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The Swamp

  • #95,241
  • Edited 7:46am Feb 7, 2022 7:36am | Edited 7:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a past s/r at 1492. If not 1541 may act like 148x does now. . 1492 and 1447 should be some sort of s/r either way. Breaking 148x high should put some up pressure. That last sec close below 1447 may be telling. Since the month finally closed below 1331. Maybe. What i dont like atm is we did not beat Friday's low. Another thing is price went above the first time at 148x. The info is mixed. Mixed is less decisive. Less trending.
If bulls do manage to get to/near 1541. This one is part of 1331 as a pp. 1331 was a part of 1477. Its holding a high near 1477. The pivot atm may be 1302. That weighs on breaking 148x. To break 148x, pa may need to go back to 1302. 1302 is below 1369 31. Bulls may not be able to rise if it pa starts closing below 1302.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,242
  • Feb 7, 2022 7:45am Feb 7, 2022 7:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If bulls do manage to get to/near 1541. This one is part of 1331 as a pp. 1331 was a part of 1477. Its holding a high near 1477. The pivot atm may be 1302. That weighs on breaking 148x. To break 148x, pa may need to go back to 1302. 1302 is below 1369 31. Bulls may not be able to rise it pa starts closing below 1302.
3 attempts to break the high. Lets see it the low breaks. The day 12h have a close below 1447.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,243
  • Feb 7, 2022 8:10am Feb 7, 2022 8:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If bulls do manage to get to/near 1541. This one is part of 1331 as a pp. 1331 was a part of 1477. Its holding a high near 1477. The pivot atm may be 1302. That weighs on breaking 148x. To break 148x, pa may need to go back to 1302. 1302 is below 1369 31. Bulls may not be able to rise if it pa starts closing below 1302.
Why is 1331 important? It was ordained in 2008. When the eu made its highest high from the low in jan 1971. Does it work? Before the drop to 1120. It was the center of pa since november. Its range was 1477/1186. Than its bs because it broke the range. Maybe, the older upper range high held so for. It may be passing off to the next smaller pp 1302, to 1208. If it can't get to 1541 to make 3131 a pp again. If 1208 becomes the pp, then 1.0933 ish looks to be coming. How can you know ahead of time? You cant. You need to see pa on either side of the pp. ATm pa is above them. But its not breaking the old range. If it can break the old pp range. It drops to make a new one, or test the other old one. The lower smaller range for pp 1302 is 1120. If it breaks it 1302 is no longer a pp. It may hand its power to 1208 or a new smaller atm unknown pp below 1302.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,244
  • Feb 7, 2022 8:30am Feb 7, 2022 8:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Why is 1331 important? It was ordained in 2008. When the eu made its highest high from the low in jan 1971. Does it work? Before the drop to 1120. It was the center of pa since november. Its range was 1477/1186. Than its bs because it broke the range. Maybe, the older upper range high held so for. It may be passing off to the next smaller pp 1302, to 1208. If it can't get to 1541 to make 3131 a pp again. If 1208 becomes the pp, then 1.0933 ish looks to be coming. How can you know ahead of time? You cant. You need to see pa on either side...
I have big shorts target next day support around 1344 area within a few days.. maybe doable ..currently week range low 1317
  • #95,245
  • Feb 7, 2022 8:40am Feb 7, 2022 8:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I have big shorts target next day support around 1344 area within a few days.. maybe doable ..currently week range low 1317
Big shorts contain a big butt.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,246
  • Feb 7, 2022 8:51am Feb 7, 2022 8:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Big shorts contain a big butt. {image}
lol
  • #95,247
  • Feb 7, 2022 10:41am Feb 7, 2022 10:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol
I snuck that picture of you last week..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,248
  • Feb 7, 2022 10:48am Feb 7, 2022 10:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I snuck that picture of you last week..
She is rich & has that bum..? Where can I apply?
  • #95,249
  • Feb 7, 2022 10:51am Feb 7, 2022 10:51am
lc was lower. if that R 1447 does hold. Adr is in the 1375 area for tomorrow.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,250
  • Feb 7, 2022 10:52am Feb 7, 2022 10:52am
On another note, coming back to business, Tuesdays around NY open offers the best trading setups for some time now, something I noticed. See if it will be the same again.
  • #95,251
  • Feb 7, 2022 11:04am Feb 7, 2022 11:04am
Quoting Connors
On another note, coming back to business, Tuesdays around NY open offers the best trading setups for some time now, something I noticed. See if it will be the same again.
1369 is year close. Adr may bring it close. I have to stick with 1302 unless it makes a hh before. From here a hh is 50 pips. To 1302 is 130 pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,252
  • Feb 7, 2022 11:18am Feb 7, 2022 11:18am
were do I apply to play with that butt
  • #95,253
  • Feb 7, 2022 11:23am Feb 7, 2022 11:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Why is 1331 important? It was ordained in 2008. When the eu made its highest high from the low in jan 1971. Does it work? Before the drop to 1120. It was the center of pa since november. Its range was 1477/1186. Than its bs because it broke the range. Maybe, the older upper range high held so for. It may be passing off to the next smaller pp 1302, to 1208. If it can't get to 1541 to make 3131 a pp again. If 1208 becomes the pp, then 1.0933 ish looks to be coming. How can you know ahead of time? You cant. You need to see pa on either side...
opex for this week as of this morning shows only 862m @ 1.15 on Th & 2b @ 1495-00 + 923m @ 1.155 on Fr
This means that barely any option carried over from last week for 1.15+ expiries...
Which means two things: almost noone expected pa to get over 1.15 this week & if price still breaks over 1.15 approx. 15b will be otm
So this might limit/force movements this week.
  • #95,254
  • Feb 7, 2022 11:33am Feb 7, 2022 11:33am
Quoting xav
{quote} opex for this week as of this morning shows only 862m @ 1.15 on Th & 2b @ 1495-00 + 923m @ 1.155 on Fr This means that barely any option carried over from last week for 1.15+ expiries... Which means two things: almost noone expected pa to get over 1.15 this week & if price still breaks over 1.15 approx. 15b will be otm So this might limit/force movements this week.
We have some R at 1447. Lc was lower. Its never a sure thing. the pull to that 1302 pivote can turn on. The week at the last sec closed below 1447. Bears want to go to 1302. Bulls want to enter longs there.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,255
  • Feb 7, 2022 11:38am Feb 7, 2022 11:38am
Quoting Connors
On another note, coming back to business, Tuesdays around NY open offers the best trading setups for some time now, something I noticed. See if it will be the same again.
Where is your profile interest?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,256
  • Feb 7, 2022 12:03pm Feb 7, 2022 12:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} We have some R at 1447. Lc was lower. Its never a sure thing. the pull to that 1302 pivote can turn on. The week at the last sec closed below 1447. Bears want to go to 1302. Bulls want to enter longs there.
Agree with that. But I rarely see option data showing this much vulnerability for such a small move's worth. (50-100 pips and everyone is toast) Also I bet there's a lot of whining/crying/praying for pa to get back below 1.14/13. It'll be interesting to keep an eye on opex positioning for this week, it might show the hands of bigger players earlier than actual pa/closes.
1.15-16 is a bull/bear line since 2015

or we can just be inside a gramophone for the past 3 months
  • #95,257
  • Feb 7, 2022 12:06pm Feb 7, 2022 12:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Where is your profile interest?
I got old man, I no longer can hump on each long waxed leg I see around. I am not going to lie, the damn shit doesn't work as it used to, especially when I am on booze.

I bought me self a bunch of "Pitbull" coin by the way, If it works like Shib, I have all the intention to retire and get the hell out of this jungle, come Saturday I am turning 47 dammit!
  • #95,258
  • Feb 7, 2022 12:11pm Feb 7, 2022 12:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Where is your profile interest?

Mid weekly levels happen to be precise mate in between.Mid Weekly Piv - Weekly R1 is ca. 1.15075.

Apart from your 1.1492, that's another level I am looking at.
  • #95,259
  • Feb 7, 2022 12:14pm Feb 7, 2022 12:14pm
Need for speed...Bugatti Chiron on Autobahn - 417 KPH (GPS) On-Board CAM | POV GoPro...
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I am who I am
  • #95,260
  • Feb 7, 2022 12:31pm Feb 7, 2022 12:31pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} Mid weekly levels happen to be precise mate in between.Mid Weekly Piv - Weekly R1 is ca. 1.15075. Apart from your 1.1492, that's another level I am looking at.
Some activity here since 2003, old ones, newer 2020, The month closed below most of these including the missing 1331, and 1208.
The magnta has the lower mofu at 1483. its from 2018. The older blue for 2003 shows 1418 as a upper mofu. The newer ones since 2008 have a relation with 1331. 1492 looks like the least interacting sequence.
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