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The Swamp

  • #95,661
  • Feb 16, 2022 12:24pm Feb 16, 2022 12:24pm
Quoting PipsMaster23
Hi all, Do we have the trend analysis for GOLD (XAUUSD).... thanks
it looks like everyone is waiting on Russia.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it looks like everyone is waiting on Russia. {image}
It broke out the wedge a few days ago.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,662
  • Feb 16, 2022 12:55pm Feb 16, 2022 12:55pm
10 year making a HH..no eu reaction
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,663
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:11pm Feb 16, 2022 1:11pm
It looks the may do .25 raises at a time. The market may have wanted/expected .5..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,664
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:23pm Feb 16, 2022 1:23pm
Seems suspiciously like a lot of players knew ahead of time the minutes would be dovish. Bastards.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #95,665
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:24pm Feb 16, 2022 1:24pm
Thanks for the chart and wedge breakout... guess we need to wait n see on the Russia situation if the breakout is real or faded back down again,
Cheers!!
  • #95,666
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:31pm Feb 16, 2022 1:31pm
Quoting longfellow
Seems suspiciously like a lot of players knew ahead of time the minutes would be dovish. Bastards.
Today was a buy day from morning. It has been so for so many weeks now. Almost every Wednesday is now a buy or range without going anywhere. Today was a buy. I simply do not believe that the Fed minutes or any fundamental data is the reason for price to move. These things are already planned ahead of time. News and data is used to help the spike go one way or the other to grab liquidity (also known as your stop loss. Lol). Even if the US increase rates tonight, price must reach it's upward target, grab the orders there before heading down. It is that simple. They use the media to fool the unsuspecting.

The rise was clear yesterday. Until Powell actually raises rates it will continue to rise.
  • #95,667
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:33pm Feb 16, 2022 1:33pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Today was a buy day from morning. It has been so for so many weeks now. Almost every Wednesday is now a buy or range without going anywhere. Today was a buy. I simply do not believe that the Fed minutes or any fundamental data is the reason for price to move. These things are already planned ahead of time. News and data is used to help the spike go one way or the other to grab liquidity (also known as your stop loss. Lol). Even if the US increase rates tonight, price must reach it's upward target, grab the orders there before heading down....
Yeah, and Kashkari pretty much said it this morning: "can't raise too aggressively."
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #95,668
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:33pm Feb 16, 2022 1:33pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Today was a buy day from morning. It has been so for so many weeks now. Almost every Wednesday is now a buy or range without going anywhere. Today was a buy. I simply do not believe that the Fed minutes or any fundamental data is the reason for price to move. These things are already planned ahead of time. News and data is used to help the spike go one way or the other to grab liquidity (also known as your stop loss. Lol). Even if the US increase rates tonight, price must reach it's upward target, grab the orders there before heading down....
That is true. Even before a tweet that moves the market is issued, they know.
Executing trades with precision!!
  • #95,669
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:36pm Feb 16, 2022 1:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
It looks the may do .25 raises at a time. The market may have wanted/expected .5..

FOMC said it would not raise interest rates yet but strongly indicated a hike is on the way as soon as March.

Following up after the release of MOM, basically nothing changes. Market fear responding to it.

Until March 15 then...
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit: $15,104
  • #95,670
  • Feb 16, 2022 1:37pm Feb 16, 2022 1:37pm
Hard to imagine why Russia needs field hospitals near the border for just "exercises."
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Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #95,671
  • Feb 16, 2022 3:28pm Feb 16, 2022 3:28pm
Quoting longfellow
Hard to imagine why Russia needs field hospitals near the border for just "exercises." {image}
I hope the sanctions will lead to the Russian people. Into taking their country back from Putin. I hope he ends up like Muammar Gaddafi at the hands of Russians.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,672
  • Feb 16, 2022 3:30pm Feb 16, 2022 3:30pm
Lets see if bears retake 1369.9 to close the day.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,673
  • Feb 16, 2022 4:03pm Feb 16, 2022 4:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
Lets see if bears retake 1369.9 to close the day. {image}
A day close above 1369.9. Month and week closes are still below 1369.9. Bulls have a chance to be a little stronger. The week and month challenge is the next to beat or fail at. Some attraction to 1337/38 or less may be present. 1337/38 is below 1369.9. No way to know if 1337/38 will pull it below 1369.9. One should included it a decent possibility. Its a possible bull trap.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,674
  • Feb 16, 2022 4:20pm Feb 16, 2022 4:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A day close above 1369.9. Month and week closes are still below 1369.9. Bulls have a chance to be a little stronger. The week and month challenge is the next to beat or fail at. Some attraction to 1337/38 or less may be present. 1337/38 is below 1369.9. No way to know if 1337/38 will pull it below 1369.9. One should included it a decent possibility. Its a possible bull trap. {image}
The trap may require 1460 to break it. 1460 would mean pa above the R at 1347/49. 1460 is below 1492. Not impossible, but not an easy task. The attraction to 1337/38 may lead pa to 1245. If this is a trap. Thats the white lines in the arrangement I have. The path in white lines.

1337/38 is below 1351. The purple path is far 1.0923
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,675
  • Feb 16, 2022 5:16pm Feb 16, 2022 5:16pm
testing it now in ealy Asia. New high or back to 1337?
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  • #95,676
  • Feb 16, 2022 5:36pm Feb 16, 2022 5:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
testing it now in ealy Asia. New high or back to 1337? {image}
I am waiting on 1362 I dont know what to expect its unclear.
I was hoping for a break of 141 yesterday I only have a pending order for 133 I scratched the 141 as everything has changed. I am waiting on london to hit one of the levels I have set. If nothing is hit I am going to call it day and wait..
  • #95,677
  • Feb 16, 2022 5:46pm Feb 16, 2022 5:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
testing it now in ealy Asia. New high or back to 1337? {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,678
  • Edited 7:56pm Feb 16, 2022 7:01pm | Edited 7:56pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I am waiting on 1362 I dont know what to expect its unclear. I was hoping for a break of 141 yesterday I only have a pending order for 133 I scratched the 141 as everything has changed. I am waiting on london to hit one of the levels I have set. If nothing is hit I am going to call it day and wait..
It still may break. I saw the action there, and thought it may need to run back to 1337. But when it closed above 1369.9. I had to curve the chance some. If it would run back to 1337, it may not be able to get back above 1369.9. The month and week closed below 1369.9. That day is not as strong. But it deserves respect. All reversals start with the smaller ones. Bears need to stop screwing around. Its mid week and mid month. So while the cat is away. I guess the mice can play. For how long..

I fixed a typo
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,679
  • Feb 16, 2022 8:02pm Feb 16, 2022 8:02pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I am waiting on 1362 I dont know what to expect its unclear. I was hoping for a break of 141 yesterday I only have a pending order for 133 I scratched the 141 as everything has changed. I am waiting on london to hit one of the levels I have set. If nothing is hit I am going to call it day and wait..
1394 R
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,680
  • Feb 16, 2022 9:57pm Feb 16, 2022 9:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It still may break. I saw the action there, and thought it may need to run back to 1337. But when it closed above 1369.9. I had to curve the chance some. If it would run back to 1337, it may not be able to get back above 1369.9. The month and week closed below 1369.9. That day is not as strong. But it deserves respect. All reversals start with the smaller ones. Bears need to stop screwing around. Its mid week and mid month. So while the cat is away. I guess the mice can play. For how long.. I fixed a typo
Like that
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