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The Swamp

  • #98,521
  • Apr 1, 2022 9:51am Apr 1, 2022 9:51am
Quoting PayTheLimit
buy CLX sell AAPL maybe again ? {image}
pot stock? Curaleaf. Green thumb etc?? Pot legalization..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,522
  • Apr 1, 2022 9:54am Apr 1, 2022 9:54am
Quoting PayTheLimit
buy CLX sell AAPL maybe again ? {image}
strange AAPL huge move on disappointing guidance
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #98,523
  • Apr 1, 2022 9:55am Apr 1, 2022 9:55am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} Olives usually start in yr 5, max out in yr 8, at least in my neck of the woods...I talk to the trees from time to time also...your results may vary...
I'm sure some of my ancestors knew more about olive than me. Its above my paygrade atm. But maybe one day I could get a cheap villa with a free trees.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,524
  • Apr 1, 2022 9:56am Apr 1, 2022 9:56am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} strange AAPL huge move on disappointing guidance
if you look into shorts. i would short $MRNA now or a little later
AAPL is too good imo to be sold by big players. perfect balance sheet
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #98,525
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:01am Apr 1, 2022 10:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm sure some of my ancestors knew more about olive than me. Its above my paygrade atm. But maybe one day I could get a cheap villa with a free trees.
I villa with trees, with land, sounds great...need to wait for cheap tho...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #98,526
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:02am Apr 1, 2022 10:02am
Have a good weekend all..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #98,527
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:04am Apr 1, 2022 10:04am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} Olives usually start in yr 5, max out in yr 8, at least in my neck of the woods...I talk to the trees from time to time also...your results may vary...
You need to get a few satsuma trees. They grow in the same type climate. ( i assume your in a med climate, mild winters ) I know everyone has their childhood favorite citrus. But i highly recommend you get these. 4 trees will produce more than you can eat. A very good fruit with thinner skin, easier to peel than a orange. Similar to a mandarin but taste better. An orchid of these will make you $. They are common here.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,528
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:08am Apr 1, 2022 10:08am
she is trying. another miss.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,529
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:11am Apr 1, 2022 10:11am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} if you look into shorts. i would short $MRNA now or a little later AAPL is too good imo to be sold by big players. perfect balance sheet
Its hard to short APPLE. That discretionary income shortage may hit apple. Many cells out there much cheaper. Not today so much. looking at discretionary in a few months +
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,530
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:17am Apr 1, 2022 10:17am
FAANG Netflix takes a hit.. somewhat discretionary. Disney too
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,531
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:33am Apr 1, 2022 10:33am
IEA nations such as Europe, Canada, Mexico, Japan and South Korea will release oil from reserves, according to WSJ
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #98,532
  • Apr 1, 2022 10:59am Apr 1, 2022 10:59am
Quoting DMA Trader
green because it's good for currency - but Lagarde still sleeping 7.5% inflation. {image}
I dont see it in print yet, cnbc. GM sales down 20%, Toyota down 14%. That has to weigh on E car exports. Lagarde is in a bad place: Fight inflation, and kill exports/jobs further. The ez economy dont have a bright outlook.

U.S. shipped NG cost about 7X more in Germany than the U.S. ( didnt find that in print) ? i heard a politician say it.
In the chart about 50% more. I think this is Russian. Energy prices are killing the EZ. The war makes it and inflation worse.

The most expensive cost in heavy manufacturing is energy. Electric is double in Germany compared to USA.
The chart is normal delivered gas prices. It cost more off the ship from the U.S.

https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/G...al_gas_prices/
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,533
  • Apr 1, 2022 1:35pm Apr 1, 2022 1:35pm
Credit Suisse Research summarizes its tactical bias on EUR/USD and USD/JPY in Q2.
Our expected EURUSD range for Q2 is 1.0750 – 1.1400, targeting 1.0800 for end-Q2, keeping a quarterly range downgrade we have had in place since 2021. Levels above 1.1300 represent good entry levels for fresh shorts from a quarterly risk-return perspective," CS notes.
"For USDJPY, the test of the BOJ’s YCC commitment likely makes the Q2 range as wide as 118.00 – 130.00, with our old end-Q1 target now the base and our current 123.75 target as a pivot point," CS a
  • #98,534
  • Apr 1, 2022 2:28pm Apr 1, 2022 2:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know about the rest. U.S. built a port for NG. They are expensive. The U.S. has all the NG Europe needs. Shipping it is another story. But we do ship some to Europe.
Thanks for the answer. Then Europe needs to find alternatives. Not that they won't buy from Russia, but with such a belligerent neighbour there should be valid alternatives.
  • #98,535
  • Apr 1, 2022 2:28pm Apr 1, 2022 2:28pm
Life should be like this enjoyable every day .instead of war and man-made misery....

Inserted Video
  • #98,536
  • Apr 1, 2022 3:00pm Apr 1, 2022 3:00pm
have a great weekend all
good week and was nice reading you all
thanks for the sharing and making this place a great one

stay safe and take care see you all on Sunday
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #98,537
  • Apr 1, 2022 3:53pm Apr 1, 2022 3:53pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Thanks for the answer. Then Europe needs to find alternatives. Not that they won't buy from Russia, but with such a belligerent neighbour there should be valid alternatives.
Anytime you ship something its added cost. Most industry in the U.S. has NG piped to it. Industry builds where the NG (power lines) pipes are (energy). Industry builds next to interstate roads, rails, large fresh water supplies, and navigable water. It just make financial sense. The energy used to be coal. That's why car makers located in Michigan (Great lakes area). Because it was close to energy (coal). It takes 2 tons of coal to make 1 ton of steel. Pig iron was shipped to the auto makers/steel mills, on the Great Lakes. Now days many mills use a electric furnace. They stick 2 electrodes in a pot. Now days many mills are in other places because they use scrap steel. To make steel, you need iron and coal. Metallurgic coal or coke is added to iron. Scrap steel already has coal added. To make a long story short. Energy is the most expensive cost. In steel making, car making or other heavy industries. Raw materials are usually second. Labor may be less than 10%.

If Russia/Putin wasn't so corrupt. Nobody could compete. Russia would be one of the richest countries ever.
https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...pe-2022-03-25/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,538
  • Apr 1, 2022 4:07pm Apr 1, 2022 4:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Anytime you ship something its added cost. Most industry in the U.S. has NG piped to it. Industry builds where the NG (power lines) pipes are (energy). Industry builds next to interstate roads, rails, large fresh water supplies, and navigable water. It just make financial sense. The energy used to be coal. That's why car makers located in Michigan (Great lakes area). Because it was close to energy (coal). It takes 2 tons of coal to make 1 ton of steel. Pig iron was shipped to the auto makers/steel mills, on the Great Lakes. Now days many...
NG in the USA is almost 7x as much as Russia. Germany could never compete. If Putin wasn't so crooked. Russia has everything needed to be a financial center. The Russian economy could be #1 or #2, with the resources Russia has. Russia should be far ahead of China. That's why the ones w/o energy need to find another cheaper way. Nobody wants to be a slave to Russia cutting off the valve.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,539
  • Apr 1, 2022 4:14pm Apr 1, 2022 4:14pm
No Cot?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #98,540
  • Apr 1, 2022 11:06pm Apr 1, 2022 11:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
No Cot?
COT report this week for Mar 23 to Mar 29, hedge funds cashed out some Eur shorts on its way down to 1.0945 low on 28th , and booked more longs on its way up to 1.1137 high on 29th , net longs reduced by 2,469 contracts
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