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The Swamp

  • #95,041
  • Feb 2, 2022 2:55am Feb 2, 2022 2:55am
Quoting gatorinla
"quote=gatorinla;13878408]1231 is/should still be a R. The month has now closed below it. Once at 1302, bulls need to close above it. They may be unable. Once pa hits 1294 it too has a possible reverse there also. That would bring 1208 as a possible pivot instead of 1226. If 1208 would be the pivot. The high may lag reaching 1294. If this be the case the pivot now at 1195 may pull it below 1208. Making the new range lower. It may be below 1295. I still think 1302 will come. If wrong the top could be anywhere in this current area, Even 1269 since...
" This is what I was taking about. 1302 is normal. 1294 may not let it. Just noticing this 1231 typo.. it should be 1331[/quote]

In case nobody told you, Gator, you are a blessing with the numbers you give here.
  • #95,042
  • Feb 2, 2022 2:57am Feb 2, 2022 2:57am
Quoting gatorinla
15m engulfed .. Closing below 1280 is another sign of a drop. 1280.5 holding support is a spot bulls want to hold to take 1302.. {image}
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  • #95,043
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:07am Feb 2, 2022 3:07am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote}" This is what I was taking about. 1302 is normal. 1294 may not let it. Just noticing this 1231 typo.. it should be 1331
In case nobody told you, Gator, you are a blessing with the numbers you give here.[/quote]
Bulls are still here.. The h didnt closes below 1280.. See if you get a 15-30 min close below 1288, followed by a close below 1280.. That's a less reliable timeframe.

The next h close is a 12h close. I would hope for a pin bar on a 4h 6h 8h or 12h. We got an h before.
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  • #95,044
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:17am Feb 2, 2022 3:17am
Bulls have not given up. They haven't even tested 1280 support. Bears have not pushed it down. Unless they can erase the last 12h to 1272 or less. I dont know. I dont see a good reaction for bears yet. This is probably going higher unless this changes..

1302 to me looks to be tested. Unless this drop can happen before the next h close.
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  • #95,045
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:23am Feb 2, 2022 3:23am
A good reject maybe -1272.7. Close next hour.
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  • #95,046
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:28am Feb 2, 2022 3:28am
Quoting gatorinla
Bulls have not given up. They haven't even tested 1280 support. Bears have not pushed it down. Unless they can erase the last 12h to 1272 or less. I dont know. I dont see a good reaction for bears yet. This is probably going higher unless this changes.. 1302 to me looks to be tested. Unless this drop can happen before the next h close. {image}
It took its time.. This looks better. Anyway I dont know why it wasn't a hot touch reject. It may be best to wait for a close. 30 min closes in 3 min. I dont like pa above 1280 for shorts.
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  • #95,047
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:29am Feb 2, 2022 3:29am
The Lion...lol
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I am who I am
  • #95,048
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:34am Feb 2, 2022 3:34am
30 min closed above 1280.. I dont like that for shorts.. Maybe a 1272 next h would make me feel better. I dont feel the love with pa not taking 1280.. Maybe its just slow. I just dont like it because the attraction to 1302... I just figured the pivot setting up below 1208 could be important for bears. To do that 1294 may be the top.
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  • #95,049
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:42am Feb 2, 2022 3:42am
Me not liking not closing -1280 is just me. Pa here is still below a Decent R when close to 1302. Even a touch of 1302 may drop it. I was just trying to line up 1208. And also line the 12h in a reject looking candle to improve odds.
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  • #95,050
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:46am Feb 2, 2022 3:46am
Quoting gatorinla
Me not liking not closing -1280 is just me. Pa here is still below a Decent R when close to 1302. Even a touch of 1302 may drop it. I was just trying to line up 1208. And also line the 12h in a reject looking candle to improve odds.
The 15 min wont close under 1280.. Hopefully the h closes below 1272
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  • #95,051
  • Feb 2, 2022 3:55am Feb 2, 2022 3:55am
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Still above 1280, that leans to a HH,, 1301/02 looks probable. Or at least another shot at 1294/95
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  • #95,052
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:01am Feb 2, 2022 4:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{image} Still above 1280, that leans to a HH,, 1301/02 looks probable. Or at least another shot at 1294/95
There it is. 1302..Now can it close above..
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  • #95,053
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:04am Feb 2, 2022 4:04am
focusing on 1285 to start. Since 1302 may be a R. Subject to change. forget about 1280. See if pa starts to retract by closing below 1285 to start. Pa above 1285 is still in aggressive bull mode. Later good old 1269 closed below may be retract mode.
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  • #95,054
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:10am Feb 2, 2022 4:10am
Quoting gatorinla
focusing on 1285 to start. Since 1302 may be a R. Subject to change. forget about 1280. See if pa starts to retract by closing below 1285 to start. Pa above 1285 is still in aggressive bull mode. Later good old 1269 closed below may be retract mode. {image}
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  • #95,055
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:18am Feb 2, 2022 4:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
Finally here comes your 1.1302.
  • #95,056
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:19am Feb 2, 2022 4:19am
Quoting gatorinla
focusing on 1285 to start. Since 1302 may be a R. Subject to change. forget about 1280. See if pa starts to retract by closing below 1285 to start. Pa above 1285 is still in aggressive bull mode. Later good old 1269 closed below may be retract mode. {image}
No reject to 1285.. 1331 may come. Still dynamic 1285.8. Need some closes below 1285.8 before a drop. Above 1302 is not bearish. At least till it stops running. 1302 is at the higher end of a range.
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  • #95,057
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:36am Feb 2, 2022 4:36am
same path to 1331
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  • #95,058
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:37am Feb 2, 2022 4:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No reject to 1285.. 1331 may come. Still dynamic 1285.8. Need some closes below 1285.8 before a drop. Above 1302 is not bearish. At least till it stops running. 1302 is at the higher end of a range. {image}
void 1285
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  • #95,059
  • Feb 2, 2022 4:52am Feb 2, 2022 4:52am
Now aggressive bullish above 1302.. Possible R 1331.. Pa may return to bearish below 1302. 1302 was normal retrace. An h close below 1296 is what st bears need. At least to start/

ADR at 1336/37
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  • #95,060
  • Feb 2, 2022 5:23am Feb 2, 2022 5:23am
Just a word here. 1302 was a normal retrace. I know your trending indicators are bullish. Be mindful, 1302 is normal. Pa may soon get back to the older down trend. Whenever it gets tired. Some R 1331 expected. Year close at 1369.
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