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The Swamp

  • #99,421
  • Apr 14, 2022 11:12am Apr 14, 2022 11:12am
Quoting gatorinla
Not advocating longs... The trend is down. Big money usually lays when lows or highs are broken. It didnt seem to be at Q1. A lot would need to happen to get to 1.0993. That 2 pips lower than the other 0995. 0993 could be some R too... Y1 R still at 0929. 0835.5 could also be R. Anyway I lowered my First entry to 0993.x. I have nothing saying it has bottomed. I dont have to. I just need to know where I want to short, If this is a temp bottom. So I'm not calling this atm low a bottom. It dont matter for what I'm doing. Its going to take a large close...
I swear i started writing before this bounce. I didnt see it coming up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,422
  • Apr 14, 2022 11:24am Apr 14, 2022 11:24am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Under water. I will cut the loss if day close below 0790.
I may not have to close longs today. Hope a hammer on daily.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #99,423
  • Apr 14, 2022 11:42am Apr 14, 2022 11:42am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} she's surrounded by bears. Bulls may attack anytime. I can't short this here. I have long avg 0832. To be honest I'm thirsty to short it. but can't before 0950/60. If drop below 0790 with close, I will cut longs and stay away for a while. My M15, M30 looks promising. H4 is being made. H4 close above 0856 may be a real bull attack to me. I suspect if it make a wick below 0806 before a good bounce.
Finally she did it. But is it only a wick? Who knows? If yes. I'll be lucky holding longs.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #99,424
  • Apr 14, 2022 1:27pm Apr 14, 2022 1:27pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Finally she did it. But is it only a wick? Who knows? If yes. I'll be lucky holding longs.
You need to get a close above 0835.5. I got pendings higher.. I dont like the chances of them being hit. A new day always has something. I did think some bulls would retake 0995. The ecb news hurt.

As long as its below 0835, it has the chance to drop deeper. I cant long it yet (w/o a very tight stop). I can short a bounce. Its bearish, Its back to yesterday's lows. If it does makes its way back above 0835.5 and starts some h closes above 0840.5. It has some chance. I dont think a day close is large enough to satisfy 0835. A day close above 0840.5 may give some bounce.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,425
  • Apr 14, 2022 2:13pm Apr 14, 2022 2:13pm
Kakaya Russia...Entire Russian column destroyed by Ukrainian drone guided artillery...
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  • #99,426
  • Apr 14, 2022 3:38pm Apr 14, 2022 3:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You need to get a close above 0835.5. I got pendings higher.. I dont like the chances of them being hit. A new day always has something. I did think some bulls would retake 0995. The ecb news hurt. As long as its below 0835, it has the chance to drop deeper. I cant long it yet (w/o a very tight stop). I can short a bounce. Its bearish, Its back to yesterday's lows. If it does makes its way back above 0835.5 and starts some h closes above 0840.5. It has some chance. I dont think a day close is large enough to satisfy 0835. A day close above...
Bulls look done. The week tomorrow closing below 0835 could drop this to 0440. Bulls have to recover above 0834 for a breather. Its bearish and has been for since 1.2xx. Next time, if there is a next time. 09xx may yield 500+ pips on the drop. 0835.5 is holding since this new low. Once pa gets below 0727, 0835.5, may be a top. Still need the large close below. mid month close is tomorrow.

Any chance to short 0993+.. may be worth holding. 0727 may bounce.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,427
  • Apr 14, 2022 4:13pm Apr 14, 2022 4:13pm
possible 90 pip drop aud.. to 7326..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,428
  • Apr 14, 2022 4:20pm Apr 14, 2022 4:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
possible 90 pip drop aud.. to 7326..
ICH
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,429
  • Apr 14, 2022 4:20pm Apr 14, 2022 4:20pm
Russian warship, what are you sinking ?
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,430
  • Apr 14, 2022 4:37pm Apr 14, 2022 4:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls look done. The week tomorrow closing below 0835 could drop this to 0440. Bulls have to recover above 0834 for a breather. Its bearish and has been for since 1.2xx. Next time, if there is a next time. 09xx may yield 500+ pips on the drop. 0835.5 is holding since this new low. Once pa gets below 0727, 0835.5, may be a top. Still need the large close below. mid month close is tomorrow. Any chance to short 0993+.. may be worth holding. 0727 may bounce.
So I shorted 0834 to hedge my longs. I'm avg 0848 long. So now I'm 14 pips in loss. I still think it has good chance to bounce since the long wick on H4 looks like a fake breakout of support zone. I will hold shorts till I see another reversal signal.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #99,431
  • Apr 14, 2022 4:42pm Apr 14, 2022 4:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ICH {image}
If it can hold the closes below .7314. It has a a chance for .675x. It never returned. To retest 0.675x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,432
  • Edited 5:08pm Apr 14, 2022 4:47pm | Edited 5:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it can hold the closes below .7314. It has a a chance for .675x. It never returned. To retest 0.675x. {image}
Last week had a big rejection wick.. Pa is currently below that candle. Any recession should curve earth commodities. A slow down in China would aid a drop. A stronger usd would help a side. About 650/1300 pips. Its reasonable to shoot for 325 pips.
Year R1 reject.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,433
  • Apr 14, 2022 5:10pm Apr 14, 2022 5:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Last week had a big rejection wick.. Pa is currently below that candle. Any recession should curve earth commodities. A slow down in China would aid a drop. A stronger usd would help a side. About 650/1300 pips. Its reasonable to shoot for 325 pips. Year R1 reject. {image} {image}
PA is below Q1 atm,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,434
  • Edited 8:05pm Apr 14, 2022 7:22pm | Edited 8:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} PA is below Q1 atm, {image}
Another great day coming..
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  • #99,435
  • Apr 14, 2022 8:25pm Apr 14, 2022 8:25pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} Another great day coming.. {image}
The banks are closed.. Hopefully it drops 100 more. I got a tp for some .7303
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,436
  • Apr 14, 2022 8:56pm Apr 14, 2022 8:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The banks are closed.. Hopefully it drops 100 more. I got a tp for some .7303
I have no idea I am just aiming for the low today.. that would be wonderful for a nice drop.
  • #99,437
  • Apr 14, 2022 9:00pm Apr 14, 2022 9:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If India etc wants to buy oil. Ukraine should sink Tankers in Russian ports. If not tankers they should sink fertilizer ships at loading docks. India is benefitting off Ukraine blood.
Now if the Ukraine's can sneak up on the Flagship, and sink it. Why not a oil taker, or a fertilizer ship (docked in port)? Why not several ports with drones, or whatever at the same time? All it takes is a heat source. Those switchblades have a 60 mile range. They are small enough to sneak around with. They can take out a tanker, refinery, a NG/oil storage facility, pipeline, electric transmission stations (grid). communication, RT etc. . Why wouldn't they be able to take out the bridge of a war ship. If they can pernitrate a tank. They can penetrate a ship hull. Of a fertilizer ship or a tanker. A window in the Kremlin. They are so small radar wont pick them up. Instead of 1, why not a few dozen. They cant shoot them all down. If it can destroy a tank. It can hit the rudder assembly on a ship. It possible could penetrate the ships artillery magazine. Boom, another sunk ship.

Any ship within a miles may be gone. It would take years to rebuild. No shipments, No war money for Putin. .
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,438
  • Apr 14, 2022 9:08pm Apr 14, 2022 9:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Now if the Ukraine's can sneak up on the Flagship, and sink it. Why not a oil taker, or a fertilizer ship (docked in port)? Why not several ports with drones, or whatever at the same time? All it takes is a heat source. Those switchblades have a 60 mile range. They are small enough to sneak around with. They can take out a tanker, refinery, a NG/oil storage facility, pipeline, electric transmission stations (grid). communication, RT etc. . Why wouldn't they be able to take out the bridge of a war ship. If they can pernitrate a tank. They...
They should test out the scorpius systems a russian navel ship will be the ultimate target. No need for damages you can just take over without rebuilding..
I dont see the point in making reefs if you can claim it as your own.. Sure denying sealife a home is a crime in itself but what are sharks going to do with rocket launchers..
  • #99,439
  • Apr 14, 2022 9:14pm Apr 14, 2022 9:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Now if the Ukraine's can sneak up on the Flagship, and sink it. Why not a oil taker, or a fertilizer ship (docked in port)? Why not several ports with drones, or whatever at the same time? All it takes is a heat source. Those switchblades have a 60 mile range. They are small enough to sneak around with. They can take out a tanker, refinery, a NG/oil storage facility, pipeline, electric transmission stations (grid). communication, RT etc. . Why wouldn't they be able to take out the bridge of a war ship. If they can pernitrate a tank. They...
The second explosion destroys this building. It may be grain storage.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,440
  • Apr 14, 2022 9:28pm Apr 14, 2022 9:28pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} They should test out the scorpius systems a russian navel ship will be the ultimate target. No need for damages you can just take over without rebuilding.. I dont see the point in making reefs if you can claim it as your own.. Sure denying sealife a home is a crime in itself but what are sharks going to do with rocket launchers..
The beauty of the switchblade would be taking an entire port with one shot. If it could be coordinated for multiple ports. Putin would have no income. You take out the grid. And the ordinary man has no fuel. He will be forced to ask why, no grid. Means eventually the backup generators run out of diesel. They cant pump water or sewage. It can make them a third world country without refrigeration, communication, clean water, or sewerage treatment. . I know, I lived through many hurricanes. Most U.S. service stations dont have backup generators. Its probably the same in Russia.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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