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The Swamp

  • #99,281
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:11am Apr 13, 2022 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} st R at 0857. Bulls want a 0858 close st to go higher. But +0859.5 is a little better. With the trend being down 0860 close is a better sign. 0900.1+ better. Adr near the same spot 09001
Trends are down, day and above have closed lower. Yesterday closed below 0835.5.. Time frames 12h and below closed above 0835.5. Its very bearish. I will wait for a bounce that looks unlikely atm. I plan to sell 0995+. 1/2 of it at 0900.1
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,282
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:12am Apr 13, 2022 4:12am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat the shorts for now after I read option exp info... US PPI data in3 hours.. maybe wild ride like yesterday... {image}
and JP Morgan reporting in a few hours.
Extremely important for market how banks kick in

did i say how important it is ?
any earnings disappointments on this early stage of inflation/war ... will be very bearish
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,283
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:15am Apr 13, 2022 4:15am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for April 13 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0800 214M 1.0865-70 1.03B 1.0900 1.34B 1.0960 288M 1.0980 331M 1.0995 3B 1.1005-15 1.1B - USD/JPY: USD amounts 123.90-00 655M 125.25 550M - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.2975 205M 1.3085 394M - EUR/GBP: EUR amounts 0.8340 409M - EUR/JPY: EUR amounts 136.00 682M - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.7300 675M 0.7380-85 423M 0.7400 500M 0.7425-30 315M 0.7450 588M - NZD/USD: NZD amounts 0.6800 300M 0.6850 403M - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.2500 486M 1.2550 410M...
Both of my numbers
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,284
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:17am Apr 13, 2022 4:17am
Imagine shrinking the balance sheet selling bonds on this environment. is it even possible ?
Who will bid ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,285
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:26am Apr 13, 2022 4:26am
Quoting DMA Trader
Imagine shrinking the balance sheet selling bonds on this environment. is it even possible ? Who will bid ?
or imagine coming on Tuesday and reading that Marine Le Pen won the France election
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,286
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:41am Apr 13, 2022 4:41am
CPI - PPI _
Rate Hikes - CAD
jobs Aussie

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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,287
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:45am Apr 13, 2022 4:45am
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,288
  • Apr 13, 2022 4:59am Apr 13, 2022 4:59am
fresh thinking uncut

i think bad earnings will be bad for USD.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,289
  • Apr 13, 2022 5:06am Apr 13, 2022 5:06am
Quoting DMA Trader
fresh thinking uncut i think bad earnings will be bad for USD.
imsho from experience now any moves that are coming should not be trusted unless there are 2/4 hours confirmation.

the amount of BS news and lies will have to grow big
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,290
  • Apr 13, 2022 5:37am Apr 13, 2022 5:37am
today reminds me of March 31, near 1088..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,291
  • Apr 13, 2022 5:40am Apr 13, 2022 5:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} below 1980.24 is bears. Bulls need to take it or go home.
Gold just hit 1980.x. crossroads. Swingers have a wave to 2003/2004. If it can pass 1980.24.. watch the closes. Bulls have to maintain 1980.24 on the larger tf. It could hard drop anytime.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,292
  • Apr 13, 2022 5:57am Apr 13, 2022 5:57am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,293
  • Apr 13, 2022 6:01am Apr 13, 2022 6:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold just hit 1980.x. crossroads. Swingers have a wave to 2003/2004. If it can pass 1980.24.. watch the closes. Bulls have to maintain 1980.24 on the larger tf. It could hard drop anytime. {image}
4$ drop so far.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,294
  • Apr 13, 2022 6:11am Apr 13, 2022 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
gold.... If gold is in the 1873.57 area. It may be a long. If it closes larger time frames below. It may be a dive. The same with 1980.24.. You dont have to watch these. You can set and forget these. They may take months to develop if ever. Whatever time you use. For a b/o and a trend to follow a month and greater would be best. 1926ish (see chart) may be a tp for either. {image}
Gold: It took a week, not months for 1980. If its not closing above 1980.24.. It will end up at 1927 (1926.9) or back to 1873.57
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,295
  • Apr 13, 2022 6:32am Apr 13, 2022 6:32am
short Gold 979 risk 981
  • #99,296
  • Apr 13, 2022 7:20am Apr 13, 2022 7:20am
Just shorted some gold at 1979 pending 1985
  • #99,297
  • Apr 13, 2022 7:25am Apr 13, 2022 7:25am
Quoting Boulder
Just shorted some gold at 1979 pending 1985
booked 1975.. wait for US news
  • #99,298
  • Apr 13, 2022 7:32am Apr 13, 2022 7:32am
ouch

i will sure not apply for a job at FED - gonna be hard to go from here.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,299
  • Apr 13, 2022 7:33am Apr 13, 2022 7:33am
Quoting DMA Trader
ouch i will sure not apply for a job at FED - gonna be hard to go from here. {image}
biggest y/y jump ever.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,300
  • Edited 8:17am Apr 13, 2022 8:07am | Edited 8:17am
If little changes now. The next time they clean the clock to 0995/10xx. The drop after should target 1.0440. I know its hard to see this today.. The down trend is so strong. It may stunt a rise to 0995 some.

The trend being so strong. Is why 1.0440 is a target. Structure wise, i need the climb to develop a target.

Don't confuse my calling for a climb, as being bullish. I target below 1.0. I target 0.8017 eventually
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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