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The Swamp

  • #95,681
  • Feb 16, 2022 10:00pm Feb 16, 2022 10:00pm
ukraine's military forces have fired mortar shells and grenades at four lpr locations - sputnik
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #95,682
  • Feb 16, 2022 10:13pm Feb 16, 2022 10:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The trap may require 1460 to break it. 1460 would mean pa above the R at 1347/49. 1460 is below 1492. Not impossible, but not an easy task. The attraction to 1337/38 may lead pa to 1245. If this is a trap. Thats the white lines in the arrangement I have. The path in white lines. 1337/38 is below 1351. The purple path is far 1.0923
white lines
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,683
  • Feb 16, 2022 10:26pm Feb 16, 2022 10:26pm
Placed a pending at 1369 s, 1375 s/l, tp 1245+ spread. off to bed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,684
  • Feb 17, 2022 12:37am Feb 17, 2022 12:37am
Now.... I do not believe in stop loss hunts or any other such voodoo. There are only better traders. Now, with that out of the way, I do see something over and over and over again which really puzzles me... multiple surges on multiple pairs all exactly at once. Is there anyone here who actually has a real explanation for this? It literally just happened again, not that I am complaining as I was on the right side of the trade... this time
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #95,685
  • Feb 17, 2022 2:27am Feb 17, 2022 2:27am
Quoting Konichiwhaat
Now.... I do not believe in stop loss hunts or any other such voodoo. There are only better traders. Now, with that out of the way, I do see something over and over and over again which really puzzles me... multiple surges on multiple pairs all exactly at once. Is there anyone here who actually has a real explanation for this? It literally just happened again, not that I am complaining as I was on the right side of the trade... this time {image}
Let me get this straight, you insult people who use a stop loss. Yet when the USD gets stronger, your not getting it?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,686
  • Feb 17, 2022 2:52am Feb 17, 2022 2:52am
not easy to short this with war news... but I am doing it according to the trends.. unless H4 reverses 1394.. now its easier with M30 H1 help
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  • #95,687
  • Feb 17, 2022 2:59am Feb 17, 2022 2:59am
Quoting Boulder
not easy to short this with war news... but I am doing it according to the trends.. unless H4 reverses 1394.. now its easeir with H1 help {image}
it's very difficult - we are like in trump/tariffs when every dumb headline made big moves.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #95,688
  • Feb 17, 2022 3:04am Feb 17, 2022 3:04am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} it's very difficult - we are like in trump/tariffs when every dumb headline made big moves.
yeah I had to use smaller lot and took profit quick in this volatile market..
  • #95,689
  • Feb 17, 2022 3:34am Feb 17, 2022 3:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yeah I had to use smaller lot and took profit quick in this volatile market..
i wanted to go long on that dumb headline especially since i see there is a edge - Bloomberg is not reporting every crazy headline
cnn anything pro Ukraine not verified and complete BS

anyway - manage to close some shorts myself still pretty much naked short on eur/usd
don't see anything that would help EUR in the short term but got to stick to charts.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #95,690
  • Feb 17, 2022 4:00am Feb 17, 2022 4:00am
That spike down made me money. I was short from 1374. Just a speculative short at the end of yesterday and woke up this morning to see the spike down. Well... volatility.
  • #95,691
  • Feb 17, 2022 6:17am Feb 17, 2022 6:17am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i wanted to go long on that dumb headline especially since i see there is a edge - Bloomberg is not reporting every crazy headline cnn anything pro Ukraine not verified and complete BS anyway - manage to close some shorts myself still pretty much naked short on eur/usd don't see anything that would help EUR in the short term but got to stick to charts.
I'm not to old to remember. About 10 days before a Georgia attack. There was some type of Putin BS decreasing the invasion likelihood. I suspect the same thing is happening now. Meanwhile the U.S. is reporting a 7% increase in troops headed to the border.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,692
  • Feb 17, 2022 6:51am Feb 17, 2022 6:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm not to old to remember. About 10 days before a Georgia attack. There was some type of Putin BS decreasing the invasion likelihood. I suspect the same thing is happening now. Meanwhile the U.S. is reporting a 7% increase in troops headed to the border.
yeah
hard to trade -

one thing i have to say

it's amazing how ES_F - Indices in general especially European indices are resisting to sell
i could say the same thing about EUR just amazing.

With such a negative risk - we should have traded way lower imho so when things settle expect some huge moves on RISK
March 16 FED is almost here. and nobody is afraid - tape seems very bullish
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #95,693
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:05am Feb 17, 2022 7:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeah hard to trade - one thing i have to say it's amazing how ES_F - Indices in general especially European indices are resisting to sell i could say the same thing about EUR just amazing. With such a negative risk - we should have traded way lower imho so when things settle expect some huge moves on RISK March 16 FED is almost here. and nobody is afraid - tape seems very bullish
Its above 1338 st bull side. above 1359 bull side. above 1369.9, bull side. But not above 1387/88 bear side. It can get a reject there again. Bulls want closes above,, 1388, or it will drop again to some of those others. Bears want it closing below 1308, to drop to 1245.

Its on the bear side of 1447/49 and 1492. The year closed below 1449 at 1369x. the week and month closed below 1369x.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,694
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:06am Feb 17, 2022 7:06am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeah hard to trade - one thing i have to say it's amazing how ES_F - Indices in general especially European indices are resisting to sell i could say the same thing about EUR just amazing. With such a negative risk - we should have traded way lower imho so when things settle expect some huge moves on RISK March 16 FED is almost here. and nobody is afraid - tape seems very bullish
As soon as you posted a torrent of selling comes lol
  • #95,695
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:09am Feb 17, 2022 7:09am
Quoting Boulder
not easy to short this with war news... but I am doing it according to the trends.. unless H4 reverses 1394.. now its easier with M30 H1 help{image} {image}
I continue to sell this bounces till M30 h1 and H4 reverse the trends
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  • #95,696
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:18am Feb 17, 2022 7:18am
Big news coming//
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,697
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:20am Feb 17, 2022 7:20am
Quoting gatorinla
Big news coming//
Bliken to address the UN. 10 AM
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,698
  • Edited 7:39am Feb 17, 2022 7:24am | Edited 7:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its above 1338 st bull side. above 1359 bull side. above 1369.9, bull side. But not above 1387/88 bear side. It can get a reject there again. Bulls want closes above,, 1388, or it will drop again to some of those others. Bears want it closing below 1308, to drop to 1245. Its on the bear side of 1447/49 and 1492. The year closed below 1449 at 1369x. the week and month closed below 1369x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,699
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:44am Feb 17, 2022 7:44am
Once a month closes below 1208 and better below 1177. It should allow a fall. Closing a month above 1449 or 1492 should allow more rise. Since the year close below 1447/49. I have to go with that, It would be more bearish had it closed below 1331. You have to play the hand dealt. Jan closed below 1369 and 1331. But not below 1208/10. Chop chop, maybe after the raise it may get smother.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,700
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:05am Feb 17, 2022 8:05am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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