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The Swamp

  • #99,101
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:27am Apr 11, 2022 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
I cant short gold till 1980.. Meanwhile i may get a signal to do it for a day trade at 1960.36. s atm high 1959.32 its tempting. ..
I could have taken a gold short on my 30 min. It may be a great trade for 10/12$ drop. But to me it was not where it has the chance to top like 1980 or 200x is. I cant take them all.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,102
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:27am Apr 11, 2022 5:27am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I added 0926 and pending 0929 and 0932.. in case bears fail to hold H4, I will pause shorts till later.....
i m not adding - had long and was disappointed about the move. the took profit and switch to short
as long as 960 hold for me is ok

i might close it on loss was a good start of the week for me. we will see
905 is my short
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,103
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:30am Apr 11, 2022 5:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The time to be a bull was near 0835//Its late now. The r/r has diminished. That's not bullish, that seeking the reward for the risk on the dues i already paid. This is more a stay out zone. The train left the station. Its more neutral here. Not so much bullish as i was Friday. Its a book.. not a paragraph. It has to be taken in context. But i do expect 0995+/66 . One needs to have the stops tight. As i did at 0876.. But I dont advocate shorting atm. Each pip up is harder to climb. The pp at 0995... Its harder to climb above it. Shorting...
yeah - well it was a gap closed so there was another long
but from 910 to 960 hard to be a bull will see

my tp is at 900 maybe 910 915 loss

have a lot to read i don't trade aggresive this week but - polls are now helping Macron.

maybe i'll play both not sure

i think i can close it on profits until tomorrow CPI - that will be terrible
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,104
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:33am Apr 11, 2022 5:33am
Quoting q_import
{quote} Crosses have not broken key levels with exotics I am with him until they pop bullish levels which would imply a dropping EUR. Example would be EU Barrier limiting exotic bearish pressure against the EU GU also has a specific level showing resistance.. {image} {image}
i think it's very complicated - hard to get them all into charts
for example Lagarde today was kind of hawkish i did not see any reporting but she is leaning now more into rate hikes at the end of the year
we will see on Thursday
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,105
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:34am Apr 11, 2022 5:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} triggered.. now I am going to wait to see bears can hold H4...
Booked this group..
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  • #99,106
  • Edited 5:59am Apr 11, 2022 5:42am | Edited 5:59am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i think it's very complicated - hard to get them all into charts for example Lagarde today was kind of hawkish i did not see any reporting but she is leaning now more into rate hikes at the end of the year we will see on Thursday
Trading is hard work nonstop. I dont do news its usually priced in. Gator and Boulder are the ones to follow though that is why I am here..
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  • #99,107
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:43am Apr 11, 2022 5:43am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeah - well it was a gap closed so there was another long but from 910 to 960 hard to be a bull will see my tp is at 900 maybe 910 915 loss have a lot to read i don't trade aggresive this week but - polls are now helping Macron. maybe i'll play both not sure i think i can close it on profits until tomorrow CPI - that will be terrible
Boulders 4h is tough to beat. Its handed me my ass before. I've handed it back before. Many thought Friday was gonna break a new low. Its just part of the game. Near 0835.5 can keep us here for many months. Its a reject near until pa decides to let it go. That bounce could be several hundred pips. The reward to me supersedes the risk. At some point it wont work. Between now then, I may get a bunch of rejects.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,108
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:48am Apr 11, 2022 5:48am
im out close to BE for EUR
too busy reading into a lot of staff

i did not expect such a rapid move H4 looks bad so i would have jump into longs if the move was not so bad.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,109
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:48am Apr 11, 2022 5:48am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeah - well it was a gap closed so there was another long but from 910 to 960 hard to be a bull will see my tp is at 900 maybe 910 915 loss have a lot to read i don't trade aggresive this week but - polls are now helping Macron. maybe i'll play both not sure i think i can close it on profits until tomorrow CPI - that will be terrible
If a elevator goes up and down. it will reach most floors eventually. All a gap is, is a close with a different open. You can use the same strategy using just a close. I get a kick out of people talking about a gap, like its special. Its just a close. In forex usually a week close. With a different open. But its just a close. And its acts like a close. Nothing more special about a gap compared to a close. I talk about a gap for other reasons.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,110
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:49am Apr 11, 2022 5:49am
10 year low for JPY
got it this time.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,111
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:50am Apr 11, 2022 5:50am
Quoting Boulder
Just woke up..I shorted some Eur. 0910s .and gold 1953s on this bounce...will add..
Booked all my Eur lower shorts here.. also flat gold with tiny profit...
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  • #99,112
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:52am Apr 11, 2022 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If a elevator goes up and down. it will reach most floors eventually. All a gap it is a close with a different open. You can use the same strategy using just a close. I get a kick out of people talking about a gap, like its special. Its just a close. In forex usually a week close. With a different open. But its just a close. And its acts like a close.
yeah not sure what to say, i mean i was into the impression of Macron winning would make Europe rally
but that i did not like the weak move and so many hours if just wafting for nothing so i switch

i think it has to do with Asia. - stocks there fell - CPI was worse - so Europe kind of woke up optimistic then read the news. .. .

maybe on some pessimistic report from CPI tomorrow i can buy some. i'm really not decided. i may miss the first move -
earnings will probably change my views. so i m just commenting and trying to get some moves and close them fast.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,113
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:53am Apr 11, 2022 5:53am
Quoting DMA Trader
im out close to BE for EUR too busy reading into a lot of staff i did not expect such a rapid move H4 looks bad so i would have jump into longs if the move was not so bad. {image}
I see you trade Sp.. do you trade US30? I would like to master that one day..
  • #99,114
  • Apr 11, 2022 5:54am Apr 11, 2022 5:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Booked all my Eur lower shorts here.. also flat gold with tiny profit... {image}
excellent.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,115
  • Apr 11, 2022 6:11am Apr 11, 2022 6:11am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeah not sure what to say, i mean i was into the impression of Macron winning would make Europe rally but that i did not like the weak move and so many hours if just wafting for nothing so i switch i think it has to do with Asia. - stocks there fell - CPI was worse - so Europe kind of woke up optimistic then read the news. .. . maybe on some pessimistic report from CPI tomorrow i can buy some. i'm really not decided. i may miss the first move - earnings will probably change my views. so i m just commenting and trying to get some moves and...
All U.S. recessions were proceeded by a spike in oil since 1970. Since 2009 The U.S. has gained more footing on oil production. Now the U.S. is a slight net exporter. That edge alone weighs against the Euro. Now lets add Europe pays more than the U.S. for energy, lets add Russian NG. It all weighs more heavily on the Euro comparably. Plus the ECB members are borrowing to beef up defense budgets. I'm not Euro bullish. This war is 6 weeks old and that borrowing is not baked in yet. Shorting eu to me has more merit. Even so there is support where some bounce should occur. It wont be a line drive South.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,116
  • Apr 11, 2022 6:28am Apr 11, 2022 6:28am
I will trade longs and shorts on Eur for now..
I started to long some here 0902 and 0903.. will add...
I have to say I don't like long Eur due to swap..
  • #99,117
  • Apr 11, 2022 7:02am Apr 11, 2022 7:02am
My stop was hit on my long.. I placed another pending L at 0885.3
s/l 0872, tp 1031. my stop could be 0883
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #99,118
  • Apr 11, 2022 7:24am Apr 11, 2022 7:24am
*german 10-year bond yield surges to highest level since 2015
  • #99,119
  • Apr 11, 2022 7:36am Apr 11, 2022 7:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I see you trade Sp.. do you trade US30? I would like to master that one day..
yeah i found it easyer on SP cause i know the components.

i would use nasdaq on short but already to low and DJ usually i am going long
i am afraid to short DJI because of few components that can move the index big

like now HD and BA took the index down but it's higliy volatile
also i would be very afraid to short DJI before i see earnings this weak on banks

so to make a conclusion

SP500 has 500 comp i feel it a little better as a simple trade
Nasdaq i have use it to short now because of CPI - and some other bs.
DJI i usually go long.

but Boulder i also have a lot of stocks - so when i am short it's less than a hedge.

but SPX since there are so many companies it's easyer just to follow some PA. and i usually 80% of the time use the future ESF. rather than anything else.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #99,120
  • Apr 11, 2022 7:37am Apr 11, 2022 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} All U.S. recessions were proceeded by a spike in oil since 1970. Since 2009 The U.S. has gained more footing on oil production. Now the U.S. is a slight net exporter. That edge alone weighs against the Euro. Now lets add Europe pays more than the U.S. for energy, lets add Russian NG. It all weighs more heavily on the Euro comparably. Plus the ECB members are borrowing to beef up defense budgets. I'm not Euro bullish. This war is 6 weeks old and that borrowing is not baked in yet. Shorting eu to me has more merit. Even so there is support...
I agree - but making money on a bear market or on a "recession" is harder. talking about Stock Market

on EUR/USD i see the same thing. but then again some of it is already priced in - who knows how much
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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