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  • #95,221
  • Feb 6, 2022 8:06pm Feb 6, 2022 8:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The big number 1447.8 and 1492 still had this Friday. This can change. Or the reject could push it to 1302.. From there maybe bulls retry or go to test 1208. {image}
retested Mofu
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,222
  • Feb 6, 2022 9:05pm Feb 6, 2022 9:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} retested Mofu {image}
day closed below 1447.8,, got a 4h since below it. 1h below 1428. closing below 1428 in the st makes the R at 1447.7 stronger.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,223
  • Feb 6, 2022 9:26pm Feb 6, 2022 9:26pm
possible entry 1454.. light stop 1459
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,224
  • Feb 7, 2022 3:28am Feb 7, 2022 3:28am
Quoting gatorinla
possible entry 1454.. light stop 1459
Sorry, 1447 would of worked. 1444/45 may be a soft light R. 1447 stiffer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,225
  • Feb 7, 2022 3:44am Feb 7, 2022 3:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Pa is probably bullish above 1302 1331 1369 and 1406. Pa is probably bearish below 1492, balanced high* at *H1483/M1331/L1123 and bearish below 1447.8. The close below 1447.8 favors 1406 or less. Between levels it may range, until something breaks with a close below/above. Then it has a tendency to go to the next level (at least 1/2 way) in the break direction. 1483 held R (no break) so pa went to 1447.8 it broke early w/o holding. At the end of the day it closed below 1447.8. balanced high* at *H1483/M1331/L1123 using...
I dont know whats at 1411/15. I have some soft s at 1406. The next level bears need to close to me. A bounce back to 1447 should happen if 1406 cannot be closed below. If not 1447, 1428 a smaller bounce before a break in 1406.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,226
  • Feb 7, 2022 3:52am Feb 7, 2022 3:52am
A bear move may still have the # 3 to 1447ish or 1428tsh. It may already have made #3. a 12h candle is about to close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,227
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:01am Feb 7, 2022 4:01am
Quoting gatorinla
A bear move may still have the # 3 to 1447ish or 1428tsh. It may already have made #3. a 12h candle is about to close. {image}
A 12h candle closed below 1447 and 1428. It didnt close below Friday's low. It didnt give the st added R power to 1447.8. That adds a little power to the bulls. It didnt make a LL to stiffen 1447. It still can. It hasn't yet. A retest of 1447 odds are a little better.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,228
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:02am Feb 7, 2022 4:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know whats at 1411/15. I have some soft s at 1406. The next level bears need to close to me. A bounce back to 1447 should happen if 1406 cannot be closed below. If not 1447, 1428 a smaller bounce before a break in 1406.
For me 1415 was attack on Friday low's and Thursday's last bull move's main shadow, and probably fails if, right after it, price goes back in previous shorterterm range >1430. Let's see !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #95,229
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:13am Feb 7, 2022 4:13am
Only if 1447.8 area holds,, This may be setting up 1365 or less. That's if on a drop 1406 and 1669/67 lets it. After a bounce to 1447, it can go higher. If it makes a LL after, that makes 1365 more likely. See chart; 1446 area followed by a LL -1411
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,230
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:18am Feb 7, 2022 4:18am
Quoting mtako
{quote} For me 1415 was attack on Friday low's and Thursday's last bull move's main shadow, and probably fails if, right after it, price goes back in previous shorterterm range >1430. Let's see !
Ok, i saw that. What was 1415 Friday? What stopped it there Friday? Was it just adr?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,231
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:23am Feb 7, 2022 4:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Ok, i saw that. What was 1415 Friday? What stopped it there Friday? Was it just adr?
Thursdays last 6h's shadow, for me was quite determinant, given the up-move it originated from. Friday's test of it and now today 2nd test of it. A third would probably break some of that decent 2H remaining bulls momentum. I hope it does not. I see the daily bulls just getting started.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #95,232
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:25am Feb 7, 2022 4:25am
ok since average is where the money is. If bears manage to drop to 1392. It may be a good place to tp shorts. It may be a good long...
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  • #95,233
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:29am Feb 7, 2022 4:29am
average bounce 1432/40 to R 1447.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,234
  • Feb 7, 2022 4:35am Feb 7, 2022 4:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know whats at 1411/15. I have some soft s at 1406. The next level bears need to close to me. A bounce back to 1447 should happen if 1406 cannot be closed below. If not 1447, 1428 a smaller bounce before a break in 1406.
I'm a jackass. the answer has been on my chart the entire time.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,235
  • Feb 7, 2022 5:21am Feb 7, 2022 5:21am
I don't know, keeping an eye on Gator's 1.1492. Daily res is @1.1486.

Leaving a pending sell there.
  • #95,236
  • Feb 7, 2022 6:06am Feb 7, 2022 6:06am
Quoting Connors
I don't know, keeping an eye on Gator's 1.1492. Daily res is @1.1486. Leaving a pending sell there.
a past s/r at 1492. If not 1541 may act like 148x does now. . 1492 and 1447 should be some sort of s/r either way. Breaking 148x high should put some up pressure. That last sec close below 1447 may be telling. Since the month finally closed below 1331. Maybe. What i dont like atm is we did not beat Friday's low. Another thing is price went above the first time at 148x. The info is mixed. Mixed is less decisive. Less trending.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,237
  • Feb 7, 2022 6:23am Feb 7, 2022 6:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a past s/r at 1492. If not 1541 may act like 148x does now. . 1492 and 1447 should be some sort of s/r either way. Breaking 148x high should put some up pressure. That last sec close below 1447 may be telling. Since the month finally closed below 1331. Maybe. What i dont like atm is we did not beat Friday's low. Another thing is price went above the first time at 148x. The info is mixed. Mixed is less decisive. Less trending.
If 1.1492 fails on the hourly, will not attempt a short before 1.1640s.

1.1486 is worth the risk to me.

Bulls still have the game under control so far. We shall see if we live long enough.
  • #95,238
  • Feb 7, 2022 7:16am Feb 7, 2022 7:16am
Quoting gatorinla
average bounce 1432/40 to R 1447. {image}
i was expecting 1.142 to go long
but missed it.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #95,239
  • Feb 7, 2022 7:17am Feb 7, 2022 7:17am
Quoting Connors
{quote} If 1.1492 fails on the hourly, will not attempt a short before 1.1640s. 1.1486 is worth the risk to me. Bulls still have the game under control so far. We shall see if we live long enough.
What sucks is the day/week,month,q,year. and 12h closed below 1447/. I know 1331 screwed this up. We finally have a month close below 1331, but not 1208. That followed by not breaking Friday's low. WTF kinda pa is this? Mixed range like atm. Bears should take this eventually. But it may be near March rate hike before it happens.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,240
  • Feb 7, 2022 7:33am Feb 7, 2022 7:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} What sucks is the day/week,month,q,year. and 12h closed below 1447/. I know 1331 screwed this up. We finally have a month close below 1331, but not 1208. That followed by not breaking Friday's low. WTF kinda pa is this? Mixed range like atm. Bears should take this eventually. But it may be near March rate hike before it happens.
I think it becomes drudgery now. I don't see this breaking 1525 anytime soon. It may just range. And when it ranges they whip them stops both up and down.

I see either a possible inverted HS on the 4hr with a lot of waste of time to form the right shoulder (looking at the left for cues) or it will just fail and break down. Also on the daily it is looking like a W but still failing so far. I will buy when it gets below 1.14 but that with a lot of confirmation.
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