU should get some nice up play.. depending on MXN SEK NOK PLN and others playing out the dollar short move.. the effects will drift into the majors..
Exotics lead the majors?
Never really dabbled with exotics so I'm genuinely curious.
  • #99,836
  • Apr 25, 2022 12:57pm Apr 25, 2022 12:57pm
Quoting xav
{quote} Exotics lead the majors? Never really dabbled with exotics so I'm genuinely curious.
Commodities = the success of a country the more they have the probability of success increases. Each person in the chain believes someone else is the supplier when only a couple of countries have the infrastructure to supply those that know are limited by funds and logistical capabilities. Then those logistics centers become suppliers by default. The change in price of exotics play an influential role in the consumer and services industry. A country that mines rock is simply a mining country until such time as the country is able to refine the commodity into a consumer or service. Their influence is now limited by laws and the ability to get its product to market. Those constrictions will limit a countries ability to build other infrastructure but when the time comes and the new infrastructure is built the country is no longer suppling the commodity and is now using another country to supply the commodity as generation forget how create the commodity it will have to be relearned and as more and more generations pass the likely hood of the country providing the commodity disappears and are now really dependent on specific countries so any flux in price of the exotic has huge impact on the consumer and service currencies.. I have been known to be really wrong most of time those so take it with a grain of salt.
  • #99,837
  • Apr 25, 2022 5:05pm Apr 25, 2022 5:05pm
watch 720 R
chop between 700-720
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,838
  • Apr 25, 2022 5:10pm Apr 25, 2022 5:10pm
Quoting DMA Trader
watch 720 R chop between 700-720
I know its bearish. Its hard to short here. Maybe at 0755. Then hold, if it can close below 0734. or the opposite with a close above 0755.

St bears need to close -0707.5, bulls need to maintain above 0708 with closes and start closing above 0728. 0734 may stop the little calf there. If not 0755 may be tested. 0770/74 and 0816.. All below 0835.5. Bears have this. A path to follow if they take a break Any level has some mild R. Possible scalp short into trend
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,839
  • Apr 25, 2022 5:26pm Apr 25, 2022 5:26pm
AUd/usd possible short .7296/.7314. Its bearish so it may not bounce. .7104 is a support. It may bounce it.. I missed the long.. It hit while asleep. ATM level .7176.
At the same time the ea may pullback. This gives the eu less drop pressure. If these moves happen. The usd being so strong. The support on the au may not be tradeable. 3 solders into support. The ea may be a long at 4799. a;; require closes on the side traded
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,840
  • Apr 25, 2022 7:01pm Apr 25, 2022 7:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know its bearish. Its hard to short here. Maybe at 0755. Then hold, if it can close below 0734. or the opposite with a close above 0755. St bears need to close -0707.5, bulls need to maintain above 0708 with closes and start closing above 0728. 0734 may stop the little calf there. If not 0755 may be tested. 0770/74 and 0816.. All below 0835.5. Bears have this. A path to follow if they take a break Any level has some mild R. Possible scalp short into trend
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